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Prealbumin and lymphocyte-based prognostic score, a new tool for predicting long-term survival after curative resection of stage II/III gastric cancer

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 October 2018

Qian Shen
Affiliation:
Department of Oncology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430030, People’s Republic of China
Wu Liu
Affiliation:
Department of Gastroenterology and Urology, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha 410013, People’s Republic of China
Hu Quan
Affiliation:
Department of Gastroduodenal and Pancreatic Surgery, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha 410013, People’s Republic of China
Shuguang Pan
Affiliation:
Department of Gastroduodenal and Pancreatic Surgery, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha 410013, People’s Republic of China
Shuang Li
Affiliation:
Department of Gastroduodenal and Pancreatic Surgery, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha 410013, People’s Republic of China
Tiejun Zhou
Affiliation:
Department of Gastroduodenal and Pancreatic Surgery, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha 410013, People’s Republic of China
Yongzhong Ouyang
Affiliation:
Department of Gastroduodenal and Pancreatic Surgery, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha 410013, People’s Republic of China
Hua Xiao*
Affiliation:
Department of Gastroduodenal and Pancreatic Surgery, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha 410013, People’s Republic of China
*
*Corresponding author: H. Xiao, fax +86 731 89762142, email huakexh2010@163.com
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Abstract

The aim of this retrospective study was to investigate the prognostic significance of pre-treatment immunological and nutritional statuses in patients with locally advanced gastric cancer (GC), and to use the risk factors to develop a predictive score. A total of 731 patients who underwent gastrectomy for stage II/III GC from November 2010 to December 2015 were recruited into this retrospective study. On the basis of univariate and further multivariate Cox regression analyses, decreased pretreatment lymphocyte count (<1·5×109/litre) and prealbumin concentrations (<180 mg/l) were identified to be independently associated with poorer overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Low albumin concentrations (<33 g/l) were identified as an independent risk factor only for OS, but not for DFS. Thereafter, patients who had a decreased prealbumin concentration and lymphocyte count were given a combination of serum prealbumin concentration and lymphocyte count (Co-PaL) score of 2. Patients with only one or neither of these concentrations were given a Co-PaL score of 1 or 0, respectively. Both the OS and the DFS time were inversely related to the Co-PaL scores, and the differences among the three groups were all significant. In contrast, the prognosis did not differ significantly between patients with good nutrition and those with mild to moderate malnutrition according to the prognostic nutritional index. This study indicated that the simple scoring system could accurately predict the prognosis of patients who underwent gastrectomy for stage II/III GC. The score might be helpful in terms of clinical preoperative decision-making.

Information

Type
Full Papers
Copyright
© The Authors 2018 
Figure 0

Fig. 1 Flow chart.

Figure 1

Table 1 Relationship between combination of serum prealbumin concentration and lymphocyte count (Co-PaL) scores and clinicopathologic characteristics of patients undergoing radical gastrectomy for stage II/III gastric cancer (n 731) (Numbers and percentages; mean values and standard deviations)

Figure 2

Fig. 2 X-tile analyses of overall survival performed using patients’ data to determine the optimal cut-off values for the lymphocyte count, serum prealbumin and albumin concentrations. In the left panels, the X-axis represents all potential cut-off values from low to high (left to right) that define a low subset, whereas the Y-axis represents the cut-off values from high to low (top to bottom) that define a high subset. Red coloration of a cut-off value indicates an inverse correlation with time to recurrence, and the green coloration represents direct associations. The optimal cut-off values highlighted by the black circles in the left panels are shown in the histograms of the entire cohort (middle panels). Kaplan–Meier plots are displayed in the right panels, where blue represents the low subgroup and grey represents the high subgroup. The optimal cut-off values for the lymphocyte count, serum prealbumin and albumin concentrations are 1·5×109/litre, 180 mg/l and 33 g/l, respectively.

Figure 3

Table 2 Univariate analysis (UV) and multivariate analysis (MV) of prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) after radical resection of stage II/III gastric cancer (n 731) (Numbers and percentages; medians and standard deviations; hazard ratios (HR) and 95 % confidence intervals)

Figure 4

Table 3 Univariate analysis (UV) and multivariate analysis (MV) of prognostic factors for disease-free survival (DFS) after radical resection of stage II/III gastric cancer (n 731) (Numbers and percentages; medians and standard deviations; hazard ratios (HR) and 95 % confidence intervals)

Figure 5

Fig. 3 Overall and disease-free survival curves in 731 patients who underwent gastrectomy for stage II/III gastric cancer. (a) Overall survival classified by a combination of the prealbumin concentration and lymphocyte count (Co-PaL) score. Co-PaL score 0 group v. 1 group, P=0·005; Co-PaL score 0 group v. 2 group, P<0·001; Co-PaL score 1 group v. 2 group, P=0·039. (b) Disease-free survival classified by the Co-PaL score. Co-PaL score 0 group v. 1 group, P=0·018; Co-PaL score 0 group v. 2 group, P<0·001; Co-PaL score 1 group v. 2 group, P=0·048. (c) Overall survival classified by the prognostic nutritional index (PNI). PNI score >50 group v. 40–50 group, P=0·107; PNI score >50 group v. <40 group, P<0·001; PNI score 40–50 group v. <40 group, P<0·001. (d) Disease-free survival classified by the PNI. PNI score >50 group v. 40–50 group, P=0·193; PNI score >50 group v. <40 group, P<0·001; PNI score 40–50 group v. <40 group, P=0·001.

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