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Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 October 2025

Georgiana Amariei
Affiliation:
Department of Chemical Engineering, University of Alcalá , E-28871 Alcalá de Henares, Madrid, Spain
Roberto Rosal*
Affiliation:
Department of Chemical Engineering, University of Alcalá , E-28871 Alcalá de Henares, Madrid, Spain
*
Corresponding author: Roberto Rosal; Email: roberto.rosal@uah.es
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Abstract

The generation of plastic waste and its dispersion across environmental compartments is largely attributable to the lack of circularity in the plastic economy; although enhancing circularity can mitigate such leakage, it does not entirely prevent it. Transitioning to a circular plastic economy requires a systemic approach that encompasses the entire lifecycle of plastics, with an urgent need to boost recycling technologies and integrate them into a long-term strategy covering design, production, use, and disposal. Enhanced recycling strategies are needed, as current practices, relying almost exclusively on mechanical recycling, are insufficient to achieve plastic circularity and are nearing their technical limits. Furthermore, the current recycling rates are generating a discrepancy between the legal requirements for recycled resins and their available supply. Available methods include thermal processes using established technologies, as well as dissolution recycling and chemical depolymerization, each at different stages of maturity. While these methods can separate polymers, with or without depolymerization, from complex feedstocks, they face significant technical and economic challenges. A key issue is the high cost of recycling infrastructure, which requires regulatory stability and global commitment to establish a fair set of rules that avoids unfair competition strategies. Additionally, markets for recycled materials remain underdeveloped, especially in countries with less advanced waste management systems. Another critical aspect is the need to design plastic products to facilitate recycling. This means using single materials or objects easy to disassemble, avoiding harmful additives and standardizing waste management practices.

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Overview Review
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This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
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© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. Plastic production by region. Source: Plastics Europe, Plastics the Facts, Reports 2013 to 2024.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Life cycle of plastics. Gray and black arrows represent the linear plastic production and disposal pathway, while green arrows indicate circular recycling loops. Red arrows highlight points where plastic leaks into the environment. (Larger arrows represent larger flows.)

Figure 2

Table 1. Comparison of thermal and non-thermal processing options for plastic wastes

Figure 3

Figure 3. Ebara Ube Process for plastic waste gasification (Adapted from EBARA Environmental Plant Co., Ltd., technical information).

Figure 4

Figure 4. Eastman Kodak PET methanolysis process. Products: dimethyl terephthalate and ethylene glycol (Adapted from: Eastman Kodak technical information).

Author comment: Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways — R0/PR1

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Review: Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways — R0/PR2

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

The manuscript offers an overview of the current state of the circular economy for waste plastics, with a focus on challenges in the chemical recycling. For publication in this journal, revisions are required in the following areas:

1. The manuscript’s title is Challenges and opportunities in plastic circularity: recycling, upcycling, and future pathways. However, it does not adequately elaborate on upcycling of waste plastics or future developments. It is recommended that the manuscript expand discussions on future opportunities in the circular economy of waste plastics and provide actionable suggestions.

2. When reviewing progress in the industrialization of chemical recycling, it is recommended to include the latest developments from the past two years, particularly in pyrolysis and gasification technologies.

3. The authors state that hydrothermal liquefaction is suitable for waste plastics containing PVC. However, MURA’s commercialized equipment imposes relatively strict requirements on PVC content in raw materials. Thus, the accuracy of this description requires evaluation.

4. Minor issues with wording and formatting are present in the text. For instance:

o Page 5, line 39: “It has been estimated that in in 2020” contains a redundant “in”.

o Page 11, line 33: The symbol “f” should be replaced with “→”.

o Page 12, line 9: Showa Denko has been renamed Resonac.

Additionally, in the references, authors’ names and journal volume numbers should be bolded.

Review: Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways — R0/PR3

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

Dear authors,

Thank you for sharing your manuscript. It presents a technical overview of recycling technologies for plastic wastes that are currently operational and can be conceived to become operational in the future under the right legal and economic conditions. Although it is laudable to write a review over recycling technologies, this domain has become so substantial that it is inevitable to become superficial within the constraints of a normal review paper, a book format would be more fitting the subject. So, the normal thing to do as a researcher is to constrain yourself to writing a review of one recycling technology only or to limit yourself to a specific problem that is occurring in recycling processes. Your article especially runs short on the technical details of why technologies do insufficiently perform, or become uneconomic or end-up producing qualities for which there is hardly any market at all. Secondly, a purely technological review doesn’t provide insights in why so many recycling facilities currently go bankrupt and hence why there is such large dichotomy between circularity policy objectives and linear economic reality.

