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Spatio-temporal distribution and habitat selection of the Vulnerable Iberian Grey Shrike Lanius meridionalis in the Mediterranean scrublands

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 April 2026

Alexandre Millon*
Affiliation:
Aix-Marseille Université, Institut Méditerranéen Biodiversité & Ecologie (IMBE), CNRS, IRD, Avignon Université , France
Olivier Hameau
Affiliation:
Ligue pour la Protection des Oiseaux PACA, Hyères, France
Annabelle Piat
Affiliation:
Parc Naturel Régional des Alpilles, Saint-Rémy de Provence, France
Beya Boumaza
Affiliation:
Aix-Marseille Université, Institut Méditerranéen Biodiversité & Ecologie (IMBE), CNRS, IRD, Avignon Université , France Ligue pour la Protection des Oiseaux PACA, Hyères, France
Agathe Leriche
Affiliation:
Aix-Marseille Université, Institut Méditerranéen Biodiversité & Ecologie (IMBE), CNRS, IRD, Avignon Université , France
*
Corresponding author: Alexandre Millon; Email: alexandre.millon@imbe.fr
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Summary

Bird species occupying open habitats are subject to constant changes in habitat suitability and availability related to forest colonisation and the frequency of disturbance re-opening their habitats. The Laniidae family is made of open habitat specialists with five out of the six species of shrikes occurring in Europe rapidly declining. Here we quantified the probability of occupancy of the Iberian Grey Shrike Lanius meridionalis (Vulnerable), an endemic of Mediterranean open habitats, based on multiple-season monitoring data and allowing for imperfect detection. This scheme was carried out by a network of amateur ornithologists every other year from 2013 to 2023 in 213 ± 38 25-ha plots composed of a priori suitable scrubland on the edge of the species distribution in south-eastern France. The probability of detection averaged 0.52 ± 0.03 highlighting the relevance of a multiple-season design for this shy passerine species. The probability of occupancy averaged 0.35 ± 0.02 and only varied slightly between years (between 0.23 ± 0.04 and 0.41 ± 0.07) suggesting a stable population in scrubland over a decade. Shrike occupancy increased with increasing potential solar irradiation received at ground level, a proxy for arthropod prey abundance, and this effect was amplified in plots subject to recent fire. For a plot exposed to median solar irradiation, predicted shrike occupancy averaged 0.26 ± 0.07, 0.44 ± 0.08, and 0.52 ± 0.08 in plots subject to a fire 55 years, 24 years, and 11 years respectively before the survey, (i.e. 10th–50th–90th percentiles, respectively). We also found that increasing distance from human infrastructures increased shrike occupancy. Overall, our results revealed the potential factors responsible for habitat loss in a Vulnerable, open-habitat specialist bird. Secretive species like the Iberian Grey Shrike would benefit from natural habitats kept free from scattered human infrastructures and where natural processes like fire are maintained.

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of BirdLife International
Figure 0

Figure 1. Temporal variation in the proportion of plots occupied by the Iberian Grey Shrike in Mediterranean scrublands of south-eastern France: the annual number of plots surveyed (black squares) were 254, 268, 195, 177, 184, and 198 from 2013 to 2023, respectively, and the probabilities of detection (white triangles) and occupancy (grey circles) were estimated by a hierarchical site occupancy model. Error bars are 95% confidence intervals. Mean values across the six years for each variable are indicated with horizontal dashed lines; from the top line down – probabilities of detection, occupancy, and proportion of plots occupied, respectively.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Variation in the probability of occupancy of the Iberian Grey Shrike in Mediterranean scrublands of south-eastern France in response to plot characteristics, i.e. distance to human infrastructure (left) and altitude (right), as estimated by a site-occupancy model accounting for imperfect detection (prediction from the full model taking the year 2015 as a reference). In each panel, mean predicted values (dark green lines) are shown with 95% confidence intervals (light green lines) together with raw data (grey circles with a slight jitter added, N = 1,276 plot × year). Vertical dashed lines indicate the probability of occupancy for the 10th, 50th (or median), and 90th percentiles of the distribution of each explanatory variable, predicted from the full model and setting the other variables at their mean values.

Figure 2

Figure 3. Variation in the probability of occupancy of the Iberian Grey Shrike in the Mediterranean scrublands of south-eastern France according to plot sun exposure (potential global irradiation). The coloured curves indicate the predicted values for plots subject to a fire 55 years (green), 24 years (orange), and 11 years (red) before the survey. These three values correspond to the 90th, 50th (median), and 10th percentiles of time since the last fire, respectively. The three short vertical lines above the x-axis indicate the same percentiles for potential global irradiation and thus the range of values concentrating 80% of the data. The positive effect of potential global irradiation on shrike occupancy is stronger in plots subject to recent fires.

Figure 3

Figure 4. Predicted probability of Iberian Grey Shrike occupancy in the Mediterranean scrubland of south-eastern France. Note that these predictions incorporated the average environmental variation of the year 2023. See Figure S6 for a map showing the standard errors associated with these mean predictions.

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