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Probability theory and perception of randomness: Bridging “ought” and “is”

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 October 2011

Yanlong Sun
School of Biomedical Informatics, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX 77030.
Hongbin Wang
School of Biomedical Informatics, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX 77030. Department of Psychology, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084China.


We argue that approaches adhering to normative systems can be as fruitful as those by descriptive systems. In measuring people's perception of randomness, discrepancies between human behavior and normative models could have resulted from unknown properties of the models, and it does not necessarily lead to the conclusion that people are irrational or that the normative system has to be abandoned.

Open Peer Commentary
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2011

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