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A sequential stopping problem with costly reversibility

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 November 2025

Jukka Lempa*
Affiliation:
University of Turku
Harto Saarinen*
Affiliation:
University of Turku
Tarmo Taipale*
Affiliation:
University of Turku
*
*Postal address: Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Turku, FI - 20014 Turun Yliopisto, Finland.
***Postal address: Department of Economics, Turku School of Economics, FI - 20014 Turun Yliopisto, Finland. Email: hoasaa@utu.fi
*Postal address: Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Turku, FI - 20014 Turun Yliopisto, Finland.
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Abstract

We study sequential optimal stopping with partial reversibility. The optimal stopping problem is subject to implementation delay, which is random and exponentially distributed. Once the stopping decision is made, the decision maker can, by incurring a cost, call the decision off and restart the stopping problem. The optimization criterion is to maximize the expected present value of the total payoff. We characterize the value function in terms of a Bellman principle for a wide class of payoff functions and potentially multidimensional strong Markov dynamics. We also analyse the case of linear diffusion dynamics and characterize the value function and the optimal decision rule for a wide class of payoff functions.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Applied Probability Trust
Figure 0

Figure 1. An illustration of a possible realization of the underlying process and the usage of the optimal policy given by Theorem 4.1.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Optimal thresholds when the rate $\lambda$ changes.

Figure 2

Figure 3. Optimal thresholds when the payoff/cost $K_2$ changes.

Figure 3

Figure 4. Limiting relations between the problems.