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Posttraumatic stress symptoms and posttraumatic stress disorder in adolescents exposed to continuous traumatic stress in Sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 January 2026

Mohhadiah Rafique
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Tygerberg, South Africa
Alberta Susanna Johanna van der Watt*
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Tygerberg, South Africa
Olena Solonenko
Affiliation:
Department of General and Clinical Psychology, Lesya Ukrainka Volyn National University, Lutsk, Ukraine
Yuliia Rozmyrska
Affiliation:
Department of Educational and Developmental Psychology, Lesya Ukrainka Volyn National University, Lutsk, Ukraine
Soraya Seedat
Affiliation:
SAMRC Genomics of Brain Disorders Research Unit, Department of Psychiatry, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Tygerberg, South Africa
Larysa Zasiekina
Affiliation:
Department of Psychology, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
*
Corresponding author: Alberta Susanna Johanna van der Watt; Email: bertevdwatt@sun.ac.za
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Abstract

Continuous traumatic stress (CTS) exposure describes extended and ongoing collective trauma exposure that is associated with potential future danger and threat to the community. CTS has generated debate in the context of current definitions of trauma and posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) in the DSM-5. Prevalence data on posttraumatic stress symptoms (PTSS) and PTSD in adolescents aged 10 to 24 years following CTS exposure in Sub-Saharan Africa are lacking. This systematic review and meta-analysis sought to address this gap. We also synthesized evidence on other trauma-related mental disorders and moderators such as mean age, sex, country income, education level, PTSS/PTSD assessment tool, and recruitment method. A systematic literature search covering four databases yielded 460 papers that were screened for eligibility, with 10 studies included. Data were extracted and coded, and a meta-analysis of the pooled prevalence of clinically significant PTSS/PTSD was conducted. Results indicated a pooled prevalence of PTSS/PTSD of 32.0% (95% CI: 20.7% to 46.0%). Country income (World Bank category) and type of assessment (clinician-administered vs. self-report) significantly moderated the prevalence of PTSS/PTSD. Further research is needed to not only measure CTS as an exposure but also as a response separate from PTSS/PTSD among adolescents in Sub-Saharan Africa. Additionally, research is needed to determine the validity, reliability, and cultural relevance of CTS response measures. Such studies will help in better understanding the psychosocial impact of CTS exposure on adolescents and inform the development of future interventions. Detailed data on the prevalence of PTSS/PTSD and moderators thereof following CTS exposure in Sub-Saharan Africa are sparse. Further studies are needed to characterize CTS-related comorbidities and related phenomena in adolescents living under conditions of CTS exposure and to optimize evidence-based interventions.

Information

Type
Review
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - ND
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided that no alterations are made and the original article is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press or the rights holder(s) must be obtained prior to any commercial use and/or adaptation of the article.
Copyright
© Stellenbosch University, 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. Prisma flow diagram.

Figure 1

Table 1. Risk of bias outcomes

Figure 2

Table 2. Descriptive data of the included studies’ country, World Bank category, sample, and methodology

Figure 3

Table 3. Descriptive data of the included studies’ trauma and PTSS/PTSD measures and prevalence

Figure 4

Figure 2. Forest Plot with PTSS/PTSD prevalence.

Figure 5

Figure 3. Forest Plot with PTSS/PTSD prevalence per World Bank Category.

Figure 6

Figure 4. Forest Plot with PTSS/PTSD prevalence per PTSS/PTSD measure used.

Figure 7

Table 4. Descriptive data of the included studies’ comorbidity measures and prevalence

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Author comment: Posttraumatic stress symptoms and posttraumatic stress disorder in adolescents exposed to continuous traumatic stress in Sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis — R0/PR1

Comments

Hereby, we submit our research article to be considered for publication in Cambridge Prisms: Global Mental Health. Our article on Posttraumatic Stress Symptoms and Posttraumatic Stress Disorder in Adolescents Exposed to Continuous Traumatic Stress in Sub-Saharan Africa is a systematic review and meta-analysis of posttraumatic stress symptoms (PTSS) and posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) among adolescents (aged 10 to 24 years) in Sub-Saharan Africa.

