Hostname: page-component-6766d58669-nf276 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2026-05-24T00:06:35.864Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Dissecting the Sinews of Power: International Trade and the Rise of Britain’s Fiscal-Military State, 1689–1823

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  09 April 2025

Ernesto Dal Bó
Affiliation:
Professor, University of California at Berkeley, Haas School of Business, 545 Student Services, Building #1900, Berkeley, CA 94720, and NBER. E-mail: dalbo@haas.berkeley.edu.
Karolina Hutková
Affiliation:
Postdoctoral Research Fellow, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, Manor Road Building, Manor Rd, Oxford OX1 3UQ, UK. E-mail: karolina.hutkova@economics.ox.ac.uk.
Lukas Leucht
Affiliation:
Junior Research Fellow in Economics at The Queen’s College of the University of Oxford, High St, Oxford OX1 4AW, UK. E-mail: lukas.leucht@queens.ox.ac.uk.
Noam Yuchtman*
Affiliation:
Professor, London School of Economics, Houghton Street, London, WC2A 2AE, UK, CEPR, and CESifo.
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

We evaluate the role of taxes on overseas trade in the development of imperial Britain’s fiscal-military state. Influential work, for example, Brewer’s Sinews of Power, attributed increased fiscal capacity to the taxation of domestic, rather than traded, goods: excise revenues, coarsely associated with domestic goods, grew faster than customs revenues. We construct new historical revenue series disaggregating excise revenues from traded and domestic goods. We find substantial growth in revenue from traded goods, accounting for over half of indirect taxation around 1800. This challenges conventional wisdom, attributing the development of the British state to domestic factors. International factors mattered, too.

Information

Type
Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Economic History Association
Figure 0

Table 1 CLASSIFICATION OF TAX BILLS IN 1689–1714: FINANCING WARS AND TAXING TRADE

Figure 1

Figure 1 EXCISE REVENUES BY TAXED GOOD IN 1756, SAMPLE OF CUST 145/22Notes: This figure reproduces a sample of the archival records organized under CUST 145/22. These records report excise revenues by taxed good from 1788 forward. For earlier years (e.g., 1756 in this figure), the category of narrow excise (cf. row 1 of this figure) needs to be further disaggregated.Source: Authors’ photo from the U.K. National Archive.

Figure 2

Figure 2 EXCISE REVENUES BY GOVERNMENT ACT IN 1750–55, SAMPLE OF CUST 145/12Notes: This figure reproduces a sample of the archival records organized under CUST 145/12. These records report excise revenues by government act.Source: Authors’ photo from the U.K. National Archive.

Figure 3

Figure 3 COMPARISON OF AGGREGATE EXCISE AND CUSTOMS REVENUES WITH MITCHELL (1988)Notes: This figure compares the aggregate patterns of excise and customs revenues of the British government (in £1,000,000) as calculated by the authors (black, solid lines) with those reported in Mitchell (1988) (as grey, dashed lines). Panel A reports the excise revenues for 1689–1823, and Panel B reports the customs revenues for 1689–1818. Gaps in the lines indicate years with missing data. See the fourth section for a description of the data and methodology. See Online Appendix Figure for a version of this figure, which includes revenues spent to finance bounties.Sources: Authors’ calculations. Refer to the fourth section of the main text for details.

Figure 4

Figure 4 DECOMPOSITION OF EXCISE AND CUSTOMS REVENUESNotes: This figure decomposes the excise and customs revenue of the British government (in £1,000,000). Panel A decomposes the revenues as presented in Mitchell (1988) and Brewer (1989) into revenues from customs and excise. Panel B plots the levels of revenues from traded goods and domestic goods as calculated by the authors. Years with missing customs data are linearly interpolated. See the main text for a description of the data and methodology. See Online Appendix Figure B.4 for a version of Panel B, which includes revenues spent to finance bounties.Sources: Authors’ calculations. Refer to the fourth section of the main text for details.

Figure 5

Figure 5 REVENUES FROM TRADED GOODS AS SHARE OF EXCISE AND CUSTOMSNotes: This figure compares the share of British customs and excise revenue from traded goods as computed by the authors with the share as reported in Brewer (1989) and using the data in Mitchell (1988). The grey, dashed line plots the share following Brewer (1989) in treating customs revenue as coming from traded goods and excise as coming from domestic production. The black, solid line plots the share of revenue from traded goods following the authors’ calculations and using disaggregated customs and excise data. Gaps in the lines indicate years with missing data. See the main text for a description of the data and methodology. See Online Appendix Figure B.5 for a version of this figure, which includes revenues spent to finance bounties.Sources: Authors’ calculations. Refer to the fourth section of the main text for details.

Figure 6

Figure 6 DECOMPOSITION OF REVENUES FROM TRADED GOODSNotes: This figure decomposes British government revenues from traded goods (in £1,000,000). Panel A plots excise revenues by traded good for 1720–1823. Panel B plots customs revenues by traded good for 1787–1818. Excise revenues from tea and wine include revenues from tea and wine licenses. Excise revenues from imported beer have been included with the revenues from foreign spirits, since revenues from imported beer are too small to be visible independently. Customs revenues from other habituation goods come from opium, licorice, pepper, spices, etc. The “Other Imports” category of Panel B includes all the customs revenues from imports other than the habituation goods enumerated in this figure.Sources: Authors’ calculations. Refer to the fourth section of the main text for details.

Figure 7

Table A.1 BRITISH EXCISE AND CUSTOMS REVENUES (IN £1,000), 1689–1720

Figure 8

Table A.2 BRITISH EXCISE AND CUSTOMS REVENUES (IN £1,000), 1721–1757

Figure 9

Table A.3 BRITISH EXCISE AND CUSTOMS REVENUES (IN £1,000), 1758–1794

Figure 10

Table A.4 BRITISH EXCISE AND CUSTOMS REVENUES (IN £1,000), 1795–1823

Figure 11

Table A.5 BRITISH EXCISE REVENUES FROM OVERSEAS TRADE (IN £1,000), 1720–1757

Figure 12

Table A.6 BRITISH EXCISE REVENUES FROM OVERSEAS TRADE (IN £1,000), 1758–1794

Figure 13

Table A.7 BRITISH EXCISE REVENUES FROM OVERSEAS TRADE (IN £1,000), 1795–1823

Figure 14

Table A.8 BRITISH CUSTOMS REVENUES FROM OVERSEAS TRADE (IN £1,000), 1787–1818

Supplementary material: File

Dal Bó et al. supplementary material

Dal Bó et al. supplementary material
Download Dal Bó et al. supplementary material(File)
File 1.1 MB