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Depression links to unstable resting-state brain dynamics: insights from hidden markov models and functional network variability

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 July 2025

Li Geng
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Cognition and Personality (SWU), Ministry of Education, Chongqing, China Faculty of Psychology, Southwest University (SWU) , Chongqing, China
Qiuyang Feng
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Cognition and Personality (SWU), Ministry of Education, Chongqing, China Faculty of Psychology, Southwest University (SWU) , Chongqing, China
Xueyang Wang
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Cognition and Personality (SWU), Ministry of Education, Chongqing, China Faculty of Psychology, Southwest University (SWU) , Chongqing, China
Jiangzhou Sun
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Cognition and Personality (SWU), Ministry of Education, Chongqing, China College of International Studies, Southwest University (SWU), Chongqing, China
Shuang Tang
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Cognition and Personality (SWU), Ministry of Education, Chongqing, China Faculty of Psychology, Southwest University (SWU) , Chongqing, China
Hui Jia
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Cognition and Personality (SWU), Ministry of Education, Chongqing, China Faculty of Psychology, Southwest University (SWU) , Chongqing, China
Yu Li*
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Cognition and Personality (SWU), Ministry of Education, Chongqing, China Faculty of Psychology, Southwest University (SWU) , Chongqing, China
Jiang Qiu*
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Cognition and Personality (SWU), Ministry of Education, Chongqing, China Faculty of Psychology, Southwest University (SWU) , Chongqing, China
*
Corresponding authors: Yu Li and Jiang Qiu; Emails: liyupsy@swu.edu.cn; qiuj318@swu.edu.cn
Corresponding authors: Yu Li and Jiang Qiu; Emails: liyupsy@swu.edu.cn; qiuj318@swu.edu.cn
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Abstract

Background

Depression is closely associated with abnormalities in brain function. Traditional static functional connectivity analyses offer limited insight into the temporal variability of brain activity. Recent advances in dynamic analyses enable a deeper understanding of how depression relates to temporal fluctuations in brain activity.

Methods

This study utilized a large resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging dataset (N = 696) to examine the association between brain dynamics and depression. Two complementary approaches were employed. Hidden Markov modeling (HMM) was used to identify discrete brain states and quantify their temporal switching patterns; temporal variability was computed within and between large-scale functional networks to capture time-varying fluctuations in functional connectivity.

Results

Depression scores were positively associated with switching rate and negatively associated with maximum fractional occupancy. Furthermore, depression scores were significantly associated with greater temporal variability both within and between networks, with particularly strong effects observed in the default mode network, ventral attention network, and frontoparietal network. Together, these findings suggest that individuals with higher depression scores exhibit more unstable brain dynamics.

Conclusion

Our findings reveal that individuals with higher depression levels exhibit greater instability in brain state transitions and increased temporal variability in functional connectivity across large-scale networks. This instability in brain dynamics may contribute to difficulties in emotion regulation and cognitive control. By capturing whole-brain temporal patterns, this study offers a novel perspective on the neural basis of depression.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. Workflow of fMRI data preprocessing and dynamic state analysis using HMM. MRI data were acquired and preprocessed to generate time-series signals. These signals were segmented into regional time series using a brain atlas template, and subsequently integrated into functional network time series. Functional network parcellation was based on the Schaefer 400 Parcel Atlas, which divides the entire brain into 17 specific functional networks. The resulting time-series data were subsequently analyzed using the HMM model. HMM assumes that the time series can be described by a finite number of hidden states, which are mutually exclusive in time and recur intermittently (as shown in the figure, with red, yellow, and blue representing three distinct states). The HMM output includes state activation probabilities at each time point and state-specific parameter estimates, revealing the dynamic properties of neural activity. Additionally, the probability of the hidden state at the current time point (Xt) depends on the state at the previous time point (Xt − 1), reflecting the temporal dependencies inherent to the model.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Spatial and functional connectivity profiles of brain states identified by the hidden Markov model during the scan. For each brain state, the left panel displays the spatial distribution of average activation, representing the relative loading with respect to the mean activation. Blue indicates negative activation, while red indicates positive activation. The right panel illustrates the top 5% of positive functional connectivity, highlighting the strongest connections associated with each state.

Figure 2

Figure 3. Relationships between MaxFO, Switching Rate, and depression scores. Significance levels are indicated as *p < 0.05 and ***p < 0.001. For clarity, only 1/4 of the data points were plotted in scatterplots, with every fourth point shown.

Figure 3

Figure 4. Relationships between within-network and between-network temporal variability and depression scores. (a) Calculation of within-network variability. The BOLD signals of ROIs within each network were divided into n nonoverlapping time windows of length l. Functional connectivity (FC) was calculated for each time window, and variability was estimated across all time windows. (b) Networks with within-network variability significantly associated with depression scores. (c) Calculation of between-network variability. Using a similar approach, the FC variability for each network pair was calculated, reflecting the dynamic changes in FC patterns between networks. (d) The five network pairs with the strongest correlations between between-network variability and depression scores. DMN, ‘Default Mode Network’; SMN, ‘Somatomotor Network’; VAN, ‘Ventral Attention Network’; FPN, ‘Frontoparietal Control Network’.

Figure 4

Figure 5. Contribution of individual networks to between-network variability associated with depression scores. (a) Spatial distribution of network-level contributions, displayed as cumulative r-values mapped onto the cortical surface. Warmer colors indicate higher contributions. (b) Bar plot showing the sum of r-values for each network, representing the cumulative correlation between each network’s between-network variability and depression scores. DMN, ‘Default Mode Network’; SMN, ‘Somatomotor Network’; VAN, ‘Ventral Attention Network’; FPN, ‘Frontoparietal Control Network’; TP, ‘Temporoparietal Network’.

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