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Opinion: Projecting the effects of environmental change on Antarcticseals

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 May 2008

Donald B. Siniff*
Affiliation:
Department of Ecology, Evolution and Behavioral Biology, University of Minnesota, 100 Ecology Building, St Paul, MN 55108, USA
Robert A. Garrott
Affiliation:
Ecology Department, Montana State University, 310 Lewis Hall, Bozeman, MT 59717, USA
Jay J. Rotella
Affiliation:
Ecology Department, Montana State University, 310 Lewis Hall, Bozeman, MT 59717, USA
William R. Fraser
Affiliation:
Polar Oceans Research Group, PO Box 368, Sheridan, MT 59749, USA
David G. Ainley
Affiliation:
H.T. Harvey & Associates, 983 University Avenue, Los Gatos, CA 95032, USA

Abstract

We consider how Antarctic seals may respond to changes in climate, realizing thatanthropogenic alteration of food webs will influence these responses. Thespecies considered include the ice-obligate - crabeater (Lobodon carcinophaga), Weddell (Leptonychotes weddellii), Ross (Ommataphoca rossii) and leopard (Hydrurga leptonyx) seal - and the ice-tolerant Antarctic furseal (Arctocephalus gazella) and southernelephant seal (Mirounga leonina). The dataanalysed are from long-term censuses of Weddell seals in McMurdo Sound(1997–2006), and of Weddell, fur and elephant seals at ArthurHarbour, Antarctic Peninsula (1974–2005). After considering theirresponses to recent changes in environmental features, as well as projected andcurrent changes to their habitat our conclusions are that the distribution andabundance of 1) crabeater and Weddell seals will be negatively affected bychanges in the extent, persistence and type of annual sea ice, 2) Ross andleopard seal will be the least negatively influenced by changes in pack icecharacteristics, although, as may be the case for crabeater and Weddell,population size and distribution may be altered through changes in food webdynamics, and 3) southern elephant and fur seals will respond in ways oppositeto the pack ice species, but could also be influenced most immediately bychanges in their food resources due to factors other than climate.

Information

Type
Opinion
Copyright
Copyright © Antarctic Science Ltd 2008

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