Hostname: page-component-89b8bd64d-j4x9h Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2026-05-05T11:03:00.488Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The peri-urban leopards of Kathmandu: assessing determinants of presence and predation on domestic animals

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 May 2021

Ashish Bista*
Affiliation:
World Wide Fund for Nature, 172-B Lodhi Estate, New Delhi, 110003, India
Pranav Chanchani
Affiliation:
World Wide Fund for Nature, 172-B Lodhi Estate, New Delhi, 110003, India
Naresh Subedi
Affiliation:
National Trust for Nature Conservation, Khumaltar, Lalitpur, Nepal
Siddhartha B. Bajracharya
Affiliation:
National Trust for Nature Conservation, Khumaltar, Lalitpur, Nepal
*
(Corresponding author) E-mail ashishbista1@gmail.com

Abstract

The conservation of large carnivores in human-dominated landscapes needs to be reconciled with the safety of humans and domestic animals. This is especially true for the leopard Panthera pardus, which occurs extensively in agricultural landscapes and remnant forest tracts embedded within peri-urban areas such as Kathmandu district in Nepal. We carried out interviews in 321 households in this district to determine the extent of leopard habitat use and predation on domestic animals (dogs and goats) during October 2015–April 2016. We used multi-state occupancy models, and estimated probabilities of leopard habitat use (Ψ1) and predation on domestic animals (Ψ2) as a function of covariates, while accounting for imperfect detection. Our findings indicate that the rapidly urbanizing outskirts of Kathmandu city are used extensively by leopards. The estimated probability of fine-scale habitat use in 2 km2 sample units was 0.96 ± SE 0.05 and the probability of predation on domestic animals was 0.76 ± SE 0.15. Leopard attacks occurred in areas with high vegetation cover and abundant goats. Addressing the problem of leopard attacks on domestic animals will require developing a comprehensive mitigation plan that includes educational activities to raise awareness, measures to address grievances of affected local communities, interventions to prevent attacks on livestock, compensation programmes, and rapid response teams to ensure human and animal welfare in conflict-prone areas. Land-use planning in these peri-urban landscapes needs to facilitate the safe sharing of space between people and leopards.

Information

Type
Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Fauna & Flora International
Figure 0

Fig. 1 Study area showing Kathmandu district, Kathmandu city and survey locations within 90 2-km2 grid cells. The inset map shows the location of the study area within Nepal.

Figure 1

Table 1 List of covariates used to model probabilities of leopard Panthera pardus habitat use (Ψ1) and predation on domestic animals (Ψ2) in Kathmandu district, Nepal.

Figure 2

Table 2 Model results for detection parameters, p1 (leopard detection probability) and p2 (detection probability of predation on domestic animals). Two covariates ndvi and distoforest were modelled with global model Ψ1(dog+goat+ndvi+river+distoforest), Ψ2(dog+goat+ndvi+river+distoforest).

Figure 3

Table 3 Model results for probabilities of leopard habitat use (Ψ1) and predation on domestic animals (Ψ2), based on a priori hypotheses. For all models, covariates ndvi and distoforest were used to explain variation in detection probability.

Figure 4

Fig. 2 Relationship between occurrence of predation (Ψ2) and relative abundance of goats. The black dots and line show the mean value and the grey area represents the 95% CI.

Figure 5

Table 4 Estimates of β-coefficient values (with standard errors) for individual covariates associated with probabilities of leopard presence (Ψ1) and predation on domestic animals (Ψ2) for 19 models. For all models, covariates ndvi and distoforest were fixed with detection probabilities p1 and p2.

Figure 6

Fig. 3 (a) Probability of habitat use of leopard in peri-urban Kathmandu within 2 km2 survey grid cells, and (b) probability of occurrence of predation on domestic animals. These estimates are from the best-ranked model Ψ1 (dog+ndvi), Ψ2 (goat+river).

Supplementary material: File

Bista et al. supplementary material

Bista et al. supplementary material

Download Bista et al. supplementary material(File)
File 18.2 KB