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A network and thematic analysis of mental health-related Prevention of Future Death reports from 2013 to 2025 in England and Wales

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 February 2026

Hongyi Qin
Affiliation:
Department of Public Information Resources Management, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China Department of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
Josie Jenkinson
Affiliation:
Surrey and Borders NHS Foundation Trust, Leatherhead, UK Faculty of Old Age Psychiatry, Royal College of Psychiatrists, London, UK
Mohan Bhat
Affiliation:
Faculty of Old Age Psychiatry, Royal College of Psychiatrists, London, UK Kent and Medway NHS and Social Care Partnership Trust, Maidstone, UK
Robert Barber
Affiliation:
Faculty of Old Age Psychiatry, Royal College of Psychiatrists, London, UK Cumbria, Northumberland, Tyne and Wear NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
Mani Santhanakrishnan
Affiliation:
Faculty of Old Age Psychiatry, Royal College of Psychiatrists, London, UK Tees, Esk and Wear Valleys NHS Foundation Trust, Darlington, UK
Chineze Ivenso
Affiliation:
Faculty of Old Age Psychiatry, Royal College of Psychiatrists, London, UK Aneurin Bevan University Health Board, Newport, UK
Benjamin R. Underwood*
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK Faculty of Old Age Psychiatry, Royal College of Psychiatrists, London, UK Cambridgeshire and Peterborough NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge, UK
*
Correspondence: Benjamin R. Underwood. Email: bru20@cam.ac.uk
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Abstract

Background

Coroners’ Prevention of Future Death reports (PFDRs, also known as Regulation 28 reports) provide an opportunity to understand factors contributing to mental health-related deaths.

Aims

To examine available mental health-related PFDRs, addressing three core questions: (a) What is the overall profile of these reports? (b) What relational patterns emerge from these reports? and (c) What concerns and preventive actions do coroners highlight in these reports, and how they evolved over time?

Method

We collected all mental-health related public PFDRs available up to June 2025 (N = 586). Data extraction combined automated web scraping, optical character reading and large language model (LLM)-assisted (GPT-4o) parsing to capture demographics, settings, coroner areas, co-occurring categories, concerns and recommended actions. Descriptive statistics, category and recipient co-occurrence network analysis and thematic analysis were used to provide a comprehensive landscape of these reports.

Results

Report numbers increased steadily from 2013, peaking in 2021 and then declined. Some jurisdictions, including Manchester South, East Sussex and East London, consistently had more PFDRs issued. The deceased were typically young, male and had died mainly outwith hospital, most often at home; 78.0% of reports included at least one formal response from recipients, whereas 22.0% had no corresponding response available. The network analyses suggested that PFDRs seldom identified isolated issues. Coroners’ concerns changed over time, from service access and resources to inter-agency coordination and then, more recently, to risk assessment and management.

Conclusions

Mental health-related deaths examined by coroners arise within complex, evolving multi-sector contexts and do not frequently identify single errors. Minimising such deaths may require coordinated strategies across healthcare, social care and justice systems. Analysis of PFDRs allows identification of patterns that may inform such actions. PFDRs should be analysed routinely and patterns followed over time.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Royal College of Psychiatrists
Figure 0

Fig. 1 Temporal and geographic patterns of reports from 2013 to 2025. (a) Annual trend in the total number of PFDRs, mental health-related PFDRs (bar) and their proportions (line). (b) Annual PFDR counts in the top 20 coroner areas. (c) Annual PFDR counts by region. (d) Cumulative geographic distribution of PFDRs by region. PFDRs, Prevention of Future Death reports.

Figure 1

Table 1 Demographic and contextual profiles of individuals recorded in the reports

Figure 2

Fig. 2 Co-occurrence patterns of death categories and recipients. Node size and edge thickness are proportional to their frequencies of occurrence and co-occurrence, respectively. (a) Co-occurrence networks of categories within reports. (b) Co-occurrence networks of recipients. NHS, National Health Service; HM, His Majesty.

Figure 3

Fig. 3 Evolution of concerns and actions. (a) Evolution of concerns. The size of each block represents the relative frequencies of themes; the most common theme for reports is shown as the lowest block at each time point; flows between periods represent thematic similarity and continuity. (b) Mapping of concerns to recommended actions. Node size and edge thickness are proportional to their frequencies of occurrence and co-occurrence, respectively.

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