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This chapter elaborates on the logic of policy change, arguing that the forces of status quo usually hold the upper hand in preserving existing policies and limiting the amount of their change. However, over time pressure builds up and, when accompanied by media attention and skillful political entrepreneurs, this status quo can be shattered and fundamental changes take place abruptly. There is a serendipitous quality to such transformation, pointing to the confluence of accidental factors that are usually beyond the control of any individual political actor, thus making its specific nature and timing difficult to predict.

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4 - Prospects of US Intervention in a Taiwan Crisis, and the Conjunctive Logic

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4 - Prospects of US Intervention in a Taiwan Crisis, and the Conjunctive Logic

Summary