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MARTINGALE METHOD FOR RUIN PROBABILITY IN AN AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL WITH CONSTANT INTEREST RATE

  • Hailiang Yang (a1) and Lihong Zhang (a2)
Abstract

In this article, we consider a discrete-time insurance risk model. An autoregressive model is used to model both the claim process and the premium process. The probability of ruin is examined in a model with a constant interest rate. Both exponential and nonexponential upper bounds are obtained for the ruin probability of an infinite time horizon.

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Probability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences
  • ISSN: 0269-9648
  • EISSN: 1469-8951
  • URL: /core/journals/probability-in-the-engineering-and-informational-sciences
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