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ROBUST HIGH-DIMENSIONAL TIME-VARYING COEFFICIENT ESTIMATION

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 October 2025

Minseok Shin
Affiliation:
Pohang University of Science and Technology (POSTECH)
Donggyu Kim*
Affiliation:
Department of Economics, University of California, Riverside
*
Address correspondence to Donggyu Kim, University of California Riverside, Riverside, CA, USA, e-mail: donggyu.kim@ucr.edu.
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Abstract

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In this article, we develop a novel high-dimensional coefficient estimation procedure based on high-frequency data. Unlike usual high-dimensional regression procedures such as LASSO, we additionally handle the heavy-tailedness of high-frequency observations as well as time variations of coefficient processes. Specifically, we employ the Huber loss and a truncation scheme to handle heavy-tailed observations, while $\ell _{1}$-regularization is adopted to overcome the curse of dimensionality. To account for the time-varying coefficient, we estimate local coefficients which are biased due to the $\ell _{1}$-regularization. Thus, when estimating integrated coefficients, we propose a debiasing scheme to enjoy the law of large numbers property and employ a thresholding scheme to further accommodate the sparsity of the coefficients. We call this robust thresholding debiased LASSO (RED-LASSO) estimator. We show that the RED-LASSO estimator can achieve a near-optimal convergence rate. In the empirical study, we apply the RED-LASSO procedure to the high-dimensional integrated coefficient estimation using high-frequency trading data.

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Type
ARTICLES
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence ((https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press