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Monitoring effectiveness of nirsevimab immunization against RSV hospitalization using surveillance data: a test-negative case–control study, Spain, October 2024–March 2025

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  09 December 2025

Sandra Campos Mena*
Affiliation:
National School of Health, Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain National Distance Education University (UNED), Madrid, Spain
Gloria Pérez-Gimeno
Affiliation:
CB06/02/0085, Biomedical Research Networking Centre on Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain Department of Communicable Diseases, Centre of Epidemiology, Carlos III Health Institute (CNE-ISCIII), Madrid, Spain
Nicola Lorusso
Affiliation:
Health and Consumption Department, General Directorate of Public Health and Pharmaceutical Management of Andalusia, Spain
Virginia Álvarez Río
Affiliation:
Epidemiology Service, General Directorate of Public Health, Castilla y León, Spain
Luca Basile
Affiliation:
Department of Health, Public Health Agency of Catalonia (ASPCAT), Catalunya, Spain
Noa Batalla Rebollo
Affiliation:
Subdirectorate of Epidemiology, General Directorate of Public Health, Extremadura, Spain
Luis García-Comas
Affiliation:
Communicable Diseases Area, General Subdirectorate of Public Health, General Directorate of Public Health, Madrid, Spain
Blanca Andreu Ivorra
Affiliation:
Department of Epidemiology, Regional Health Council, IMIB, Murcia, Spain
Jordi Pérez-Panadés
Affiliation:
General Subdirectorate of Epidemiology, Health Surveillance and Environmental Health, General Directorate of Public Health, Comunitat Valenciana, Spain
Violeta Ramos Marín
Affiliation:
Epidemiological Surveillance Service, General Directorate of Public Health, Ceuta, Spain
Daniel Castrillejo
Affiliation:
Epidemiological Surveillance Service, General Directorate of Public Health, Melilla, Spain
Ana Fernández Ibáñez
Affiliation:
Epidemiological Surveillance Section, General Directorate of Public Health and Mental Health, Asturias, Spain
María Ángeles Rafael de la Cruz López
Affiliation:
Epidemiology Service, General Directorate of Public Health, Castilla-La Mancha, Spain
Olivier Núñez
Affiliation:
CB06/02/0085, Biomedical Research Networking Centre on Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain Department of Communicable Diseases, Centre of Epidemiology, Carlos III Health Institute (CNE-ISCIII), Madrid, Spain
Susana Monge
Affiliation:
Department of Communicable Diseases, Centre of Epidemiology, Carlos III Health Institute (CNE-ISCIII), Madrid, Spain CB21/13/00091, Biomedical Research Networking Centre on Infectious Diseases (CIBERINFEC), Madrid, Spain
*
Corresponding author: Sandra Campos Mena; Email: sandra.campos@isciii.es
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Abstract

Effectiveness of nirsevimab against respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) hospitalization during the 2024/2025 season in Spain was estimated using a test-negative design (TND) and hospital-based respiratory infections surveillance data. Children born between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025 and hospitalized with severe respiratory infection between the start of the 2024 immunization campaign (regionally variable, between 16 September and 1 October 2024) and 31 March 2025 were systematically RT-PCR RSV-tested within 10 days of symptom onset and classified as cases if positive or controls if negative. Nirsevimab effectiveness ((1 − odds ratio) × 100) was estimated using logistic regression, adjusted for admission week, age, sex, high-risk factors, and regional RSV hospitalization rate. We included 199 cases (68.8% immunized) and 360 controls (86.4% immunized). Overall effectiveness was 65.5% (95% confidence interval: 45.2 to 78.3). Effectiveness was similar among infants born before and after the campaign start (63.6% vs. 70.4%, respectively). We found an unexpected early decrease in effectiveness with increasing time since immunization and age, albeit with wide confidence intervals for some groups. Strong age–period–cohort effects and potential sources of bias were identified, highlighting the need to further explore methodological challenges of implementing the TND in the dynamic population of newborns.

Information

Type
Original Paper
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. Flow chart of patient selection into the study among those admitted with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARI) in hospitals participating in national SARI surveillance.

Figure 1

Table 1. Characteristics of cases and controls overall and separately in the catch-up and at-birth nirsevimab immunization groups, Spain, 2024/2025 season (based on data from n = 559 children)

Figure 2

Figure 2. Distribution of cases and controls in the catch-up and at-birth groups by month of hospitalization, Spain, 2024/25 season.

Figure 3

Table 2. Overall effectiveness of nirsevimab immunization against hospitalization for respiratory syncytial virus infection in the first year of life, Spain, 2024/2025 season (based on data from n = 559 children)

Figure 4

Table 3. Effectiveness of catch-up and at-birth nirsevimab immunization against hospitalization for respiratory syncytial virus infection in the first year of life, Spain, 2024/2025 season (based on data from n = 559 children)

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