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Predictive value of primary care made clinical diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) with secondary care specialist diagnosis based on spirometry performed in a lung function laboratory

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2009

C. Michael Roberts*
Affiliation:
Whipps Cross University Hospital, Leytonstone, London E11 1NR, UK
Mohammed K.A. Abedi
Affiliation:
Whipps Cross University Hospital, Leytonstone, London E11 1NR, UK
John S. Barry
Affiliation:
Whipps Cross University Hospital, Leytonstone, London E11 1NR, UK
Ellen Williams
Affiliation:
Whipps Cross University Hospital, Leytonstone, London E11 1NR, UK
Simon J. Quantrill
Affiliation:
Whipps Cross University Hospital, Leytonstone, London E11 1NR, UK
*
Correspondence to: Professor C. Michael Roberts, Chest Clinic, Whipps Cross University Hospital, Leytonstone, London E11 1NR, UK. Email: Michael.Roberts@whippsx.nhs.uk
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Abstract

Aim

To define the predictive value of clinical diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) or suspected COPD in primary care patients with spirometric criteria for diagnosis.

Background

The diagnosis of COPD is usually made clinically but often not confirmed by diagnostic testing. Recent initiatives have called for universal spirometry testing in primary care to diagnose and monitor such patients the implications of this policy on diagnostic accuracy are not as yet known.

Methods

Retrospective comparative analysis of 677 consecutive primary care referrals to a district general hospital lung function laboratory for spirometry, March 1998 to December 2006.

Findings

Five hundred and three of 677 patients referred for open access spirometry had a primary care clinical diagnosis or suspected diagnosis of COPD. When compared with NICE spirometric criteria for diagnosis of COPD, 141 patients (28%) had normal spirometry, 46 (9%) had reversible airflow obstruction and 14 (3%) a restrictive pattern of spirometry. The positive predictive value of a primary care clinical diagnosis of COPD was 0.62 for patients referred for assessment of severity and 0.56 for those referred for diagnostic testing. Clinical suspicion of COPD in this sample was not confirmed by spirometry in a high proportion of referred patients. The introduction of the widespread use of spirometry for confirmation of primary care clinician made COPD diagnosis have important implications for both individual patients and primary care service planning.

Information

Type
Research
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2009
Figure 0

Table 1 Spirometry data from 503 subjects tested with a primary care made diagnosis of either COPD or possible COPD

Figure 1

Table 2 Analysis of positive predictive value of clinical diagnosis of COPD or possible COPD compared with measured spirometry criteria