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We summarize some of the past year's most important findings within climate change-related research. New research has improved our understanding of Earth's sensitivity to carbon dioxide, finds that permafrost thaw could release more carbon emissions than expected and that the uptake of carbon in tropical ecosystems is weakening. Adverse impacts on human society include increasing water shortages and impacts on mental health. Options for solutions emerge from rethinking economic models, rights-based litigation, strengthened governance systems and a new social contract. The disruption caused by COVID-19 could be seized as an opportunity for positive change, directing economic stimulus towards sustainable investments.
Technical summary
A synthesis is made of ten fields within climate science where there have been significant advances since mid-2019, through an expert elicitation process with broad disciplinary scope. Findings include: (1) a better understanding of equilibrium climate sensitivity; (2) abrupt thaw as an accelerator of carbon release from permafrost; (3) changes to global and regional land carbon sinks; (4) impacts of climate change on water crises, including equity perspectives; (5) adverse effects on mental health from climate change; (6) immediate effects on climate of the COVID-19 pandemic and requirements for recovery packages to deliver on the Paris Agreement; (7) suggested long-term changes to governance and a social contract to address climate change, learning from the current pandemic, (8) updated positive cost–benefit ratio and new perspectives on the potential for green growth in the short- and long-term perspective; (9) urban electrification as a strategy to move towards low-carbon energy systems and (10) rights-based litigation as an increasingly important method to address climate change, with recent clarifications on the legal standing and representation of future generations.
Social media summary
Stronger permafrost thaw, COVID-19 effects and growing mental health impacts among highlights of latest climate science.
Engagement of general practitioners (GPs) and recruitment of patients are ever present problems in primary care studies. This paper seeks to demonstrate that electronic prompts represent one method of easing the burden on GPs to recruit individual patients to studies and also provide the opportunity to collect research data during a normal consultation.
Methods
Older adults consulting for non-inflammatory musculoskeletal pain from five general practices in Cheshire were recruited to a prospective cohort study (the PROG-RES study). Recruitment of patients was aided by a computer prompt during relevant consultations. When triggered by an appropriate Read code, a pop-up template appeared on the consultation screen prompting the GPs to record the answers to seven brief questions. A self-complete questionnaire was mailed to patients who had completed templates by the Keele GP Research Network team and permission was sought to access their medical records. A feasibility study suggested that the potential number of activated templates in the practice within four months would be 636.
Results
The 44 GPs completed 650 electronic templates during the four-month recruitment period. Almost 40% of recruitment was within four weeks and greater than 95% of recruitment was within 16 weeks. Practices A–D completed electronic templates at a similar rate (1.61–1.86 templates per 1000 patients), although practice E completed templates at a lower frequency (0.76) due to internal difficulties. Completion of individual items ranged from 98% to 83% and completion of all seven questions was recorded in 63% of patients; 4% of patients had three or fewer responses recorded.
Conclusion
Templates activated by appropriate codes in the GP consultation can facilitate recruitment to observational studies in primary care. It is possible to collect high-quality research data within a normal consultation. This may be a model for use in future studies in primary care.
This study examines contraceptive method switching among married women in the US. It enquires first into the effect of method type and women's socioeconomic characteristics on the risk of switching to each of six methods, including no method, and secondly into the previous methods used by women who adopt specific contraceptive means. The results indicate a great deal of circulation among all method types and of movement to unprotected intercourse. The adoption of sterilization is greatest among women not previously using any contraceptive method.
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