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Field surveys can improve predictions of habitat suitability for reintroductions: a swift fox case study

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 October 2021

Zoe Paraskevopoulou
Affiliation:
University of St Andrews, Scotland, UK
Hila Shamon*
Affiliation:
Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute, National Zoological Park, 1500 Remount Rd., Front Royal, Virginia 22630, USA.
Melissa Songer
Affiliation:
Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute, National Zoological Park, 1500 Remount Rd., Front Royal, Virginia 22630, USA.
Graeme Ruxton
Affiliation:
University of St Andrews, Scotland, UK
William J. McShea
Affiliation:
Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute, National Zoological Park, 1500 Remount Rd., Front Royal, Virginia 22630, USA.
*
(Corresponding author) E-mail shamonh@si.edu

Abstract

Reintroductions are challenging, and success rates are low despite extensive planning and considerable investment of resources. Improving predictive models for reintroduction planning is critical for achieving successful outcomes. The IUCN Guidelines for Reintroductions and Other Conservation Translocations recommend that habitat suitability assessments account for abiotic and biotic factors specific to the species to be reintroduced and, where needed, include habitat quality variables. However, habitat assessments are often based on remotely-sensed or existing geographical data that do not always reliably represent habitat quality variables. We tested the contribution of ground-based habitat quality metrics to habitat suitability models using a case study of the swift fox Vulpes velox, a mesocarnivore species for which a reintroduction is planned. Field surveys for habitat quality included collection of data on the main threat to the swift fox (the coyote Canis latrans), and for swift fox prey species. Our findings demonstrated that the inclusion of habitat quality variables derived from field surveys yielded better fitted models and a 16% increase in estimates of suitable habitat. Models including field survey data and models based only on interpolated geographical and remotely-sensed data had little overlap (38%), demonstrating the significant impact that different models can have in determining appropriate locations for a reintroduction. We advocate that ground-based habitat metrics be included in habitat suitability assessments for reintroductions of mesocarnivores.

Information

Type
Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - SA
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the same Creative Commons licence is included and the original work is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained for commercial re-use.
Copyright
Copyright © Smithsonian Institution, 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Fauna & Flora International
Figure 0

Fig. 1 Swift fox Vulpes velox historical and current range in the Great Plains of North America (adapted from Moehrenschlager & Sovada, 2016). The rectangle indicates the gap between the northern and southern swift fox populations.

Figure 1

Fig. 2 Landcover in the proposed reintroduction region between the Missouri and Milk Rivers.

Figure 2

Table 1 Known swift fox Vulpes velox habitat requirements, with information sources.

Figure 3

Table 2 Details of explanatory variables used for coyote, Orthoptera, rodent and swift fox models.

Figure 4

Table 3 Occupancy models (ψ) for the coyote and Leporidae spp., selected based on AIC rank. Occupancy estimation based on camera-trap data collected during June–October 2018 and May–September 2019 in the Northern Great Plains, Montana, USA (Fig. 1).

Figure 5

Table 4 Estimated occurrence of rodents using a multivariate generalized linear framework, with top model selected using a stepwise process based on AIC scores. Data were collected via track plates during May–September 2019.

Figure 6

Table 5 Bioacoustic index values in response to methodological and site level covariates, with top model selected using a stepwise selection process. Data were collected via audio recordings at grassland sites during May–September 2019.

Figure 7

Fig. 3 Swift fox habitat suitability covariates and leading model: (a) habitat suitability based on remote sensing data only, (b) swift fox resources layer, (c) coyote occupancy, (d) swift fox leading habitat suitability model using resource selection function, and (e) the same area, showing the swift fox range, major rivers and Fort Belknap Indian Reservation.

Figure 8

Fig. 4 (a) Overlap between habitat suitability model (~remote data + resources + coyote) and remote data model, and (b) overlap between habitat suitability model (~remote data + resources + coyote) and remote data and habitat quality variables model. Values > 0.56 (upper quartile of the habitat suitability model) were considered in overlap calculations.

Figure 9

Table 6 Swift fox habitat suitability models ranked by AIC. Known swift fox locations were modelled in response to a habitat suitability model based on remote data (remote sensing and geographically interpolated data, RD), swift fox diet resources (Resources), and coyote occupancy.

Figure 10

Table 7 Swift fox habitat suitability model, with top model selected by a backward stepwise process. Known swift fox locations were modelled in response to three layer products: habitat suitability model based on remotely-sensed data and geographically interpolated data (RD), swift fox diet resources layer, and coyote occupancy layer.

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