Hostname: page-component-77f85d65b8-8v9h9 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2026-04-20T16:05:25.485Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Predictors of mental health deterioration from pre- to post-COVID-19 outbreak

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 August 2022

Nathaly Rius Ottenheim*
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Leiden University Medical Center, The Netherlands
Kuan-Yu Pan
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam Public Health, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Vrije Universiteit, The Netherlands; and Department of Psychiatry, Geestelijke Gezondheidszorg (GGZ) InGeest, The Netherlands
Almar A. L. Kok
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam Public Health, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Vrije Universiteit, The Netherlands; and Department of Psychiatry, GGZ InGeest, The Netherlands
Frederike Jörg
Affiliation:
University Center for Psychiatry, University Medical Center Groningen, The Netherlands; and Research Department, GGZ Friesland, The Netherlands
Merijn Eikelenboom
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam Public Health, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Vrije Universiteit, The Netherlands; and Department of Psychiatry, GGZ InGeest, The Netherlands
Melany Horsfall
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam Public Health, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Vrije Universiteit, The Netherlands; and Department of Psychiatry, GGZ InGeest, The Netherlands
Rob A. Luteijn
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam Public Health, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Vrije Universiteit, The Netherlands; and Department of Psychiatry, GGZ InGeest, The Netherlands
Patricia van Oppen
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam Public Health, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Vrije Universiteit, The Netherlands; and Department of Psychiatry, GGZ InGeest, The Netherlands
Didi Rhebergen
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam Public Health, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Vrije Universiteit, The Netherlands; Department of Psychiatry, GGZ InGeest, The Netherlands; and Mental Health Care Institute, GGZ Centraal, The Netherlands
Robert A. Schoevers
Affiliation:
University Center for Psychiatry, University Medical Center Groningen, The Netherlands
Brenda W. J. H. Penninx
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam Public Health, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Vrije Universiteit, The Netherlands; and Department of Psychiatry, GGZ InGeest, The Netherlands
Erik J. Giltay
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Leiden University Medical Center, The Netherlands
*
Correspondence: Nathaly Rius Ottenheim. Email: n.rius_ottenheim@lumc.nl
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Background

Mental health was only modestly affected in adults during the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic on the group level, but interpersonal variation was large.

Aims

We aim to investigate potential predictors of the differences in changes in mental health.

Method

Data were aggregated from three Dutch ongoing prospective cohorts with similar methodology for data collection. We included participants with pre-pandemic data gathered during 2006–2016, and who completed online questionnaires at least once during lockdown in The Netherlands between 1 April and 15 May 2020. Sociodemographic, clinical (number of mental health disorders and personality factors) and COVID-19-related variables were analysed as predictors of relative changes in four mental health outcomes (depressive symptoms, anxiety and worry symptoms, and loneliness), using multivariate linear regression analyses.

Results

We included 1517 participants with (n = 1181) and without (n = 336) mental health disorders. Mean age was 56.1 years (s.d. 13.2), and 64.3% were women. Higher neuroticism predicted increases in all four mental health outcomes, especially for worry (β = 0.172, P = 0.003). Living alone and female gender predicted increases in depressive symptoms and loneliness (β = 0.05–0.08), whereas quarantine and strict adherence with COVID-19 restrictions predicted increases in anxiety and worry symptoms (β = 0.07–0.11).Teleworking predicted a decrease in anxiety symptoms (β = −0.07) and higher age predicted a decrease in anxiety (β = −0.08) and worry symptoms (β = −0.10).

Conclusions

Our study showed neuroticism as a robust predictor of adverse changes in mental health, and identified additional sociodemographic and COVID-19-related predictors that explain longitudinal variability in mental health during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Information

Type
Papers
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Royal College of Psychiatrists
Figure 0

Table 1 Characteristics of the study population (n = 1517)

Figure 1

Fig. 1 Distribution in histograms of the absolute changes in mental health severity scores from pre- to post-COVID-19 outbreak. The mean changes and s.d. are given per subplot. BAI, Beck Anxiety Inventory; PSWQ, Penn State Worry Questionnaire; QIDS, Quick Inventory of Depressive Symptoms.

Figure 2

Fig. 2 Unadjusted and adjusted associations between sociodemographic, clinical and COVID-19-related characteristics with changes in anxiety symptoms. BAI, Beck Anxiety Inventory.

Figure 3

Fig. 3 Unadjusted and adjusted associations between sociodemographic, clinical and COVID-19-related characteristics with changes in worry symptoms. PSWQ, Penn State Worry Questionnaire.

Figure 4

Fig. 4 Unadjusted and adjusted associations between sociodemographic, clinical and COVID-19-related characteristics with changes in depressive symptoms. QIDS, Quick Inventory of Depressive Symptoms.

Figure 5

Fig. 5 Unadjusted and adjusted associations between sociodemographic, clinical and COVID-19-related characteristics with changes in loneliness (De Jong Gierveld Loneliness Scale).

Figure 6

Fig. 6 Unadjusted and adjusted associations between sociodemographic, clinical and COVID-19-related characteristics with changes in mental health scores: adjusted analyses. BAI, Beck Anxiety Inventory; PSWQ, Penn State Worry Questionnaire; QIDS, Quick Inventory of Depressive Symptoms.

Supplementary material: PDF

Rius Ottenheim et al. supplementary material

Rius Ottenheim et al. supplementary material

Download Rius Ottenheim et al. supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 34.8 KB
Submit a response

eLetters

No eLetters have been published for this article.