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Polls, Forecasts, and Aggregators

  • Mark Blumenthal (a1)
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Blumberg, Steven J., and Luke, Julian V. 2013. Wireless Substitution: Early Release of Estimates from the National Health Interview Survey, July-December 2012. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. (September 17, 2013).
Blumenthal, Mark. 2008. “More on the ‘Convergence Mystery’.” (September 18, 2013).
Blumenthal, Mark. 2010. “Rating Pollster Accuracy: How Useful? (September 17, 2013).
Blumenthal, Mark, and Edwards-Levy, Ariel. 2013. “HUFFPOLLSTER: When Is It OK to Weight Polls by Past Vote?Huffington Post. (September 18, 2013).
Crespi, Irving. 1988. Pre-election Polling: Sources of Accuracy and Error. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.
Issenberg, Sasha. 2012. “The Definitive Story of How President Obama Mined Voter Data to Win a Second Term.” MIT Technology Review. (September 18, 2013).
Jackman, Simon. 2012. “Model-Based Poll Averaging: How Do We Do It?Huffington Post. (September 18, 2013).
Lavrakas, Paul, Traugott, Michael, Blum, Michelene, Zukin, Cliff, and Dresser, Don. 2008. “The Experts Reply on the Poll Convergence Mystery.” Survey Practice. (October 6, 2009).
Linzer, Drew. 2012. “Pollsters May Be Herding.” VOTAMATIC. (September 18, 2013).
Marketing Research Association. 2013. “TCPA Restrictions on Using Autodialers to Call Cell Phones | Marketing Research Association.” (September 17, 2013).
Martin, Elizabeth A., Traugott, Michael W., and Kennedy, Courtney. 2005. “A Review and Proposal for a New Measure of Poll Accuracy.” Public Opinion Quarterly 69 (3): 342–69.
Moore, David. 2008. “Evaluating the 2008 Pre-Election Polls – The Convergence Mystery.” Survey Practice. (October 6, 2009).
Moore, Martha. 2012. “Election Aftermath: How’d Pollsters Like Nate Silver Do?USA Today. (September 17, 2013).
Mosteller, Frederick, Hyman, Herbert, McCarthy, Philip J., Marks, Eli S., and Truman, David B.. 1949. The Pre-Election Polls of 1948: Report to the Committee on Analysis of Pre-Election Polls and Forecasts. Social Science Research Council.
Newport, Frank. 2012. “Polling, Likely Voters, and the Law of the Commons.” (September 17, 2013).
Newport, Frank, and Moore, David. 2004. “Final Poll Shows Presidential Race to Be Dead Heat.” Gallup News Service. (September 18, 2013).
Pew Research Center. 2012a. “Assessing the Representativeness of Public Opinion Surveys.” Pew Research Center for the People and the Press. (September 17, 2013).
Pew Research Center. 2012b. “Obama Gains Edge in Campaign’s Final Days.” Pew Research Center for the People and the Press. (September 18, 2013).
Schneider, William. 1992. “‘Poll of Polls’ Reflects Polling Consistency.” CNN News.
Silver, Nate. 2010. “Pollster Ratings V4.0: Methodology.” FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right. (September 17, 2013).
Wilner, Elizabeth. 2013. “Kantar’s ‘Path to Public Opinion’.” (September 17, 2013).
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PS: Political Science & Politics
  • ISSN: 1049-0965
  • EISSN: 1537-5935
  • URL: /core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics
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