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Uncovering trends in training progression for a national cohort of psychiatry trainees: discrete-time survival analysis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 June 2021

Milou E.W.M. Silkens*
Affiliation:
Research Department of Medical Education, UCL Medical School, University College London, UK
Shah-Jalal Sarker
Affiliation:
Research Department of Medical Education, UCL Medical School, University College London, UK; and UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, School of Life & Medical Sciences, University College London, UK
Asta Medisauskaite
Affiliation:
Research Department of Medical Education, UCL Medical School, University College London, UK
*
Correspondence: Milou E.W.M. Silkens. Email: m.silkens@ucl.ac.uk
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Abstract

Background

The global rise in mental health issues calls for a strong psychiatry workforce. Yet, psychiatry training worldwide is facing recruitment challenges, causing unfilled consultant posts and possibly threatening the quality of patient care. An in-depth understanding of trainees’ progression through training is warranted to explore what happens to recruited trainees during training.

Aims

To uncover current trends in psychiatry trainees’ progression through training in the UK.

Method

This national retrospective cohort study with data from the UK Medical Education Database used discrete-time survival analysis to analyse training progression for those trainees who started their core psychiatry post in 2012–2017 (2820 trainees; 59.6% female, 67.6% UK graduates (UKGs)). The impact of sociodemographic characteristics on training progression were also investigated.

Results

The overall probability of completing training in 6 years (minimum years required to complete psychiatry training in the UK) was 17.2% (ranging from 4.8% for non-UKG females to 29% for UKG males). The probability to not progress was highest (57.1%) from core to specialty training. For UKGs, trainees from ethnicities other than White, trainees with a disability, and trainees who had experienced childhood social deprivation (measured as entitlement to free school meals) had a significantly (P ≤ 0.02) lower probability of completing training in 6 years.

Conclusions

Less than one in five psychiatry trainees are likely to complete training in 6 years and this probability varies across groups of doctors. Completing psychiatry training in 6 years is, therefore, the exception rather than the norm and this has important implications for trainees, those planning psychiatry workforces or responsible for psychiatry training.

Information

Type
Papers
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Royal College of Psychiatrists
Figure 0

Table 1 Number of trainees progressing through training and censored data

Figure 1

Fig. 1 Survival curves for the main 2012–2017 cohort, the 2012–2013 subcohort and the UK graduate (UKG) subcohorts.

Figure 2

Table 2 Unstandardised coefficients, baseline hazards (probability of not progressing) and cumulative survival probabilities (probability of progressing to the next training level) for the main cohort and the two subcohorts based on discrete-time survival models

Figure 3

Fig. 2 Survival curves for the multivariable analysis for the 2012–2017 cohort and the 2012–2013 subcohort.UKG, UK graduate.

Figure 4

Table 3 Multivariable discrete-time survival (probability of completing training in 6 years) analysis results for the UK graduate (UKG) 2012–2017 cohort and the UKG 2012–2013 subcohort

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