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Reactive surveillance of suicides during the COVID-19 pandemic in France, 2020 to March 2022

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 April 2023

Anne Fouillet*
Affiliation:
Santé publique France, Division for Data Science, Saint-Maurice, France
Diane Martin
Affiliation:
Epidemiological Centre on Medical Causes of Death CépiDc–National Institute of Health and Medical Research (INSERM), Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
Isabelle Pontais
Affiliation:
Santé publique France, Division for Data Science, Saint-Maurice, France
Céline Caserio-Schönemann
Affiliation:
Santé publique France, Division for Data Science, Saint-Maurice, France
Grégoire Rey
Affiliation:
Epidemiological Centre on Medical Causes of Death CépiDc–National Institute of Health and Medical Research (INSERM), Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
*
Author for correspondence: Anne Fouillet, Email: Anne.fouillet@santepubliquefrance.fr
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Abstract

Aims

Mitigation actions during the COVID-19 pandemic may impact mental health and suicide in general populations. We aimed to analyse the evolution in suicide deaths from 2020 to March 2022 in France.

Methods

Using free-text medical causes in death certificates, we built an algorithm, which aimed to identify suicide deaths. We measured its retrospective performances by comparing suicide deaths identified using the algorithm with deaths which had either a Tenth revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) code for ‘intentional self-harm’ or for ‘external cause of undetermined intent’ as the underlying cause. The number of suicide deaths from January 2020 to March 2022 was then compared with the expected number estimated using a generalized additive model. The difference and the ratio between the observed and expected number of suicide deaths were calculated on the three lockdown periods and for periods between lockdowns and after the third one. The analysis was stratified by age group and gender.

Results

The free-text algorithm demonstrated high performances. From January 2020 to mid-2021, suicide mortality declined during France’s three lockdowns, particularly in men. During the periods between and after the two first lockdowns, suicide mortality remained comparable to the expected values, except for men over 85 years old and in 65–84 year-old age group, where a small number of excess deaths was observed in the weeks following the end of first lockdown, and for men aged 45–64 years old, where the decline continued after the second lockdown ended. After the third lockdown until March 2022, an increase in suicide mortality was observed in 18–24 year-old age group for both genders and in men aged 65–84 years old, while a decrease was observed in the 25–44 year-old age group.

Conclusions

This study highlighted the absence of an increase in suicide mortality during France’s COVID-19 pandemic and a substantial decline during lockdown periods, something already observed in other countries. The increase in suicide mortality observed in 18–24 year-old age group and in men aged 65–84 years old from mid-2021 to March 2022 suggests a prolonged impact of COVID-19 on mental health, also described on self-harm hospitalizations and emergency department’s attendances in France. Further studies are required to explain the factors for this change. Reactive monitoring of suicide mortality needs to be continued since mental health consequences and the increase in suicide mortality may be continued in the future with the international context.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2023. Published by Cambridge University Press.
Figure 0

Fig. 1. Weekly number of (i) suicide deaths coded with ‘intentional self-harm’ as underlying cause, (ii) deaths from suicide coded with ‘intentional self-harm’ or ‘external cause of undetermined intent’ as underlying cause and (iii) suicide deaths based on FT-MCD, from 2015 to 2017, France.

Figure 1

Table 1. Performance measures of the FT-MCD algorithm identifying suicide deaths, compared with deaths with an ICD-10 ‘intentional self-harm’ or ‘external cause of undetermined intent’ code as underlying cause of death, from 2015 to 2017, for electronic and paper death certificates

Figure 2

Table 2. Distribution of suicide deaths from W01-2020 to W12-2022 and from 2015 to 2019 in France

Figure 3

Fig. 2. Observed and expected numbers of suicide deaths and 95% fluctuation interval by gender, from W01-2020 to W12-2022, France.

Figure 4

Table 3. Observed (O) number of suicide deaths, excess deaths (O–E) and mortality ratio (O/E) by age group and gender, during the different periods studied from March 2020 to March 2022 (Week 12), France

Figure 5

Fig. 3. Observed and expected numbers of suicide deaths and 95% fluctuation interval by age group, from W01-2020 to W12-2022, France.

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