Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-sxzjt Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-16T15:37:27.167Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

15 - The catastrophe modeling response to Hurricane Katrina

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 September 2009

Robert Muir-Wood
Affiliation:
Risk Management Solutions (RMS), 7015, Gateway Boulevard, Newark, CA 94560, USA
Patricia Grossi
Affiliation:
Risk Management Solutions (RMS), 7015 Gateway Boulevard, Newark, CA 94560, USA
Henry F. Diaz
Affiliation:
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, District of Columbia
Richard J. Murnane
Affiliation:
Bermuda Biological Station for Research, Garrett Park, Maryland
Get access

Summary

Introduction

Hurricane Katrina was the most destructive US natural disaster in history and the most expensive catastrophe loss ever for the global insurance industry. The occurrence of Hurricane Katrina, and the associated flooding of New Orleans, was also by far the greatest US catastrophe to have occurred since the widespread application of catastrophe models in the mid 1990s. The combination of catastrophic wind and flood losses proved to be a potent test of the underlying methodologies and procedures of catastrophe loss modeling. This chapter reviews the impact of Hurricane Katrina and the response of Risk Management Solutions (RMS) to the event, both in the immediate aftermath and then in galvanizing new research to expand the agenda for catastrophe loss modeling in order to gain a more comprehensive perspective on catastrophe risk costs.

The legacy of Hurricane Katrina has meant that the agenda of catastrophe modeling has become more complex and comprehensive in attempting to capture all facets of loss, incorporating an expanded range of nonlinearities that ramp up losses caused by the largest catastrophes. The insurance industry has also learned from the experience to question the validity and comprehensiveness of the data that are entered into the models and how the models are employed to explore the sensitivity of predicted losses.

Type
Chapter
Information
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2008

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Emanuel, K. A. (2005). Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years. Nature, 436, 686–8.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Grossi, P., and Muir-Wood, R. (2006). Flood risk in New Orleans: implications for future flood risk and insurability. RMS Technical Report. Available at www.rms.com/Publications/.
Hartwig R. (2006). Hurricane season of 2005: impacts on US P/C Markets, 2006 and beyond. March 2006, presentation, Insurance Information Institute. Available at www.iii.org/media/presentations/katrina/. http://server.iii.org/yy_obj_data/binary/744085_1_0/katrina.pdf.
Independent Levee Investigation Team (ILIT) (2006). Investigation of the performance of the New Orleans flood protection systems in Hurricane Katrina on August 29, 2005. July 31, 2006. Available at www.ce.berkeley.edu/~new_orleans/.
Post-Katrina/Interagency Performance Evaluation Taskforce (IPET) (2006). Performance evaluation report 2 and interim status. March 2006. Available at https://ipet.wes.army.mil/.
Knabb, R. D., Rhome, J. D., and Brown, D. P. (2005). Tropical cyclone report, Hurricane Katrina, August 23–30, 2005. National Hurricane Center (NHC), December 20, 2005. Available at www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL122005_Katrina.pdf.
Lonfat, M., Boissonnade, A., and Muir-Wood, R. (2007). Atlantic basin, U.S. and Caribbean landfall activity rates over the 2006–2010 period: an insurance industry perspective. Tellus (in press).
Mann, M. E., and Emanuel, K. A. (2006). Atlantic hurricane trends linked to climate change. Eos: Transactions of the American Geophysical Union, 87(24), 233–44.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Muir-Wood, R., and Bateman, W. (2005). Uncertainties and constraints on breaching and their implications for flood loss estimation. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A, 363(1831), 1423–30.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Risk Management Solutions (RMS) (2005). Hurricane Katrina: profile of a super cat, lessons and implications for catastrophe risk management. www.rms.com/publications/.
US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) (2006). Draft final report of the Interagency Performance Evaluation Task Force (June 1, 2006). Available at https://IPET.wes.army.mil.
US Navy (USN) (1983). Hurricane Havens Handbook for the North Atlantic Ocean. Naval Research Laboratory, NAVENVPREDRSCHFAC TR 82–03 (modified August 2005). Available at www.nrlmry.navy.mil/port_studies/tr8203nc/0start.htm.

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×