There is a lack of published prevalence data on PTSS and PTSD in adolescents aged 10 to 24 years in Sub-Saharan Africa, a region often plagued by continuous wars, armed conflict, and traumatic stress. Given the potential negative impact of continuous traumatic stress (CTS) exposure on adolescents’ developmental trajectories, we aimed to fill this gap. Further, we highlight predictors of PTSS and PTSD in adolescents exposed to CTS.

Finally, we highlight an important debate in the context of the current definitions of trauma and PTSD in the DSM-5; as well as the importance of developing culturally appropriate measures to determine CTS responses which are not fully captured within the PTSD symptomatology criteria.

We declare that we have no competing interests. This article was not submitted to any other journal. We look forward to a favourable response.

Yours faithfully

Berte

Review: Posttraumatic stress symptoms and posttraumatic stress disorder in adolescents exposed to continuous traumatic stress in Sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis — R0/PR2

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

This is an important and understudied topic and will be valuable to the field. However clarity is needed on the focus of the paper (i.e., CTS vs PTSS) and framing matching the study results. In addition, I am concerned about the inclusion of purposive samples being presented as being appropriate for representing population level prevalence estimates. This inclusion has not been justified and is likely biasing the results.

The introduction does not map onto the methods and results of the study. The intro focuses on defining CTS and differentiating it from non-continuous trauma and differentiating its symptoms from PTSS. However, the study does not document CTS or the symptoms of CTS as described in the intro (i.e., exhaustion/detachment, rage/betrayal, and fear/helplessness). Instead it focuses on documenting “traditional” PTSS. Indeed, none of the study aims describes documenting these specific symptoms. I suggest rewriting the introduction to more accurately provide background for the study methods that are actually employed. Similarly the implications sections discusses CTS rather than implications for the results as reported.

Explain how RCTs were incorporated into the review.

“Three (30%) showed a low risk of bias, and seven (7%) showed a medium risk of bias” – how were these percentages calculated? They seem to be reversed? Provide more detail on the risk of bias results. What aspects of the studies made them more biased?

Justify the use of purposive samples to estimate population prevalence and for pooling these results with representative samples? For example is a study of displaced child soldiers going to accurately measure the prevalence rate of PTSD in the broader community? Did sampling moderate the results?

Review: Posttraumatic stress symptoms and posttraumatic stress disorder in adolescents exposed to continuous traumatic stress in Sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis — R0/PR3

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

The review of the manuscript entitled “Posttraumatic Stress Symptoms and Posttraumatic Stress Disorder in Adolescents Exposed to Continuous Traumatic Stress in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis”, Manuscript ID: GMH-2025-0276.

This systematic review and meta-analysis examines the prevalence of PTSD and posttraumatic stress symptoms among adolescents exposed to continuous traumatic stress in Sub-Saharan Africa. The authors conducted a comprehensive search yielding 10 studies with 6,394 participants, finding a pooled PTSD/PTSS prevalence of 32%. The study addresses an important gap in understanding trauma responses in contexts of ongoing threat and violence.

The study makes a valuable contribution by focusing on continuous traumatic stress rather than single traumatic events, which is particularly relevant for Sub-Saharan African contexts. The methodology is rigorous, following PRISMA guidelines and appropriate meta-analytic techniques. The moderator analyses examining World Bank income categories and assessment methods provide useful insights into factors affecting prevalence estimates.

The following comments address the potential directions for manuscript improvement:

The conceptualization of continuous traumatic stress requires greater clarity throughout the manuscript. While the authors provide a definition of CTS in the introduction, there is insufficient discussion of how the included studies actually captured the “continuous” nature of trauma exposure. Most studies appeaar to use standard PTSD assessment tools that focus on past traumatic events rather than ongoing threats. The authors should explicitly discuss this conceptual-methodological gap and consider adding a column to Table 3 indicating how each study operationalized continuous exposure. Furthermore, a more thorough discussion comparing CTS to related concepts like complex PTSD and developmental trauma would strengthen the theoretical framework.

