Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-jr42d Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-19T02:05:48.742Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Iceland on the Rocks: The Mass Political Economy of Sovereign Debt Resettlement

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  09 June 2014

Get access

Abstract

We undertake an individual-level analysis of mass political behavior toward sovereign debt resettlement by leveraging the unique circumstances of a 2011 referendum on debt repayment in Iceland. This allows us to engage broader questions about mass international political economy. Against the recent thrust of a growing literature, we find evidence of material economic “pocketbook” effects—self-interest—on voting behavior, operating alongside symbolic/sociotropic and partisan/political logics. Contrary to expectations, these self-interest effects are not conditional on voter sophistication. We conclude that conventional sampling frames may be inappropriate for understanding contemporary democratic contestation over international economic policy.

Type
Research Notes
Copyright
Copyright © The IO Foundation 2014 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Arezki, Rabah, Candelon, Bertrand, and Sy, Amadou N.R.. 2011. Sovereign Rating News and Financial Markets Spillovers: Evidence from the European Debt Crisis. IMF Working Paper 11/68, March. Washington, DC: IMF. Available at <http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/wp1168.pdf>. Accessed 5 January 2012..+Accessed+5+January+2012.>Google Scholar
Baker, Andy. 2009. The Market and the Masses in Latin America: Policy Reform and Consumption in Liberalizing Economies. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Banducci, Susan, Karp, Jeffrey, and Loedel, Peter. 2003. The Euro, Economic Interests, and Multi-Level Governance: Examining Support for the Common Currency. European Journal of Political Research 42 (5):685703.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Benediktsdottir, Sigridur, Danielsson, Jon, and Zoega, Gylfi. 2011. Lessons from a Collapse of a Financial System. Economic Policy 26 (66): 185235.Google Scholar
Borensztein, Eduardo, and Panizza, Ugo. 2009. The Costs of Sovereign Default. IMF Staff Papers 56 (4):683741.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chong, Dennis, Citrin, Jack, and Conley, Patricia. 2001. When Self-Interest Matters. Political Psychology 22 (3):541–70.Google Scholar
Citrin, Jack, and Green, Donald Philip. 1990. The Self-Interest Motive in American Public Opinion. Research in Micropolitics 3:128.Google Scholar
Converse, Philip E. 2000. Assessing the Capacity of Mass Electorates. Annual Review of Political Science 3:331–53.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Das, Udaibir S., Papaioannou, Michael G., and Trebesch, Christoph. 2010. Sovereign Default Risk and Private Sector Access to Capital in Emerging Markets. IMF Working Paper 10/10, January. Washington, DC: IMF.Google Scholar
Díez Medrano, Juan, and Braun, Michael. 2012. Uninformed Citizens and Support for Free Trade. Review of International Political Economy 19 (3):448–76.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Election Guide Digest. 2011. Focus on: Iceland's “Icesave” Referendum. 1 April. Available at <http://www.electionguide.org/digest/post/3803/>. Accessed 15 November 2011.. Accessed 15 November 2011.' href=https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=Election+Guide+Digest.+2011.+Focus+on:+Iceland's+“Icesave”+Referendum.+1+April.+Available+at+.+Accessed+15+November+2011.>Google Scholar
Fordham, Benjamin O., and Kleinberg, Katja B.. 2012. How Can Economic Interests Influence Support for Free Trade? International Organization 66 (2):311–28.Google Scholar
Gabel, Matthew. 2000. Divided Opinion, Common Currency: The Political-Economy of Public Support for EMU. In The Political Economy of European Monetary Unification, edited by Eichengreen, Barry and Frieden, Jeffry, 4976. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.Google Scholar
Garry, John, Marsh, Michael, and Sinnott, Richard. 2005. “Second-order” Versus “Issue-voting” Effects in EU Referendums: Evidence from the Irish Nice Treaty Referendums. European Union Politics 6 (2):201–21.Google Scholar
Gomez, Brad T., and Wilson, J. Matthew. 2001. Political Sophistication and Economic Voting in the American Electorate: A Theory of Heterogeneous Attribution. American Journal of Political Science 45 (4):899914.Google Scholar
Gomez, Brad T., and Wilson, J. Matthew. 2003. Causal Attribution and Economic Voting in American Congressional Elections. Political Research Quarterly 56 (3):271–82.Google Scholar
Gomez, Brad T., and Wilson, J. Matthew. 2006. Cognitive Heterogeneity and Economic Voting: A Comparative Analysis of Four Democratic Electorates. American Journal of Political Science 50 (1):127–45.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hainmueller, Jens, and Hiscox, Michael J.. 2006. Learning to Love Globalization: Education and Individual Attitudes Toward International Trade. International Organization 60 (2):469–98.Google Scholar
Hainmueller, Jens, and Hiscox, Michael J.. 2007. Educated Preferences: Explaining Attitudes Toward Immigration in Europe. International Organization 61 (2):399442.Google Scholar
