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  • James E. Campbell (a1)
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Abstract
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References
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AbramowitzAlan I. 1988. “An Improved Model for Predicting Presidential Outcomes.” PS: Political Science & Politics 21 (4): 843−47.
AbramowitzAlan I. 2010. The Disappearing Center: Engaged Citizens, Polarization, and American Democracy. New Haven, CN: Yale.
AbramowitzAlan I. and SaundersKyle L.. 1998. “Ideological Realignment in the American Electorate.” Journal of Politics 60 (3): 634−52.
CampbellJames E. 2000a. The American Campaign: US Presidential Campaigns and the National Vote. College Station: Texas A&M University Press.
CampbellJames E. 2000b. “The Science of Forecasting Presidential Elections.” In Before the Vote: Forecasting American National Elections, edited by CampbellJames E. and GarandJames C., 169−87. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
CampbellJames E. 2006. “Party Systems and Realignments in the United States, 1868–2004.” Social Science History 30 (3): 359−86.
CampbellJames E. 2010. “The Exceptional Election of 2008: Performance, Values, and Crisis.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 40 (2): 225−46.
CampbellJames E. 2013. “Recap: Forecasting the 2012 Election” PS: Political Science & Politics 46 (1): 3747. (A compilation of brief recaps by the different forecasters).
CampbellJames E. 2016. Polarized: Making Sense of a Divided America. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
CampbellJames E., DettreyBryan J. and YinHongxing. 2010. “The Theory of Conditional Retrospective Voting: Does the Presidential Record Matter Less in Open Seat Elections?” Journal of Politics 72 (4): 1083−95.
Gallup. 2016. “Satisfaction With the United States,” http://www.gallup.com/poll/1669/General-Mood-Country.aspx. Accessed: July 21.
HolbrookThomas M. 2008. “Incumbency, National Conditions, and the 2008 Presidential Election.” PS: Political Science & Politics 41 (4): 709−12.
MayhewDavid R. 2008. “Incumbency Advantage in U.S. Presidential Elections: The Historical Record.” Political Science Quarterly 123 (2): 201−28.
NadeauRichard and Lewis-BeckMichael S.. 2001. “National Economic Voting in US Presidential Elections.” Journal of Politics 63 (1): 159−81.
National Bureau of Economic Research. 2016. “US Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions,” http://www.nber.org/cycles.html. Accessed: July 21.
NorpothHelmut. 2000. “Of Time and Candidates: A Forecast for 1996.” In Before the Vote: Forecasting American National Elections, eds. CampbellJames E. and GarandJames C., 5781. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
Pew Research Center. 2016. “Partisanship and Political Animosity in 2016” (June): 10.
Real Clear Politics. 2016. “Polls: Direction of Country,” http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html. Accessed: July 21.
WeisbergHerbert F. 2002. “Partisanship and Incumbency in Presidential Elections.” Political Behavior 24 (4): 339−60.
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PS: Political Science & Politics
  • ISSN: 1049-0965
  • EISSN: 1537-5935
  • URL: /core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics
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