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The Dawes review 13: A new look at the dynamic radio sky

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 December 2025

Tara Murphy*
Affiliation:
Sydney Institute for Astronomy, School of Physics, The University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia
David L. Kaplan*
Affiliation:
ARC Centre of Excellence for Gravitational Wave Discovery (OzGrav), Australia Department of Physics, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI, USA
*
Corresponding authors: Tara Murphy, Email: tara.murphy@sydney.edu.au, David Kaplan, Email: kaplan@uwm.edu
Corresponding authors: Tara Murphy, Email: tara.murphy@sydney.edu.au, David Kaplan, Email: kaplan@uwm.edu
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Abstract

Astronomical objects that change rapidly give us insight into extreme environments, allowing us to identify new phenomena, test fundamental physics, and probe the Universe on all scales. Transient and variable radio sources range from the cosmological, such as gamma-ray bursts, to much more local events, such as massive flares from stars in our Galactic neighbourhood. The capability to observe the sky repeatedly, over many frequencies and timescales, has allowed us to explore and understand dynamic phenomena in a way that has not been previously possible. In the past decade, there have been great strides forward as we prepared for the revolution in time domain radio astronomy that is being enabled by the SKA Observatory telescopes, the SKAO pathfinders and precursors, and other ‘next generation’ radio telescopes. Hence, it is timely to review the current status of the field and summarise the developments that have happened to get to our current point. This review focuses on image domain (or ‘slow’) transients, on timescales of seconds to years. We discuss the physical mechanisms that cause radio variability and the classes of radio transients that result. We then outline what an ideal image domain radio transients survey would look like and summarise the history of the field, from targeted observations to surveys with existing radio telescopes. We discuss methods and approaches for transient discovery and classification and identify some of the challenges in scaling up current methods for future telescopes. Finally, we present our current understanding of the dynamic radio sky, in terms of source populations and transient rates, and look at what we can expect from surveys on future radio telescopes.

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Type
Dawes Review
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This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Astronomical Society of Australia
Figure 0

Figure 1. Transient phase space showing radio luminosity versus the product of timescale and observing frequency for different transient source classes, following Cordes et al. (2004). Note that the luminosity assumes sources are beamed into only 1 sr and no relativistic beaming, which may or may not be appropriate for individual objects, while the timescales are just the observed variability timescales and ignore more constraining limits such as the finite sizes of e.g. stellar sources. For sources with relativistic beaming the true brightness temperature could be significantly lower (e.g. Readhead 1994), while for some stellar sources the true brightness temperature could be significantly higher, as suggested by the arrows. The diagonal lines show contours of brightness temperature, with coherent emitters having $T_B\gt10^{12}\,$K. Adapted from Pietka et al. (2015) and Nimmo et al. (2022), with select sources added: the binary neutron star merger GW170817 (Mooley et al. 2018c); LFBOTs (Ho et al. 2019; Coppejans et al. 2020; Ho et al. 2020); relativistic TDEs (Mimica et al. 2015; Andreoni et al. 2022); flare stars/brown dwarfs (Hallinan et al. 2007; Rose et al. 2023; Route & Wolszczan 2016; Zic et al. 2019); long-period radio pulsars (Caleb et al. 2022; Wang et al. 2025d); Galactic Centre radio transients (Hyman et al. 2005; Wang et al. 2021b); white dwarf pulsars (Pelisoli et al. 2023; de Ruiter et al. 2025) and long-period transients (Wang et al. 2025c; Lee et al. 2025; Wang et al. 2021b; Caleb et al. 2024; Hurley-Walker et al. 2024, 2023, 2022b; Dong et al. 2025b). In particular we highlight the range of sources from Table 2 that are filling out the centre of this space, straddling the coherent/incoherent divide: long-period radio pulsars are upward-pointing triangles, GCRTs are diamonds, pulsing white dwarf binaries are right-pointing triangles, and long period transients (LPTs) are squares.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Model GRB lightcurves, computed using Ryan et al. (2020) and inspired by Piran (2004). These models use the simplest possible model for a relativistic jet. The top dash-dotted curves are for infinite frequency (ignoring any effects of self-absorption), while the lower solid curves are for a frequency of 1 GHz. All curves are normalised at 10 d. For both frequencies, we show jet opening angles of $\theta_\mathrm{jet}=5\deg$ (blue), $15\deg$ (orange), and $30\deg$ (green) with an on-axis observer ($\theta_\mathrm{obs}=0$). The infinite frequency models show jet breaks when the jet has decelerated to a bulk Lorentz factor of $1/\theta_\mathrm{jet}$, after which they have a similar power-law behaviour with $F_\nu \propto \nu^{-p}$ (black dotted line), where p is the power-law index of the electron distribution. We also show a jet seen by an off-axis observer, potentially an ‘orphan afterglow’, since the observer would miss any high-energy emission (red dashed curve). This has similar late-time behaviour but is much fainter at early times.