Superficiality. We agree that there is a major problem with the current use of plastics worldwide. In my experience recycling technologies can only alleviate these issues to a limited extent. We simultaneously need to restrict our consumption [DOI: 10.1007/s43615-022-00240-3], reuse more and recycle the rest (a mix of mechanical and chemical, indeed). All broadly accepted future visions (New plastic economy, Systemiq, etc.) and the PPWR policy require a mixture of measures. Your article has an aura of techno-optimism (“chemical recycling will solve the issue”) that is misplaced and incorrect, it can only be a part of the complete package of solutions.

Too little connected to the reality of daily recycling operations and bankruptcies. In Europe we have witnessed an unprecedented amount of bankruptcies in recycling industries (mechanical and chemical) in the last two years. This is not even mentioned in your article. Read for instance: “The great plastic recycling exodus” by Nicolas Kokel on Linkedin on the August 13rd 2025 and https://www.recyclingtoday.com/news/pre-says-eu-plastic-recycling-industry-at-a-breaking-point/

Minor comments

Abstract. “intrinsic links between lack of circularity and leakage”. This is too simplistic. Yes, in general, the more you keep in material loops, the smaller amount will leak, but even in countries with deposit refund systems and concomitant high collection rates there is leakage due to littering [see for instance: https://www.afvalcirculair.nl/zwerfafval-microplastics/cijfers/rapporten-cijfers-zwerfafval/] and mechanical recycling [DOI: 10.1111/jiec.13578]. So, yes, circularity modulates the leakage, it doesn’t stop it.

Abstract. “growing demand for recycled resins”? Why are so many then going bankrupt? This is simply not true. Yes, we have a PPWR with recycled content policies, but most FMCG industries will postpone buying recycled content to the last month of 2029, because that is the economic reality they operate in. Recycled plastic is far more expensive than virgin and these companies operate on tight economic lines and have to present profits to the shareholders each quarter.

Introduction and figure 1. I miss the geopolitical and political context. And that will give you an answer of why it is extremely unlikely that the rise in production capacity for plastic resins will be limited in China and the rest of developing Asia. These countries want to increase their welfare and GDP and are much less concerned with the negative externalities of plastics. As is also the case in the current USA by the way. That is also why the UN plastic treaty failed.

Introduction. Indeed plastic packages have short lifespans, but do not forget fast fashion either.

Introduction: “However, existing mechanical recycling technologies are insufficient to achieve full circularity.” I disagree for two reasons. One, “full circularity” doesn’t exist for thermodynamic reasons [DOI: 10.1007/s11625-017-0443-3; DOI: 10.1111/jiec.13187]. Secondly, we could improve the quality of mechanically recycled plastics in two ways, making near-circularity a reality: 1) by adding decontamination technologies such as dissolution, etc. and simultaneously 2) changing the designs of plastic objects and the applied sorting methods. I fully agree that many food industries oppose to redesign their packages for food-safe mechanical recycling, but it is technically possible, the technologies are known, it just needs standardization of packages, selective sorting of previous food-use packages, transferring prints from packaging main components to removable labels and making all the components removable. That this is not recognized by most scientists is because most experiments have been conducted with mechanical recycled plastics made from a mixture of packages with different product residues from which the minor components were either not removed or unremovable, automatically creating a mixture of targeted material with various product residues, printing inks (including the pigments, plasticisers, solvents and mutagenic breakdown products), adhesives and other polymers from the sub-components. And indeed, such a mixture mechanically recycled renders a non-food-contact sensitive recycled plastic that is full of NIAS [ DOI: 10.1080/00032719.2022.210165; 10.1016/j.polymdegradstab.2023.110263; 10.1007/s10163-024-02085-4 and many more]. That is why multiple HDPE and PP recycling companies in the North of Europe now buy sorted products from various EPR schemes, sort it again with a cascade of many artificial intelligent optical / NIR sorting machines to obtain only the HDPE or PP packages that are well-designed for recycling, then perform extensive mechanical recycling and decontamination processes and then market the recycled transparent HDPE and PP as contact-sensitive for leave-on personal care product packaging. These recycled polyolefins are sold for a premium price and it is a big success for these companies, or better phrased a lifeline in this economical difficult time period. If you do not believe me, then visit Remondis Plano in Lünen or Morssinkhof Heerenveen.

