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The most virulent parasite determines virulence in coinfection: a meta-analysis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 February 2026

Charlotte Rafaluk*
Affiliation:
Evolutionary Biology, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
Victoria L. Pike
Affiliation:
Department of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
Mathias Franz
Affiliation:
Evolutionary Biology, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
Kayla C. King
Affiliation:
Department of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK Department of Zoology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada Department of Microbiology & Immunology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada
*
Corresponding author: Charlotte Rafaluk; Email: charlotte.rafaluk@fu-berlin.de

Abstract

Content of image described in text.

Coinfections of hosts by multiple parasite species and strains are widespread in nature. Theory suggests that these infections have a key influence on the virulence, or harm caused, to hosts. However, it is still unclear whether multiple parasites, which may compete for resources and space, are indeed worse for hosts across the tree of life. To test this hypothesis, we conducted separate meta-analyses based on different expectations derived from virulence in single infections. We included 68 effect sizes from 19 experiments on non-human animal host species and 38 parasite species combinations. We found that coinfections are overall more virulent than the mean degree of harm caused by both parasites in retrospective single infections. That said, the coinfection virulence level is similar to that of the most virulent parasite, and less than the additive virulence of both single infections. These results suggest that the most virulent parasite is the primary driver of virulence in coinfection. This finding has implications for parasite spread in nature and suggests we focus on controlling the more harmful parasites in the first instance, when trying to limit the damage caused by coinfection.

Information

Type
Systematic Review
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press.
Figure 0

Table 1. Calculation of expectations of mean and additive virulence for different virulence measures. Measures of survival in single infections are denoted s1 and s2. To derive our expectations, each virulence measure was first transformed into the underlying host survival rate assuming a constant rate throughout the experiment. After calculating mean and additive rates, the expectations were then back-transformed again into the respective measure. The equations reflect the outcome of these different stepsTable 1 long description.

Figure 1

Figure 1. (A) Forest plots showing the effect sizes and 95% confidence intervals for each dataset comparing coinfections to the expectation for mean virulence of both single infections. Positive effect sizes indicate that virulence is higher in coinfection whereas negative values indicate that virulence is lower in coinfection compared to the expected mean virulence of single infections. (B) Forest plots showing the effect sizes and 95% confidence intervals for each dataset comparing coinfections to the most virulent single infection. Positive effect sizes indicate that virulence in higher in coinfection whereas negative values indicate higher virulence of the most virulence single infection. (C) Forest plots showing the effect sizes and 95% confidence intervals for each dataset comparing coinfections to the expectation for additive virulence of both single infections. Positive effect sizes indicate that virulence is higher in coinfection. Negative values indicate that virulence is lower in coinfection compared to the expected additive virulence of single infections.Figure 1 long description.

Figure 2

Figure 2. (A) Effect sizes for individual studies grouped by whether the 2 parasites have the same or different sites of infections, using the data from the comparison to the most virulence parasite displayed in Figure 1B. (B) Effect sizes for individual studies grouped by whether the combined dose of both parasite in coinfection was the same or double that of single infections, using the data from the comparison to the most virulence parasite displayed in Figure 1B.Figure 2 long description.

Figure 3

Table 2. Moderator variable analysis for the most virulent single infectionTable 2 long description.

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