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A novel method for predicting fracture in floating ice

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 July 2017

Liz Logan
Affiliation:
Department of Geological Sciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA E-mail: esl359@gmail.com
Ginny Catania
Affiliation:
Department of Geological Sciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA E-mail: esl359@gmail.com Institute for Geophysics, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA
Luc Lavier
Affiliation:
Department of Geological Sciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA E-mail: esl359@gmail.com Institute for Geophysics, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA
Eunseo Choi
Affiliation:
Center for Earthquake Research and Information, University of Memphis, Memphis, TN, USA
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Abstract

Basal crevasses may play an important precursory role in determining both the location and propagation of rifts and iceberg dimensions. For example, icebergs calved recently from Thwaites Glacier, Antarctica, have the same width as surface undulations, strengthening the connection between basal crevasses, rifting and calving. We explore a novel method for estimating the heights of basal crevasses formed at the grounding lines of ice shelves and ice streams. We employ a thin-elastic beam (TEB) formulation and tensional yielding criterion to capture the physics of flexed ice at grounding lines. Observations of basal crevasse heights compare well with model predictions in the Siple Coast region of the Ross Ice Shelf. We find that the TEB method is most accurate in areas of low strain rate. We also test the method in other areas of Antarctica to produce order-of-magnitude maps of grounding-line basal crevasses and find general agreement with reported observations assuming basal crevasses develop in spatio-temporal sequence and are advected downstream. This method is computationally cheap and could be relatively easy to implement into damage-oriented large-scale ice models which aim at physically simulating calving and fracture processes.

Information

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © International Glaciological Society 2013
Figure 0

Fig. 1. (a) Locations of radar profiles (thick black lines) at SN, SS, KIS and WIS. Thin white line is the grounding line determined by Horgan and Anandakrishnan (2006). Kinematic GPS was recorded at the grounding line of KIS (green star). Background image is the MODIS Mosaic of Antarctica (MOA; Haran and others, 2005) overlain by a color-scaled logarithmic plot of the computed effective strain rate (s−1) (Rignot and others, 2011). (b) Example of radar data showing typical hyperbolic diffraction patterns produced by basal crevasse crack tips and the ice/bottom interface (yellow arrows). Direction of ice velocity is shown by the red arrow. (c) Kinematic GPS taken at the location in (a) denoted by the green star. Tidal uplift is ∼1 m.

Figure 1

Fig. 2. Schematic diagram of a characteristic thin beam. The applied bending moment compresses the upper half and extends the lower half of the beam. Extensive stress is positive; depth below the neutral plane (dashed blue line) is positive. The tensional yield strength (vertical red line) indicates where the beam can no longer support stress in tension (hc, the basal crevasse height, red arrow). The stress profile depends on ice thickness (hi) and curvature which is the second derivative of topography along the beam axis, in the x direction (ωx, green text), as well as Young’s modulus and Poisson’s ratio.

Figure 2

Fig. 3. Predicted (red) vs observed (black) basal crevasse heights. Most predictions are within the range of observation. Two areas of misfit can be attributed to high in-plane viscous stress (SN is collocated with Bindschadler Ice Stream shear margin) and previous grounding-line location (SS). No crevasses are predicted for WIS, owing to its very low curvature as an ice plain.

Figure 3

Fig. 4. (a) Basal crevasses resulting from the same flexure applied to thinner (hi1) and thicker ice (hi2). Thicker ice produces larger crevasses than thinner ice; this is not what we observe. (b) For smaller basal crevasses in thicker ice, it must be true that thicker ice experiences less induced bending stress (σ2max)than thinner ice (σ1max>σ2max).

Figure 4

Table 1. Mean (N) and standard deviation (σ) of the absolute value of difference between observed and predicted crevasse heights for all four regions, tested against several values of Young’s modulus. No crevasses were predicted using E = 1 GPa (Vaughan, 1995). The value which minimizes the difference for all locations was 10 GPa; 5 GPa minimizes the difference for KIS and SN while 7.5 GPa minimizes the difference for SS. * denotes minimum for a particular group

Figure 5

Fig. 5. MOA images overlain by the TEB-predicted basal crevasse heights, indicated by color bar. Colored boxes with black outline are the approximate location and observed basal crevasse height from other radar studies. (a) Larsen C ice shelf compared with observations at Churchill (CP) and Joerg Peninsulas (JP) (Luckman and others, 2012; McGrath and others, 2012a); (b) Filchner–Ronne Ice Shelf showing basal crevasses stemming from Rutford Ice Stream (Rut), Kirchoff (KIR) and Henry (HIR) Ice Rises and Berkner Island (BI) (Rist and others, 2002); (c) Amery Ice Shelf; undulated topography directly downstream of Charybdis Glacier (CG) and Single Promontory (SP); (d) Ross Ice Shelf (Jezek and Bentley, 1983); Roosevelt Island (RI; Catania and others, 2010); rifts develop directly downstream of Steershead (SH) and Crary (Cr) Ice Rises shown by basal crevasses; (e) Pine Island (PIG; Bindschadler and others, 2011) and Thwaites Glaciers (TG); central rift in Thwaites Glacier develops directly downstream of high basal crevasses and shear margin. Large topographic undulations appear directly downstream of where high basal crevasses would be predicted in Pine Island Glacier.

Figure 6

Fig. 6. Landsat-7 ETM+ band 8 (15 m resolution) image of Thwaites Glacier (from January 2013) and MOA-derived grounding line (green line). Ice velocity is indicated by the thick white arrow. Surface crevasses appear as highly textured areas indicated by the black arrows. Spacing between topographic undulations (yellow bars) is compared to iceberg width (red bars). Ice still connected to TG is upstream of the calving front (orange line). Average distance between surface depressions is 1034 m; average width of icebergs is 1035 m (standard devations 217 and 224 m, respectively).