You use the term “unwanted additives”. That is peculiar. These additives were intentionally added to the adhesive or the barrier layer or the printing ink, but because these packages were not well-designed for recycling, these IAS were not removed and end-up in the recycled plastic and become a NIAS, or are even thermally converted to mutagens, as Austrian research groups recently disclosed [DOI: /10.3390/ma18143325; 10.3390/recycling8060087]. Just call them NIAS.

Page 6: “The limited availability of recycled plastic pellets further complicates compliance with legal requirements.” ? Why would we have witnessed so much bankruptcies then? Most of these recycling companies went bankrupt because they couldn’t sell their products. Recycled plastics are just more expensive than virgin plastics, because the latter are over-produced and dumped on our market below the price at which we could produce them in Europe. Most FMCG industries are unwilling to pay more for packaging plastics, because they (we all) still live in a linear, neo-liberal economy [DOI: 10.1017/sus.2024.36; 10.1007/s43615-022-00196-4]. So all we can conclude is that the PPWR and the concomitant policies to reach more circularity are not in line with the economic rules that still dominate our society and industries.

Page 6 and title. Do not use marketing terms such as “upcycling” and “downcycling”, they are great for marketeers and politicians, but not scientific. We as technologists speak about conversion, or if we are pressed about open-loop versus closed loop recycling.

Page 6: “recycling is the only viable…”. No, consumption reduction is by far the best, followed by reuse and then recycling.

Page 7. The reason why only one-third of the plastic waste is recycled is much more complex. First of all, limited types of plastic waste are collected for recycling in the first place. If we narrow down to post-consumer plastic packaging wastes, then the maximum collection rates of plastic packages that we can attain is 70% [DOI: 10.1016/j.wasman.2019.04.021] when all households participate. So we have a loss of 30% anyway. Then we start to sort. The sorting losses strongly depend on the design of the packages, but overall the yield is roughly 80% [DOI: 10.1016/j.resconrec.2024.107599]. Then we start to recycle mechanically, the yield is in the lab still high [DOI: 10.1063/1.5016785], but in the industrial reality often closer to 70-75%. So, if we take the product of 70%*80%*75% we end up with a maximum recycling chain yield of about 42%. And that is then the yield of material that is targeted for collection and recycling, never mind about all the other types of plastic waste that even not separately collected.

By the way, if you start to pyrolyse these plastic wastes the yields are not much better, as you have to take the product of collection rate, sorting rate, pyrolysis rate, hydrogenation rate, cracker rate and that is often between 10 and 25%.

Page 8. Indeed if you mechanically recycle mixtures of multilayered flexible packaging films you get an inferior product. And that is probably mutagenic as well, due to the presence of nitrocellulose as printing ink resin. Nonetheless, it is the industrial reality in the North of Europe. We call this “mixed plastic recycling” and the EPR organisations are dependent on mix recycling to attain the legal recycling targets. So, the Mix-recycling facilities demand a fairly high “service fee” of typically 150 Euro/ton to deal with the material and to convert it into pallets, garden fence posts, jetty’s, etc. And I know there are some good points to sequester these used plastics in a long lifetime application.

Page 9 Pyrolysis. We have had many start-ups that went bankrupt because they produced a pyrolysis oil that was enriched in heavy metals, polyaromatic hydrocarbons and halogens. Some others produced mainly tar. Those experiences are only superficially mentioned. Why don’t you refer to: P. Quicker, 2023, “ Status, potentials and risks of Chemical recycling of waste plastics”, Federal office for the environment of Switzerland, 103 pages? Or the less detailed version in DOI: 10.1177/0734242X221084044? Here the consensus is that you either need a very clean feedstock and then can produce a pyrolysis oil that is reality free of metals, halogens and PAC’s or you will have post-process the produced oil at high costs. But if you already have a high quality feedstock (hence that is free of PET, PVC, printing ink resins, adhesives etc.) then you might want to recycle that mechanically anyhow. That trade-off is not discussed. Most pyrolysis plants and start-ups that I visited have PVC removal pre-treatments; often a thermal pretreatment with calcium carbonate. Why is this not discussed?

