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Early post-operative PV-ACO2/CA-VO2 predicts subsequent acute kidney injury after complete repair of tetralogy of Fallot

Part of: Surgery

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 July 2021

Yaya Xu
Affiliation:
Department of Pediatric Critical Care Medicine, Xinhua Hospital, Affiliated to the Medical School of Shanghai Jiaotong University, 1665 Kongjiang Road, Yangpu District, Shanghai 200092, China
Xiaodong Zhu*
Affiliation:
Department of Pediatric Critical Care Medicine, Xinhua Hospital, Affiliated to the Medical School of Shanghai Jiaotong University, 1665 Kongjiang Road, Yangpu District, Shanghai 200092, China
Lili Xu
Affiliation:
Department of Pediatric Critical Care Medicine, Xinhua Hospital, Affiliated to the Medical School of Shanghai Jiaotong University, 1665 Kongjiang Road, Yangpu District, Shanghai 200092, China
Zhen Li
Affiliation:
Department of Pediatric Critical Care Medicine, Xinhua Hospital, Affiliated to the Medical School of Shanghai Jiaotong University, 1665 Kongjiang Road, Yangpu District, Shanghai 200092, China
*
Author for correspondence: Xiaodong Zhu, MS, Department of Pediatric Critical Care Medicine, Xinhua Hospital Affiliated to the Medical School of Shanghai Jiaotong University, 1665 Kongjiang Road, Yangpu District, Shanghai 200092, China. Tel: +86-13651727806. E-mail: xinhuaxiaodong@126.com
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Abstract

Background:

Acute kidney injury is a severe complication following complete repair of tetralogy of Fallot. Anaerobic metabolism is believed to contribute to the development of acute kidney injury. The ratio of central venous to arterial carbon dioxide tension to arterio-venous oxygen content (PV-ACO2/CA-VO2) has been proposed as a surrogate for respiratory quotient and an indicator of tissue oxygenation. We hypothesised that a small increase of PV-ACO2/CA-VO2 might have superior discrimination ability in subsequent acute kidney injury prediction.

Methods:

This study is retrospective and single-centre design study. The study population consisted of 61 children with tetralogy of Fallot that underwent a complete surgical repair between July 2017 and January 2021. Baseline characteristics and intra-operative parameters were collected through a retrospective chart review. PV-ACO2/CA-VO2 was collected within 12 hours of surgical completion. Acute kidney injury was defined according to the criteria established by the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes group. Univariate and logistic regression analyses were performed to determine risk factors for acute kidney injury.

Results:

Of the 61 patients, 20 (32.8%) developed acute kidney injury. Multivariate logistic analyses showed that age, height, haematocrit, and Pv-aCO2/Ca-vO2 were independently associated with the development of acute kidney injury. The addition of Pv-aCO2/Ca-vO2 to the model significantly increased model discrimination [AUROC 0.939 (95% CI 0.894–0.984) and AUROC 0.922 (95% CI 0.869–0.975), respectively].

Conclusions:

The increase of PV-ACO2/CA-VO2 could improve the predictive ability for subsequent development of acute kidney injury in children with tetralogy of Fallot.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Table 1. Study population characteristics (n = 61).

Figure 1

Table 2. Comparison of oxygen metabolism index among groups (n = 61).

Figure 2

Table 3. Univariate analyses with AKI as the outcome variable (n = 61).

Figure 3

Table 4. Associations in model fit and discrimination across different models based on confirmative predictors for AKI (n = 61).

Figure 4

Figure 1. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysed by the logistic regression model for the prediction of post-operative acute kidney injury (AKI). A two-tailed P-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Model 1, an AKI risk prediction model in our study, was adjusted for age, height, and haematocrit (Hct). Model 2, an AKI risk prediction model in our study, was adjusted for age, height, Hct, and Pv-aCO2/Ca-vO2.