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14 - Conclusion

from Part IV - Applications

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 February 2024

Michael A. Bailey
Affiliation:
Georgetown University, Washington DC
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Summary

This is a brief conclusion arguing that the direction forward is clear, even if the path is not. The time for assuming away problems is past. We should begin with a paradigm that reflects all the ways that polling can go wrong and then identify, model, and measure all the sources of bias, not just the ones that are easy to fix. Much work remains to be done, though, as these new models and data sources will require much evaluation and development theoretically, empirically, and practically. The payoff will be that survey researchers will be able to remain true to their aspirations of using information about a small number of people to understand the realities about many people, even as it gets harder and hear from anyone, let alone the random samples that our previous theory relied on.

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Polling at a Crossroads
Rethinking Modern Survey Research
, pp. 252
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2024

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  • Conclusion
  • Michael A. Bailey, Georgetown University, Washington DC
  • Book: Polling at a Crossroads
  • Online publication: 29 February 2024
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108697798.015
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  • Conclusion
  • Michael A. Bailey, Georgetown University, Washington DC
  • Book: Polling at a Crossroads
  • Online publication: 29 February 2024
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108697798.015
Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Conclusion
  • Michael A. Bailey, Georgetown University, Washington DC
  • Book: Polling at a Crossroads
  • Online publication: 29 February 2024
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108697798.015
Available formats
×