Figure 2

Figure 3. Plot showing the relevant timescales of different classes of radio transients. Approximate limits of variability timescales are shown for different sources and different mechanisms. We also separate the highly-polarised largely coherent transients in the top box from the synchrotron afterglows (Section 2.1.2) in the third box. We roughly delineate the timescales for traditional transient searches that find sources individually in each epoch and associate them across epochs ($\gtrsim\,$hours, e.g. Swinbank et al. 2015; Rowlinson et al. 2019; Pintaldi et al. 2022) and those that use image-subtraction or related techniques to find shorter-timescale variability at a reduced computational cost ($\lesssim\,$hours, e.g. Wang et al. 2023; Fijma et al. 2024; Smirnov et al. 2025a).

Figure 3

Figure 4. Radio lightcurves of a diverse set of synchrotron transients, following examples like Ho et al. (2020) and Coppejans et al. (2020). The sources include: long GRBs, sub-energetic GRBs, and short GRBs (circles; Section 3.1), supernovae (hexagons; Section 3.2), TDE (squares; Section 3.4), FBOTs (pluses; Section 3.2.1), changing-look AGN (diamonds; Section 3.3), and the potential orphan afterglow FIRST J141918.9+394036. Data are primarily at 7–10 GHz, except FIRST J141918.9+394036 (1.4 GHz, but which was scaled following Mooley et al. 2022), a few GRBs at 5 GHz, and a few TDEs at 15 GHz; in those cases no spectral correction or K-correction has been applied. Data were compiled by A. Gulati and are from Alexander et al. (2016, 2017a), Anderson et al. (2024), Andreoni et al. (2022), Berger et al. (2001b), Berger et al. (2001c), Berger et al. (2000, 2003, 2005), Bietenholz et al. (2021), Bright et al. (2022), Brown et al. (2017), Cendes et al. (2022, 2021, 2024), Cenko et al. (2011, 2006, 2012), Chandra et al. (2008, 2010), Chrimes et al. (2024b), Coppejans et al. (2020), Djorgovski et al. (2001), Eftekhari et al. (2018), Fong et al. (2014, 2015, 2021), Frail et al. (2000b, 2003, 2005, 2006, 2000c, 1999b), Galama et al. (2000, 2003), Goodwin et al. (2023); Goodwin et al. (2025), Greiner et al. (2013), Hajela et al. (2025), Hancock et al. (2012b), Harrison et al. (2001, 1999), Ho et al. (2019, 2020), Horesh et al. (2021a,b, 2015), Kulkarni et al. (1998), Lamb et al. (2019), Laskar et al. (2023, 2016, 2018); Laskar et al. (2022), Law et al. (2018b), Leung et al. (2021), Levan et al. (2024), Margutti et al. (2019, 2013), Mattila et al. (2018), Meyer et al. (2025), Moin et al. (2013), Mooley et al. (2022), O’Connor et al. (2023), Pasham et al. (2015), Perley et al. (2014), Perley et al. (2008), Price et al. (2002), Rhodes et al. (2024), Rol et al. (2007), Rose et al. (2024), Schroeder et al. (2025); Schroeder et al. (2024), Sfaradi et al. (2024a), Soderberg et al. (2006c); Soderberg et al. (2004b); Soderberg et al. (2004a); Soderberg et al. (2006a); Stein et al. (2021); Taylor et al. (1998); van der Horst et al. (2008); Zauderer et al. (2013). See https://github.com/ashnagulati/Transient_Comparison_Plots