The extreme heterogeneity (I²=99%) raises serious concerns about the appropriateness of pooling these studies. While the authors acknowledge this heterogeneity, they should provide a more thorough exploration of its sources and implications. Conducting sensitivity analyses by systematically excluding studies one at a time would help identify potential outliers driving this heterogeneity. The authors should also consider whether the heterogeneity is so substantial that providing a pooled estimate may be misleading, and discuss this limitation more prominently.

The geographical concentration of studies presents a significant limitation that needs more attention. With six of ten studies from South Africa, the generalizability to other Sub-Saharan African contexts is questionable. South Africa’s unique historical context of apartheid and its aftermath, combined with its upper-middle-income status, may produce trauma exposure patterns and mental health outcomes that differ substantially from other Sub-Saharan countries. The authors should expand their discussion of how this geographical skew might affect the pooled prevalence estimate and explicitly acknowledge the limited representativeness of their findings for the broader Sub-Saharan African region.

The mixing of diagnostic interviews with screening tools in the meta-analysis is methodologically problematic and requires more careful handling. The authors found that clinician-administered measures yielded significantly higher prevalence rates (49%) compared to self-report measures (28%), yet they still pool all studies together. Consider providing separate pooled estimates for studies using diagnostic versus screening tools, as these measure different constructs (probable PTSD vs. clinical diagnosis). Additionally, the manuscript would benefit from a more thorough discussion of which assessment tools have been validated in African adolescent populations and the implications of using Western-developed measures in these contexts.

The broad age range of 10-24 years spans distinctly different developmental periods with varying cognitive, emotional, and social characteristics. The authors justify this range by citing protracted brain development, but they do not adequately address how developmental differences might affect trauma responses and PTSD presentation. A subgroup analysis comparing early adolescents (10-14), middle adolescents (15-19), and emerging adults (20-24) would provide valuable developmental insights. If sample sizes preclude such analyses, this limitation should be discussed more thoroughly.

The exclusion of 16 studies due to missing PTSD prevalence data represents a substantial loss of information that could introduce selection bias. The authors mention contacting corresponding authors but received only one response. The manuscript would be strengthened by providing a supplementary table comparing the characteristics of excluded versus included studies to help readers assess potential bias. The authors should also discuss whether alternative approaches, such as using available case data to calculate prevalence or employing statistical methods for handling missing data, were considered.

The presentation of results could be improved for clarity and accessibility. Table 3 is particularly dense and difficult to interpret in its current format. Consider splitting this table into separate tables for trauma exposure measures, PTSD measures, and comorbidity data.

Finally, while the authors mention the importance of developing culturally appropriate interventions, the clinical implications of their findings deserve more elaborate discussion. The manuscript would benefit from specific recommendations about how the high prevalence rates and identified moderators should inform intervention development and mental health service planning in resource-limited settings. The authors should also expand their discussion of how the concept of continuous traumatic stress might necessitate different therapeutic approaches compared to interventions designed for single-incident trauma.

Recommendation: Posttraumatic stress symptoms and posttraumatic stress disorder in adolescents exposed to continuous traumatic stress in Sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis — R0/PR4

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Decision: Posttraumatic stress symptoms and posttraumatic stress disorder in adolescents exposed to continuous traumatic stress in Sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis — R0/PR5

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Author comment: Posttraumatic stress symptoms and posttraumatic stress disorder in adolescents exposed to continuous traumatic stress in Sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis — R1/PR6

Comments

We thank you for the opportunity to revise and resubmit the manuscript. We truly appreciate the time spent by the reviewers to provide very valuable feedback. We have attended to all the feedback, which greatly improved the quality of the article. We look forward to a favourable response.

Regards

Dr ASJ van der Watt

Review: Posttraumatic stress symptoms and posttraumatic stress disorder in adolescents exposed to continuous traumatic stress in Sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis — R1/PR7

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

The authors did a good job in answering questions and improving the manuscript. I have no further comments.

Recommendation: Posttraumatic stress symptoms and posttraumatic stress disorder in adolescents exposed to continuous traumatic stress in Sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis — R1/PR8

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Decision: Posttraumatic stress symptoms and posttraumatic stress disorder in adolescents exposed to continuous traumatic stress in Sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis — R1/PR9

Comments

No accompanying comment.