Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-4hhp2 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-05-04T20:36:24.805Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

A Note on Evaluating Liquidity under Conditions of Uncertainty in Mutual Savings Banks

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 October 2009

Extract

In this paper, a risk-analysis simulation procedure was utiliijed to incorporate both a cash-flow liquidity concept and uncertainty in a liquidity-planning simulation model. The components of cash flow were specified. The model was implemented with the assistance of a large savings bank. The results indicate that a substantial dispersion in probable outcomes exists, from a $1 million outflow to $10 million inflow. The expected net flow, $5 million, greatly exceeds the point estimate derived by simply summing the individual point estimates. In fact, there is a 50 percent chance that the net flow will exceed the point estimate by more than $1.5 million. Such results from the liquidity planning model clearly give the banker a basis for determining the adequacy of his present liquidity position and therefore his cash management policy, as well as the optimum strategy in terms of various adjustment policies.

Type
Communications
Copyright
Copyright © School of Business Administration, University of Washington 1971

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

[1]Murphy, N. B., and Weintrob., H.Evaluating Liquidity under Conditions of Uncertainty in Mutual Savings Banks.” Jourmal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, IV, January 1970, pp. 559567.CrossRefGoogle Scholar