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Meta-analytic Gaussian Network Aggregation

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2025

Sacha Epskamp*
Affiliation:
Department of Psychology, University of Amsterdam Centre for Urban Mental Health, University of Amsterdam
Adela-Maria Isvoranu
Affiliation:
Department of Psychology, University of Amsterdam
Mike W.-L. Cheung
Affiliation:
National University of Singapore
*
Correspondence should be made to Sacha Epskamp, Department of Psychology, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands. Email: sacha.epskamp@gmail.com
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Abstract

A growing number of publications focus on estimating Gaussian graphical models (GGM, networks of partial correlation coefficients). At the same time, generalizibility and replicability of these highly parameterized models are debated, and sample sizes typically found in datasets may not be sufficient for estimating the underlying network structure. In addition, while recent work emerged that aims to compare networks based on different samples, these studies do not take potential cross-study heterogeneity into account. To this end, this paper introduces methods for estimating GGMs by aggregating over multiple datasets. We first introduce a general maximum likelihood estimation modeling framework in which all discussed models are embedded. This modeling framework is subsequently used to introduce meta-analytic Gaussian network aggregation (MAGNA). We discuss two variants: fixed-effects MAGNA, in which heterogeneity across studies is not taken into account, and random-effects MAGNA, which models sample correlations and takes heterogeneity into account. We assess the performance of MAGNA in large-scale simulation studies. Finally, we exemplify the method using four datasets of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptoms, and summarize findings from a larger meta-analysis of PTSD symptom.

Information

Type
Theory and Methods
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
Copyright
Copyright © 2021 The Author(s)
Figure 0

Figure. 1 Example of true network structures used in simulation studies.

Figure 1

Figure. 2 Results of the simulation study using significance pruning at α=0.05\documentclass[12pt]{minimal}\usepackage{amsmath}\usepackage{wasysym}\usepackage{amsfonts}\usepackage{amssymb}\usepackage{amsbsy}\usepackage{mathrsfs}\usepackage{upgreek}\setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt}\begin{document}$$\alpha = 0.05$$\end{document}. Lines indicate means over all replications and boxplots indicate the spread across replications. Correlation indicates the correlation between absolute true and estimated edge weights in the pooled GGM, sensitivity—also termed the “true positive rate”—indicates the proportion of true edges included the estimated GGM, and specificity—also termed the “true negative rate”—indicates the proportion of true absent edges correctly not included in the estimated GGM.

Figure 2

Figure. 3 Average absolute deviations between estimated and true random effect standard deviations across all four random-effects MAGNA methods. The legend is the same as in Fig. 2.

Figure 3

Figure. 4 Gaussian graphical model (GGM; a network of partial correlations) structures estimated for each of the four correlation matrices individually (n1=526\documentclass[12pt]{minimal}\usepackage{amsmath}\usepackage{wasysym}\usepackage{amsfonts}\usepackage{amssymb}\usepackage{amsbsy}\usepackage{mathrsfs}\usepackage{upgreek}\setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt}\begin{document}$$n_1 = 526$$\end{document}, n2=365\documentclass[12pt]{minimal}\usepackage{amsmath}\usepackage{wasysym}\usepackage{amsfonts}\usepackage{amssymb}\usepackage{amsbsy}\usepackage{mathrsfs}\usepackage{upgreek}\setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt}\begin{document}$$n_2 = 365$$\end{document}, n3=926\documentclass[12pt]{minimal}\usepackage{amsmath}\usepackage{wasysym}\usepackage{amsfonts}\usepackage{amssymb}\usepackage{amsbsy}\usepackage{mathrsfs}\usepackage{upgreek}\setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt}\begin{document}$$n_3 = 926$$\end{document}, and n4=956\documentclass[12pt]{minimal}\usepackage{amsmath}\usepackage{wasysym}\usepackage{amsfonts}\usepackage{amssymb}\usepackage{amsbsy}\usepackage{mathrsfs}\usepackage{upgreek}\setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt}\begin{document}$$n_4 = 956$$\end{document}), reported by (Fried et al. 2018), using significance pruning at α=0.05\documentclass[12pt]{minimal}\usepackage{amsmath}\usepackage{wasysym}\usepackage{amsfonts}\usepackage{amssymb}\usepackage{amsbsy}\usepackage{mathrsfs}\usepackage{upgreek}\setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt}\begin{document}$$\alpha = 0.05$$\end{document}. Node are (1) intrusions, (2) nightmares, (3) flashbacks, (4) physiological/psychological reactivity, (5) avoidance of thoughts, (6) avoidance of situations, (7) amnesia, (8) disinterest in activities, (9) feeling detached, 10) emotional numbing, (11) foreshortened future, (12) sleep problems, (13) irritability, (14) concentration problems, (15) hypervigilance, and (16) startle response. Blue edges indicate positive partial correlations and red edges indicate negative partial correlations.

Figure 4

Figure. 5 Pooled GGM structure estimated with multi-dataset fixed-effects MAGNA over all four correlation matrices reported by Fried et al. (2018), using significance pruning at α=0.05\documentclass[12pt]{minimal}\usepackage{amsmath}\usepackage{wasysym}\usepackage{amsfonts}\usepackage{amssymb}\usepackage{amsbsy}\usepackage{mathrsfs}\usepackage{upgreek}\setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt}\begin{document}$$\alpha = 0.05$$\end{document}. Node descriptions are given in Fig. 4.

Figure 5

Figure. 6 Partially pooled GGM estimates for correlation matrices reported by Fried et al. (2018). Network structures were estimated by first fitting a pooled model (Fig. 5) and subsequently using a stepwise search algorithm that searches for differences between groups. Node descriptions are given in Fig. 4.

Figure 6

Figure. 7 Estimated random-effects MAGNA GGM structures for the correlation matrices reported by Fried et al. (2018). Node descriptions are given in Fig. 4.

Figure 7

Figure. 8 Estimated standard deviations of random effects for the correlation matrices reported by Fried et al. (2018)

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