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Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability, and Decision

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2022


The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in its periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated in the IPCC’s novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way through a normative decision model.

Research Article
Copyright © The Philosophy of Science Association

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