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Weight estimation among multi-racial/ethnic infants and children aged 0–5·9 years in the USA: simple tools for a critical measure

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 October 2018

Yeyi Zhu*
Affiliation:
Kaiser Permanente Northern California Division of Research, 2000Broadway, Oakland, CA94612, USA Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, MD, USA Department of Nutritional Sciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA
Ladia M Hernandez
Affiliation:
Department of Nutritional Sciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA
Yongquan Dong
Affiliation:
Department of Nutritional Sciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA
John H Himes
Affiliation:
Division of Epidemiology and Community Health, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
Laura E Caulfield
Affiliation:
Center for Human Nutrition, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
Jean M Kerver
Affiliation:
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA
Lenore Arab
Affiliation:
David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
Paula Voss
Affiliation:
Department of Pediatrics, University of California, Irvine, CA, USA
Steven Hirschfeld
Affiliation:
Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, MD, USA National Institute on Deafness and other Communications Disorders, Bethesda, MD, USA
Michele R Forman
Affiliation:
Department of Nutritional Sciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA Department of Nutrition Science, College of Health and Human Science, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IL, USA
*
*Corresponding author: Email yeyi.zhu@kp.org
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Abstract

Objective

In resource-constrained facilities or during resuscitation, immediate paediatric weight estimation remains a fundamental challenge. We aimed to develop and validate weight estimation models based on ulna length and forearm width and circumference measured by simple and portable tools; and to compare them against previous methods (advanced paediatric life support (APLS), Theron and Traub–Johnson formulas).

Design

Cross-sectional analysis of anthropometric measurements. Four ulna- and forearm-based weight estimation models were developed in the training set (n 1016). Assessment of bias, precision and accuracy was examined in the validation set (n 457).

Setting

National Children’s Study-Formative Research in Anthropometry (2011–2012).

Subjects

Multi-racial/ethnic infants and children aged <6 years (n 1473).

Results

Developed Models 1–4 had high predictive precision (R2=0·91–0·97). Mean percentage errors between predicted and measured weight were significantly smaller across the developed models (0·1–0·7 %) v. the APLS, Theron and Traub–Johnson formulas (−1·7, 9·2 and −4·9 %, respectively). Root-mean-squared percentage error was overall smaller among Models 1–4 v. the three existing methods (range=7·5–8·7 v. 9·8–13·3 %). Further, Models 1–4 were within 10 and 20 % of actual weight in 72–87 and 95–99 % of the weight estimations, respectively, which outperformed any of the three existing methods.

Conclusions

Ulna length, forearm width and forearm circumference by simple and portable tools could serve as valid and reliable surrogate measures of weight among infants and children aged <6 years with improved precision over the existing age- or length-based methods. Further validation of these models in physically impaired or non-ambulatory children is warranted.

Information

Type
Research paper
Copyright
© The Authors 2018 
Figure 0

Table 1 Previous age- or length-based methods for weight estimation in children

Figure 1

Table 2 Subject characteristics and child anthropometrics in the training and validation sets of multi-racial/ethnic infants and children aged <6 years; National Children’s Study-Formative Research in Anthropometry, USA (2011–2012)

Figure 2

Table 3 Regression equations* to estimate weight in infants and children aged 0–5·9 years developed in the training set (n 1016) of multi-racial/ethnic infants and children aged <6 years; National Children’s Study-Formative Research in Anthropometry, USA (2011–2012)

Figure 3

Table 4 Mean percentage error (MPE)* between predicted and measured weight and root-mean-squared percentage error (RMSPE) by weight, weight-for-length percentile and BMI-for-age percentile categories in the validation set (n 457) of multi-racial/ethnic infants and children aged <6 years; National Children’s Study-Formative Research in Anthropometry, USA (2011–2012)

Figure 4

Table 5 Predictive accuracy performance* of Models 1–4 and the three existing methods in multi-racial/ethnic infants and children aged <6 years; National Children’s Study-Formative Research in Anthropometry, USA (2011–2012)

Figure 5

Fig. 1 Bland–Altman plots assessing the relative validity of four weight estimation models (based on ulna length and forearm width and circumference, measured by simple and portable tools) and three previous methods (based on age or length) in predicting weight in multi-racial/ethnic infants and children aged <6 years; National Children’s Study-Formative Research in Anthropometry, USA (2011–2012). The difference between measured weight and predicted weight is plotted v. the mean weight from the two methods for: (a) Model 1 (n 376); (b) Model 2 (n 422); (c) Model 3 (n 386); (d) Model 4 (n 431); (e) the advanced paediatric life support (APLS) formula (n 285); (f) the Theron formula (n 285); and (g) the Traub–Johnson formula (n 286) in the validation set. ——— indicates the mean difference (bias) between the predicted and measured weight and – – – – – indicate the 95 % limits of agreement

Supplementary material: File

Zhu et al. supplementary material

Figure S1 and Tables S1-S3

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