One of the main points of critique that I hear over here against pyrolysis is that it is no solution against planetary pollution and microplastics, as it implies that we keep on using polyolefins and the evidence is mounting that these are linked to human disease, ecotoxicity and loss of biodiversity. [DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2022.102880 ].

Page 15. Dissolution technologies. There are many different and the economics are mostly ruled by the price of the solvent, the replenishment rate, the cost of solvent recovery and the by the effort it takes to filtrate the dissolved plastic. Most plastics that are dissolved do so at very low concentrations of about 1% max, meaning that you need a large amount of solvent. Furthermore, solutions of plastics in solvents are viscous and difficult to filtrate, so you will need high pressures to press them through the filters, making it costly and very sensitive for the clogging of filters. Normal particles in the solutions are not very bad, but the worst are adhesives and printing ink resins that form gels in the solvent. Then you are lost as recycler. We call them jelly fish and it really limits the feedstock you can use for your solvent. That is why many dissolution enterprises cannot operate with printed packages. This is again not discussed. Possibly because these experiences are not shared publicly.

Ioniqa went bankrupt in 2024 and they try to revamp this plant.

Page 18, as far as I am aware the Eastman investment plans are put on hold due to the economic situation.

I hope this helps you forward. I understand from reading your manuscript that we have quiet different experiences in recycling and that I have become older, wiser and perhaps also more disappointed in what these technologies can offer (as long as the economic and legal context doesn’t change). Nonetheless, I believe that we must indeed proceed with a multi-measurement approach (as in Systemiq or the PPWR) and that recycling is a part of the solution, but not the whole solution. But recycling of plastic waste can only succeed when we can force FMCG industries to standardise their packages, redesign them both for mechanical and chemical recycling and create the supporting economic and legal rules. Otherwise it will be largely in vain.

Good luck!

Recommendation: Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways — R0/PR4

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Decision: Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways — R0/PR5

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Author comment: Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways — R1/PR6

Comments

Dear Editor,

Please find the revised version of PLC-2025-0005, now entitled “Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways”. We wish to thank the reviewers for their careful reading of the manuscript and the exceptional number of valuable suggestions. It is the best review I have seen in many years.

Best.

Review: Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways — R1/PR7

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

Dear authors,

Your manuscript has been improved greatly and only a few subtleties remain.

I would be in favour of adding a small section in the introduction on the difference in production capacity between the virgin plastic industry, the mechanical recycling industry and the chemical recycling industry. Either from Europe (from PRE and Plastic Europe) or globally if that is available (perhaps OECD). This will clarify the magnitude of the challenge we are facing. So, suppose that our European politicians are so brave that they want erect the hybrid mechanical-chemical recycling infrastructure you propose, then how much megatons of mechanical recycling infrastructure and chemical recycling infrastructure needs to build? And it is possible in a globalised economy -in which not all trading partners share the same ethical standards- to find investors for this mammoth endeavour, which will be loss-making in case the EU cannot close its border for the cheap virgin surplus from other continents?

Secondly there is a general point that I want to make, that already pops up in the abstract. Namely that indeed you are correct that we need “enhanced recycling strategies” under the presumption that we are unwilling to change the current packaging designs. The critical role of the packaging designs is only mentioned in the last sentence of the abstract, but in the -I must admit- unlikely case that the incumbents are willing to alter the packaging designs we can indeed mechanical recycle most polyolefin based packages also to food-grade recycled plastics, although we might need dissolution as additional decontamination technology. The main challenge is that most polyolefin-based packages possess prints, pigments, tie-layers, etc. that contribute to the generation of GMR NIAS during recycling. If we avoid these elements (for instance by putting the prints on removable labels) and mark these packages to enable selective and efficient sorting, then a superior rHDPE and rPP quality can be attained, that is technically “food safe”, the only question remains whether or not EFSA will deem the chance of incidental contamination low enough to provide a positive opinion. The unwillingness to redesign for food-grade mechanical recycling is mostly a financial matter; removable labels are more expensive than direct prints and so on. This issue returns in multiple sections, including the impact statement. It also returns in section 4, where you refer to the work of Lase et al. Indeed 61% is the maximum if you do not change the designs, but if you do, you could theoretically reach 72% [doi: 10.3390/su122310021].

