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Accepted manuscript

A New Foundation for Belief-Updating?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 September 2025

Ibrahim Haydar*
Affiliation:
University of Pittsburgh, Department of History and Philosophy of Science
*
Author contact: ibh8@pitt.edu
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Abstract

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Eric Mandelbaum has reported some troubles with Bayesianism in cognitive science. He has brought some behavioral data to show that belief-updating in humans is fundamentally Bayesian-perverse. I argue that the behaviors which he seeks to explain do not undermine Bayesian accounts of belief-updating and can instead be explained as idiosyncratic consequences of an appropriately bounded implementation of a Bayesian-normative belief-updating system.

Information

Type
Contributed Paper
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Philosophy of Science Association