Hainmueller, Jens, and Hiscox, Michael J.. 2010. Attitudes Toward Highly Skilled and Low-skilled Immigration: Evidence from a Survey Experiment. American Political Science Review 104 (1):6184.Google Scholar
Hays, Jude C., Ehrlich, Sean D., and Peinhardt, Clint. 2005. Government Spending and Public Support for Trade in the OECD: An Empirical Test of the Embedded Liberalism Thesis. International Organization 59 (2):473–94.Google Scholar
Hiscox, Michael J. 2006. Through a Glass and Darkly: Attitudes Toward International Trade and the Curious Effects of Issue Framing. International Organization 60 (3):755–80.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hobolt, Sara Binzer. 2009. Europe in Question: Referendums on European Integration. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Hooghe, Liesbet, and Marks, Gary. 2005. Calculation, Community, and Cues: Public Opinion on European Integration. European Union Politics 6 (4):419–43.Google Scholar
Jupille, Joseph, and Leblang, David. 2007. Voting for Change: Calculation, Community, and Euro Referendums. International Organization 61 (4):763–82.Google Scholar
Kinder, Donald R. 2004. Pale Democracy: Opinion and Action in Postwar America. In The Evolution of Political Knowledge: Theory and Inquiry in American Politics, edited by Mansfield, Edward and Sisson, Richard, 104–47. Columbus: Ohio State University Press.Google Scholar
King, Gary, and Zheng, Langche. 2001. Explaining Rare Events in International Relations. International Organization 55 (3):693715.Google Scholar
Lake, David. 2009. Open Economy Politics: A Critical Review. Review of International Organizations 4 (3):219–44.Google Scholar
Mansfield, Edward D., and Mutz, Diana C.. 2009. Support for Free Trade: Self-Interest, Sociotropic Politics, and Out-Group Anxiety. International Organization 63 (3):425–57.Google Scholar
Mayda, Anna Maria. 2006. Who Is Against Immigration? A Cross-Country Investigation of Individual Attitudes Toward Immigrants. Review of Economics and Statistics 88 (3):510–30.Google Scholar
Mayda, Anna Maria. 2008. Why Are People More Pro-Trade than Pro-Migration? Economics Letters 101 (3):160–63.Google Scholar
Mayda, Anna Maria, and Rodrik, Dani. 2005. Why Are Some People (and Countries) More Protectionist than Others? European Economic Review 49 (6):13931430.Google Scholar
O'Rourke, Kevin H., and Sinnott, Richard. 2001. The Determinants of Individual Trade Policy Preferences: International Survey Evidence. Brookings Trade Forum, 157–96.Google Scholar
O'Rourke, Kevin H., and Sinnott, Richard. 2006. The Determinants of Individual Attitudes Toward Immigration. European Journal of Political Economy 22 (4):838–61.Google Scholar
Pandya, Sonal. 2010. Labor Markets and the Demand for Foreign Direct Investment. International Organization 64 (3):389409.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rankin, David M. 2001. Identities, Interests, and Imports. Political Behavior 23 (4):351–76.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Reinhart, Carmen M., and Rogoff, Kenneth S.. 2009. This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Scheve, Kenneth F., and Slaughter, Matthew J.. 2001a. What Determines Individual Trade-Policy Preferences? Journal of International Economics 54 (2):267–92.Google Scholar
Scheve, Kenneth F., and Slaughter, Matthew J.. 2001b. Labor Market Competition and Individual Preferences Over Immigration Policy. Review of Economics and Statistics 83 (1):133–45.Google Scholar
Sears, David O., and Funk, Carolyn L.. 1990. The Limited Effect of Economic Self-Interest on the Political Attitudes of the Mass Public. Journal of Behavioral Economics 19 (3):247–71.Google Scholar
Statistics Iceland. 2010. Referendum 6 March 2010. Statistical Series 95 (37), 18 May. Reykjavik: Statistics Iceland. Available at <http://www.statice.is/lisalib/getfile.aspx?ItemID=11118>. Accessed 25 October 2011..+Accessed+25+October+2011.>Google Scholar
Statistics Iceland. 2011. Referendum 9 April 2011. Statistical Series 96 (52), 13 September. Reykjavik: Statistics Iceland. Available at <http://www.statice.is/lisalib/getfile.aspx?ItemID=12680>. Accessed 25 October 2011..+Accessed+25+October+2011.>Google Scholar
Tomz, Michael. 2004. Voter Sophistication and Domestic Preferences Regarding Debt Default. Paper presented at the fourth meeting of the Research Group on the Political Economy of International Finance, 12 March, University of California, San Diego.Google Scholar
Urbatsch, Robert. 2013. A Referendum on Trade Theory: Voting on Free Trade in Costa Rica. International Organization 67 (1):197214.Google Scholar
Zaller, John R. 1992. The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: File

Curtis Supplementary Material

Supplementary Material 1

Download Curtis Supplementary Material(File)
File 37 KB
Supplementary material: File

Curtis Supplementary Material

Supplementary Material 2

Download Curtis Supplementary Material(File)
File 264.2 KB
Supplementary material: PDF

Curtis Supplementary Material

Supplementary Material 3

Download Curtis Supplementary Material(PDF)
PDF 135.5 KB
Supplementary material: File

Curtis Supplementary Material

Supplementary Material 4

Download Curtis Supplementary Material(File)
File 5.9 KB