Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-pftt2 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-05-23T13:12:14.919Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

5 - Seismicity rate and magnitudes

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 May 2015

Serge A. Shapiro
Affiliation:
Freie Universität Berlin
Get access

Summary

Magnitudes M of fluid-induced seismicity are usually in the range −3 < M < 2. Nevertheless, especially for long-term injections with durations of months or years, earthquakes with larger magnitudes (M = 4 or even larger) have been observed (Ake et al., 2005; Majer et al., 2007). Fluid-induced earthquakes with M from 3 to 4 occurred at several Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) like those of Basel, Cooper Basin, The Geysers Field and Soultz (Giardini, 2009; Majer et al., 2007; Häring et al., 2008; Dyer et al., 2008; Baisch et al., 2009). Smaller but still perceptible events can be also observed by hydraulic fracturing of hydrocarbon reservoirs.

Induced seismic hazard is a topic of significance in the shale-gas industry (National Research Council, 2013). Its understanding is of a considerable importance for mining of deep geothermic energy. It is of significance for CO2 underground storage (see Zoback and Gorelick, 2012) and possibly also for other types of geo-technological activities (see Avouac, 2012).

Identifying parameters that control magnitudes and their statistics is a key point for evaluating the seismic hazard of fluid injections. Similarly to the tectonic seismicity, statistics of the induced seismicity can be rather well described by the Gutenberg–Richter frequency–magnitude distribution (Shapiro et al., 2007, 2010, 2011; Shapiro and Dinske, 2009a,b; Dinske and Shapiro, 2013). However, large-magnitude events deviate from it (Shapiro et al., 2011). In this chapter we analyze the influence of fluid injections on the frequency–magnitude statistics of induced events. We start with a model of point-like independent seismic events. This model describes the statistics of numerous small-magnitude earthquakes well. The model allows us to formulate a simple description of the seismicity rate and to introduce parameters quantifying the seismo-tectonic state of a fluid-injection site. One such useful parameter is the seismogenic index. This helps to predict the probability of given-magnitude events. However, the model of point-like events tends to overestimate the probability of significant magnitudes.

Type
Chapter
Information
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2015

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×