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13 - Models for Cognitive and Wealth Development in the Twenty-First Century

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 February 2018

Heiner Rindermann
Heiner Rindermann
Affiliation:
Technische Universität Chemnitz, Germany
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Summary

Based on assumptions for cognitive development at the level of nations, on past economic growth and on achieved wealth a theoretical model for cognitive and wealth development in the twenty-first century is described. Assumptions on future cognitive development include factors such as the FLynn effect; expansion and improvement of education; changes in demographics and differential birth rates; migration; general cultural and environmental changes. Economic growth and wealth models consider past growth, cognitive development, demographic change, achieved wealth (resp. advantages of backwardness), rising complexity, country risk factors and regional neighbour effects. Results for the year 2100 depending on the chosen models are presented.

Type
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Cognitive Capitalism
Human Capital and the Wellbeing of Nations
 , pp. 414 - 479
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2018

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