Some minor issues

Abstract, line 34: “unfair competence” -> “unfair competition”.

Page 4, lines 32-33 are quirky; “with life spans ranging from single-use items to long-term applications”? I would rephrase this sentence: “After use, plastic objects are discarded. Their life-spans vary from only a few months for single-use items to multiple decades for constructive applications.”

Figure 2. It is a pity that this is not a Sankey diagram, as all the arrows have the same width. In reality some mass flows are much smaller than others and this would expound the challenge even more.

Page 6, line 33-35. The question is whether or not we will ever reach a steady-state situation, as most plastic waste is from single-use items and the many common applications (automotive, building & construction) have life-spans of multiple decades. On top of that a fair share of construction applications will not be recovered after use (they remain in the ground or in the rubble). In some countries like Germany they started recycling in the 90’s, but in my country (and many others) we only started to recycle on large scale the 10’s, so we haven’t reached equilibrium, yet, and as long as we are not recycling back to single-use items, then it will probably still take many decades to reach a semi-steady state.

Page 7, lines 54-56. This is indeed true for mechanical recycled plastics of which the designs remain unaltered. Chemical recycling can indeed render better qualities of recycled plastics under favourable conditions. But it also can not. What I want to stress here is the difference level of technical maturity of these technologies. Yes, there are a few chemical recycling technologies on a TRL level of 9, with running plants, but they cannot operate with all plastic waste. I have been engaged with dissolution companies and depolymerisation that could not filter their solutions, with pyrolysis plants with polluted catalysts, blocked reactors with char build-up and polluted oils, etc. Yes, it can work, but not under all conditions and there are many challenges to deal with. So, yes, chemical recycling can work, but only under favourable conditions (which often translates into well-pre-sorted plastic waste).

Page 8, yes degradation is a serious issue for all polyolefins and we are learning more on the subject annually. Some mechanical recyclers of PP make use of this degradation process. They start with post-consumer PP waste (which is a mixture of grades with low and high melt flow rates), re-extrude it into a mixture with a higher MFR (after thermal degradation in the extruder) and use it for injection moulding applications (automotive, construction). Yes, this can only be done once, but the life span of these objects is so long that nobody bothers. But in theory you are correct that after their use they can only be recycled chemically, but then they need to be collected for recycling, first (which is currently not happening anyway).

Page 11, lines 10-11. All the pyrolysis plants and even the start-ups that already went bankrupt that I visited have a pre-sorting line in which they remove PVC, PET, nylon, etc. to avoid the production of too contaminated pyrolysis oil.

Page 21, line 12. Typo. “went bankrupt”.

Finally, I have concern on the political-economic aspect to pyrolysis. The draft calculation method that the European Commission proposes is most likely “fuel use excluded” and not “free allocation”, making it mediocre difficult for European petrochemical industries to make the business profitable. In the autumn of 2025 we will hear the final verdict in a implementation decision. In the meantime, many industries are postponing investment plans, as long as there is no clarity. On top of that, EPR organisations are not to keen to provide feedstock (collected plastic waste) to pyrolysis plants as the calculation rules for the recycling target of 50% in 2025 and 55% in 2030 is very challenging for most EPR organisations and pyrolysis doesn’t help much either (irrespective of the calculation method). [https://www.sustainableplastics.com/news/how-mass-balance-clarity-can-transform-chemical-recycling-europe]

Good luck!

Recommendation: Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways — R1/PR8

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Decision: Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways — R1/PR9

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Author comment: Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways — R2/PR10

Comments

Please, find the second revision of our Ms. PLC-2025-0005.R1 “Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways”. We appreciate the reviewer’s comments and have revised the manuscript accordingly. We agree with the suggested changes and have incorporated them into the text. We would, however, like to note that, for the sake of efficiency in the revision process, it is generally preferable for all major comments to be raised during the first round of review.

Please note that submitting manuscripts to CPP is an absolute pain in the neck. Slow and full of absurd requirements.

Best

Roberto Rosal

Review: Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways — R2/PR11

Conflict of interest statement

I have none to declare.

Comments

Dear authors,

Thank you for the clear authors' response and the changes made in the text.

Good luck!

Recommendation: Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways — R2/PR12

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Decision: Plastic circularity: Challenges, opportunities, and future pathways — R2/PR13

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