Figure 4

Figure 5. Gaia DR3 colour-magnitude diagram showing the stars in an updated version of the Sydney Radio Stars Catalogue. The colour scale shows the radio luminosity based on the maximum flux density of each star in the SRSC and the Gaia rgeo distance. The grey background points show the Gaia DR2 CMD for reference (Pedersen et al. 2019), and we annotate some of the major features. The Sun is indicated by the red $\odot$ symbol. Individual stars are indicated by the coloured circles and are labeled with their types. We show a rough translation between Gaia $G_{BP}-G_{RP}$ colour and effective temperature determined from synthetic photometry (based on STScI Development Team 2013) and an extinction vector (Zhang & Yuan 2023). Even cooler sources such as brown dwarfs are located off the right edge of the figure, and are not included as they do not have Gaia measurements. Figure is adapted from Driessen et al. (2024).

Figure 5

Table 1. Key characteristics of radio emission from different stellar types. For each type we give a couple of key example objects, and the associated references. The types are roughly ordered in decreasing temperature, following the subsections in the main text.

Figure 6

Table 2. Properties of long period transients and related Galactic sources. The sources are broadly grouped according to how they are reported in the literature. We have only included published objects here, but we know of a number of new discoveries currently in preparation.

Figure 7

Figure 6. Pulse period versus polar magnetic field ($6.4\times 10^{19}\,\mathrm{G}\sqrt{P \dot P}$) diagram for pulsars, magnetars, LPTs, and related sources, following Rea et al. (2024). We show radio pulsars as well as magnetars (stars), X-ray dim isolated neutron stars (XDINS; squares), central compact objects (CCOs, also some times referred to as ‘anti-magnetars’; pentagons) and select long-period radio pulsars (diamonds) from (Manchester et al. 2005, version 2.6.0). We also plot LPTs (large circles; Wang et al. 2025c; Lee et al. 2025; Wang et al. 2021b; Caleb et al. 2024; Hurley-Walker et al. 2024, 2023, 2022b; Dong et al. 2025b; Hurley-Walker et al. 2024), the radio pulsar J0311+1402 (Wang et al. 2025d), and the long-period magnetar 1E 1613$-$5055 (Esposito et al. 2011). In those cases we are assuming that the measured period is the spin period, and that the moment of inertia is that of a neutron star. We plot a range of possible ‘death lines’ for purely-dipolar (top) and highly twisted (bottom) magnetospheres, based on Rea et al. (2024), which delineate a ‘death valley’ in which radio emission is expected to cease. Finally, we show the limit where the total magnetic energy is roughly the gravitational binding energy (solid red line).

Figure 8

Figure 7. This plot shows how the effective survey volume, using the figure of merit in Equation (5) has evolved over time. Estimates are included for upcoming, but as yet unpublished, surveys. Some individual surveys of interest are labelled. The surveys are coloured by observing frequency, the shape corresponds to the telescope, and the size corresponds to the survey timescale (if multiple results are reported for a single survey on different timescales, it is plotted multiple times). Information has been updated from the survey compendium by Kunal Mooley and Deepika Yadav http://www.tauceti.caltech.edu/kunal/radio-transient-surveys/index.html. Labelled surveys include: GT86 (Gregory & Taylor 1986); MR90 (McGilchrist & Riley 1990; Riley 1993); MR00 (Minns & Riley 2000); L+02 (Levinson et al. 2002); dV+04 (de Vries et al. 2004); T+11 (Thyagarajan et al. 2011); M+13 (Mooley et al. 2013); R+16 (Rowlinson et al. 2016); P+16 (Polisensky et al. 2016); S+21 (Sarbadhicary et al. 2021); M+21 (Murphy et al. 2021); D+22 (Dobie et al. 2022); and C+24 (Chastain et al. 2025). Additional surveys from Table 4 are RACS-low, VAST-G (for VAST-Galactic), VLASS, LoTSS, and GPM, as well as a projection for using the VASTER fast-imaging pipeline (Wang et al. 2023) on the EMU survey (Hopkins et al. 2025).

Figure 9

Table 3. Specifications of past large scale single-epoch radio continuum surveys, in order of observing frequency.

Figure 10

Table 4. Specifications of current large scale radio transient surveys in the image domain. See the main text for the key reference papers.

Figure 11

Table 5. A high-level summary of the types of multi-wavelength data and checks used to identify radio transient candidates.

