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Temporal trends in food group availability and cancer incidence in Africa: an ecological analysis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 May 2019

Elom K Aglago*
Affiliation:
Nutrition and Metabolism Section, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, 69372 Lyon Cedex 08, France
Freddie Bray
Affiliation:
Cancer Surveillance Section, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France
Francis Zotor
Affiliation:
University of Health and Allied Sciences, Ho, Volta Region, Ghana
Nadia Slimani
Affiliation:
Nutrition and Metabolism Section, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, 69372 Lyon Cedex 08, France
Veronique Chajès
Affiliation:
Nutrition and Metabolism Section, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, 69372 Lyon Cedex 08, France
Inge Huybrechts
Affiliation:
Nutrition and Metabolism Section, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, 69372 Lyon Cedex 08, France
Pietro Ferrari
Affiliation:
Nutrition and Metabolism Section, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, 69372 Lyon Cedex 08, France
Marc J Gunter
Affiliation:
Nutrition and Metabolism Section, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, 69372 Lyon Cedex 08, France
the Members of the African Cancer Registry Network
Affiliation:
Nutrition and Metabolism Section, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, 69372 Lyon Cedex 08, France Cancer Surveillance Section, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France University of Health and Allied Sciences, Ho, Volta Region, Ghana
*
*Corresponding author: Email aglagoe@fellows.iarc.fr
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Abstract

Objective:

We evaluated the relationship between food availability, as the only dietary exposure data available across Africa, and age-standardised cancer incidence rates (ASR) in eighteen countries.

Design:

Ecological study.

Setting:

Availability of food groups and dietary energy was considered for five hypothetical time points: years of collection of ASR (T0) and 5, 10, 15 and 20 preceding years (T–5, T–10, T–15, T–20). Ecological correlations adjusted for human development index, smoking and obesity rates were calculated to evaluate the relationship between food availability and ASR of breast, prostate, colorectal, oesophageal, pancreatic, stomach and thyroid cancer.

Results:

Red meat was positively correlated with pancreatic cancer in men (T–20: r–20 = 0·61, P < 0·05), stomach cancer in women (T0: r0 = 0·58, P < 0·05), and colorectal cancer in men (T0: r0 = 0·53, P < 0·05) and women (T–20: r–20 = 0·58, P < 0·05). Animal products including meat, animal fats and higher animal-sourced energy supply tended to be positively correlated with breast, colorectal, pancreatic, stomach and thyroid cancer. Alcoholic beverages were positively correlated to oesophageal cancer in men (r0 = 0·69, P < 0·001) and women (r–20 = 0·72, P < 0·001).

Conclusions:

The present analysis provides initial insights into the impact of alcoholic beverages, and increasing use of animal over plant products, on the incidence of specific cancers in Africa. The findings support the need for epidemiological studies to investigate the role of diet in cancer development in Africa.

Information

Type
Research paper
Copyright
© The Authors 2019 
Figure 0

Table 1 Characteristics of the cancer registries for the eighteen African countries included in the analysis

Figure 1

Table 2 Age-standardised rates (/100 000 person-years) of the cancers in the eighteen African countries considered in the analysis

Figure 2

Table 3 Average food and energy availability over time for the eighteen African countries included in the analysis

Figure 3

Fig. 1 Red meat and colorectal cancer in eighteen African countries. Solid lines represent data for all eighteen countries, whereas the dashed lines represent the data with outlier countries excluded (Mauritius, South Africa and Botswana). The relationships are presented as a linear or as a polynomial fit. Countries are presented with their ISO (International Organization for Standardization) codes (see Table 1 for explanation)

Figure 4

Table 4 Ecological partial correlation (r) between age-standardised rates of cancers and availability of food and energy, adjusted for human development index, smoking and obesity rates, for the eighteen African countries included in the analysis

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