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Partisan (In)Tolerance and Affective Polarization

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  13 May 2026

James Tilley*
Affiliation:
University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
Teresa Bejan
Affiliation:
University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
Sara B. Hobolt
Affiliation:
The London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK
*
Corresponding author: James Tilley; Email: james.tilley@politics.ox.ac.uk
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Abstract

Political tolerance of others’ civil liberties is an essential and everyday condition of democratic politics without which citizens cannot engage constructively with those of different views. In this paper, we combine insights from political theory and political behaviour to develop and test the concept of ‘partisan intolerance’. We conceptualize partisan intolerance as the gap between a person’s willingness to interfere with contentious activities by in-partisans versus the same activities by out-partisans. Using two pre-registered experiments, we find high levels of partisan intolerance in Britain. Moreover, while partisan intolerance is not associated with abstract measures of political tolerance, we find a strong association with affective partisan polarization. Our findings thus suggest that increasing affective polarization among partisans is accompanied by a high degree of intolerance towards their opponents’ basic civil liberties such as freedom of speech and the right to protest.

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Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Table 1. Overview of treatment groups in method 1

Figure 1

Table 2. Partisan intolerance

Figure 2

Figure 1. Partisan intolerance and abstract tolerance.Note: figures are predicted probabilities from logit regression models that predict specific intolerance. Abstract intolerance is a 1–5 scale (shown here from bottom 5 per cent to top 95 per cent of scale distribution). Controls for age, gender, and education are included. All controls are held at their mean. Full models are in Appendix 4.

Figure 3

Figure 2. Partisan intolerance and affective polarization.Note: figures are predicted probabilities from logit regression models predicting specific intolerance and show the difference between tolerance of out-group and in-group activities. Affective polarization is a 0–100 scale based on feeling thermometers towards partisans. Controls are included for age, gender, education, ideological position, ideological extremity, and the interaction between ideological extremity and partisan in-group/out-group. All controls are held at their mean. Confidence intervals obtained using the Delta method. Full models are in Appendix 4.

Figure 4

Figure 3. Partisan intolerance and tolerance in terms of behavioural intention.Note: figures are from linear regression models predicting willingness to sign a petition in favour of the respondent’s position on a 1–4 scale. Controls are included for age, gender, education, ideological position, ideological extremity, and the interaction between ideological extremity and partisan in-group/out-group. All controls are held at their mean. Full models are in Appendix 6.

Figure 5

Figure 4. Conjoint experiments showing partisan intolerance by affective polarization.Note: marginal means from a series of conjoint experiments including numerous attributes of the event being described. Respondents are divided into four sub-groups (low = below 25, lower = between 25 and 49, higher = between 50 and 74, high = 75 and above) based on their level of affective polarization as measured by feeling thermometers towards partisans. The full results are in Appendix 7.

Figure 6

Figure 5. Partisan intolerance and positive/negative partisanship.Note: figures are predicted probabilities from logit regression models predicting specific intolerance and show the difference between tolerance of out-group and in-group activities. The effect of positive partisanship holds constant negative partisanship at its mean and vice versa. Controls are included for age, gender, education, ideological position, ideological extremity, and the interaction between ideological extremity and partisan in-group/out-group. All controls are held at their mean. Confidence intervals obtained using the Delta method. Full models are in Appendix 8.

Figure 7

Figure 6. Types of partisan tolerance and affective polarization.Note: figures are from linear regression models predicting mean rank of the option of disruptive engagement, respectful engagement, and avoidance. The partisan gap is the difference in mean rank for the in-group and out-group activity: positive scores indicate that the mean rank is higher for the out-group activity. Controls are included for age, gender, education, ideological position, ideological extremity, and the interaction between ideological extremity and partisan in-group/out-group. All controls are held at their mean. Confidence intervals obtained using the Delta method. Full models are in Appendix 9.

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