Figure 12

Figure 8. Sketches of lightcurves for a range of radio transient source types. The lightcurves capture qualitatively different variability with rough timescales indicated. We have not attempted to capture spectral energy evolution, polarisation fraction, or the typical flux density scale. Not all source types are included; for example other synchrotron transients such as TDEs will show qualitatively the same evolution as GRB afterglows. Note that many source classes exhibit variability on multiple timescales. Most of the sketches are inspired by real data, as listed: AGN intraday variability (Bignall et al. 2003); AGN flaring (Hovatta et al. 2008); Changing look AGN (Meyer et al. 2025); supernova re-brightening (Anderson et al. 2017); active binary star (Osten et al. 2004); X-ray binary (Fender et al. 2023); eclipsing binary pulsar (Zic et al. 2024); M dwarf star (Zic et al. 2019); extreme scattering event (Bannister et al. 2016); long period transient (and long period pulsars) (Wang et al. 2025d).

Figure 13

Figure 9. Standard $\eta$-V plot for identifying variable sources, following Swinbank et al. (2015). The data here were simulated and consist entirely of Gaussian noise with constant amplitude. The distribution of source brightnesses are a power-law with cumulative distribution $N(\gt S)\propto S^{-1.5}$, appropriate for standard candles in a Euclidean universe (e.g. Hoyle & Narlikar 1961; Longair & Scott 1965), with SNR ranging from 6 to 2000. The points are coloured by SNR (with a colour-scale to the right). We also show marginal distributions for $\eta$ (top) and V (right), along with theoretical predictions (solid orange lines). Finally, we show the line $V_\mathrm{max}=\sqrt{\eta}/\mathrm{SNR}_\mathrm{min}$ which bounds the top of the distribution (red dashed line).

Figure 14

Figure 10. Source class distribution for the transient and variable sources found in a selection of recent image-domain surveys: Wang et al. (2023), who searched for minute-scale variability at frequencies near 1 GHz with ASKAP; Murphy et al. (2021), who searched for longer-scale variability at 888 MHz with ASKAP; Dobie et al. (2023), who searched for fast variability at 943 MHz with ASKAP; Rowlinson et al. (2022), who searched for variability on timescales of weeks at 1.4 GHz with MeerKAT; Sarbadhicary et al. (2021), who searched for longer-scale variability in deep images with the VLA at 1–2 GHz; and Chastain et al. (2025), who searched for short-term variability with MeerKAT at 1.3 GHz. Most surveys show AGN & galaxies as the dominant class, except for Dobie et al. (2023) who deliberately excluded them. Since each survey had very different fields-of-view and total numbers of epochs we do not present absolute numbers, but just relative populations, and even those will change for different surveys (e.g. stars and pulsars will be over-represented on shorter timescales).

Figure 15

Table 6. Specifications for future radio telescopes.

Figure 16

Figure 11. Sensitivity of planned future radio facilities. We show the survey speed (Equation 18) in the top panel and the sensitivity ($A_\mathrm{eff}/T_\mathrm{sys}$, from Equation 19) in the bottom panel as a function of frequency. Current facilities are shown with thinner lines, while future facilities are with thicker lines. The data are a mix of detailed calculations and simplistic projection (e.g. ignoring effective area changes within a frequency band). Data sources for future facilities are: DSA-2000 from G. Hallinan (pers. comm.), ngVLA from https://github.com/dlakaplan/, SKA1-low from http://skalowsensitivitybackup-env.eba-daehsrjt.ap-southeast-2.elasticbeanstalk.com, and SKA1-mid from https://gitlab.com/ska-telescope/ost/ska-ost-senscalc. Data sources for current facilities are: MeerKAT from https://gitlab.com/ska-telescope/ost/ska-ost-senscalc, upgraded GMRT (uGMRT) from Gupta et al. (2017), VLA from https://science.nrao.edu/facilities/vla/docs/manuals/oss/performance, ASKAP from Hotan et al. (2021) and E. Lenc (pers. comm.), LOFAR from van Haarlem et al. (2013) for the Dutch array but with double the number of LBA antennas per station, and MWA from Ung (2019) via https://github.com/ysimonov/MWA-Sensitivity. Facilities at $\lt300\,$MHz include contributions from the sky temperature, although we use a pointing location away from the Galactic plane.