Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-8bljj Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-19T14:43:22.474Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

9 - Prospect theory for decision under risk

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

Peter P. Wakker
Affiliation:
Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam
Get access

Summary

This chapter deals with prospect theory, which generalizes RDU by incorporating loss aversion. It thus integrates utility curvature, probabilistic sensitivity, and loss aversion, the three components of risk attitude.

A symmetry about 0 underlying prospect theory

It is plausible that utility has a kink at zero, and exhibits different properties for gains than for losses. Formally, for a fixed reference point these properties could also be modeled by rank-dependent utility, in the same way as §8.3 does not entail a real departure from final wealth models and expected utility. Prospect theory does generalize rank-dependent utility in one formal respect also for the case of one fixed reference point: It allows for different probability weighting for gains than for losses. Thus, risk attitudes can be different for losses than for gains in every respect.

It is plausible that sensitivity to outcomes and probabilities exhibits symmetries about the reference point. To illustrate this point, we first note that the utility difference U(1020) − U(1010) is usually smaller than the utility difference U(20) − U(10) because the former concerns outcomes farther remote from 0, leading to concave utility for gains. A symmetric reasoning for losses suggests that the utility difference U(−1010) − U(−1020) will be perceived as smaller than the utility difference U(−10) − U(−20). For the former difference, the losses are so big that 10 more does not matter much. This argument suggests convex rather than concave utility for losses, in agreement with many empirical findings (§9.5).

Type
Chapter
Information
Prospect Theory
For Risk and Ambiguity
, pp. 251 - 276
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2010

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×