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Plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations, vitamin D deficiency and mortality in community-dwelling Japanese adults

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  09 October 2025

Kaori Kitamura
Affiliation:
Division of Preventive Medicine, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan
Yumi Watanabe
Affiliation:
Division of Preventive Medicine, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan
Keiko Kabasawa
Affiliation:
Department of Health Promotion Medicine, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan
Toshiko Saito
Affiliation:
Division of Preventive Medicine, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan
Akemi Takahashi
Affiliation:
Department of Rehabilitation, Niigata University of Rehabilitation, Niigata, Japan
Ryosaku Kobayashi
Affiliation:
Department of Rehabilitation, Niigata University of Rehabilitation, Niigata, Japan
Rieko Oshiki
Affiliation:
Department of Rehabilitation, Niigata University of Rehabilitation, Niigata, Japan
Kei Watanabe
Affiliation:
Division of Orthopedic Surgery, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan
Ribeka Takachi
Affiliation:
Department of Food Science and Nutrition, Nara Women’s University Graduate School of Humanities and Sciences, Nara, Japan
Shoichiro Tsugane
Affiliation:
International University of Health and Welfare Graduate School of Public Health, Tokyo, Japan
Kazutoshi Nakamura*
Affiliation:
Division of Preventive Medicine, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan
*
Corresponding author: Kazutoshi Nakamura; Email: kazun@med.niigata-u.ac.jp
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Abstract

Blood 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations vary considerably by season and sex. The present study aimed to determine associations between vitamin D deficiency and mortality in Japanese adults and identify risk thresholds according to 25(OH)D concentrations. This was a cohort study with an 11-year follow-up. Participants were 8285 community-dwelling Japanese adults aged 40–74 years. Plasma 25(OH)D concentrations were measured by chemiluminescent immunoassay at baseline and divided into quintiles for each of the subgroups stratified by season and sex (denoted as season- and sex-stratified quintiles). The main outcome was all-cause mortality. Hazard ratios (HR) were calculated using a Cox proportional hazards model. Mean age and 25(OH)D concentration were 59·9 years (sd = 9·1) and 50·1 nmol/l (sd = 18·1), respectively. Lower season- and sex-stratified quintiles were associated with higher hazards of all-cause mortality (Pfor trend = 0·0015), with the first quintile (median = 28·2 nmol/l) having a higher HR (HR = 1·46, 95 % CI, 1·13, 1·88) than the highest quintile (reference). When crude quintiles were used, the overall association was similar (Pfor trend = 0·0027), with the first (median = 28·0 nmol/l) and second (median = 39·7 nmol/l) quintiles having higher HR (HR = 1·40, 95 % CI, 1·06, 1·85 and 1·38, 95 % CI, 1·07, 1·77, respectively) than the reference. The risk threshold difference was estimated to be approximately 10 nmol/l. In conclusion, low blood 25(OH)D concentrations are associated with high mortality risk. Crude blood 25(OH)D concentration may modulate the estimated risk threshold for vitamin D deficiency associated with mortality.

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Nutrition Society
Figure 0

Figure 1. Monthly distribution of blood collection.

Figure 1

Table 1. Participant characteristics according to season- and sex-stratified and crude quintiles of plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations

Figure 2

Table 2. All-Cause mortality and hazard ratios (HR) according to different quintiles of plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations

Figure 3

Figure 2. Cubic spline curves showing the multivariable-adjusted association between (a) season- and sex-stratified quintiles and (b) crude quintiles of plasma 25(OH)D with the hazard of all-cause mortality. The threshold of 25(OH)D concentration at which the lower bound of the 95 % confidence interval exceeded 1 was calculated to be 32·4 nmol/l when using season- and sex-stratified quintiles and 44·2 nmol/l when using crude quintiles. 25(OH)D, 25-hydroxyvitamin D.

Figure 4

Table 3. All-Cause mortality and hazard ratios (HR) according to season- and sex-stratified quintiles of plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations by sex

Figure 5

Table 4. All-cause mortality and hazard ratios (HR) according to season- and sex-stratified and crude quintiles of plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations by season group

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