Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-89b8bd64d-9prln Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2026-05-05T13:25:34.215Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

7 - A Meaningless but Stable Future

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 February 2026

Randall L. Schweller
Affiliation:
Ohio State University
Get access

Summary

The future will see a perpetuation of the present coexistence of unbalanced bipolarity, polycentrism, and emergent regional multipolarity. As in the past, twenty-first-century world politics will be chiefly defined by competition among the powerful. Asia is the only region where the world’s heaviest hitters come into steady and direct contact with one another. As such, it presents the maximum risk for major-power war. Most critical is the direction of the U.S.–China relationship, and this, in turn, will be significantly affected by China’s power trajectory. More broadly, geoeconomic competition and status challenges will be persistent features of international politics, as established and emerging powers try to keep up with changes in relative power and technology. The disintegration of power and principle will also continue apace, impeded by the fact that internationalist principles and institutions are themselves deeply heterogenous. Nevertheless, the future should be bright, presenting only a moderate-to-low risk of conflict. States can best navigate future risks and dangers by muddling through rather than straight-jacketing themselves by means of a grand strategy.

Information

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Book purchase

Temporarily unavailable

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure no-reply@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×