Against Economic Planning

The first aspect of the neoliberal dual argument is the notion that “economic planning” was the main culprit of the rise of totalitarian dictatorships in Europe in the 1930s, and that state-led “interventions” in the market order can be expected to lead to such outcomes as a general principle. That the concept of totalitarianism figures so prominently in the economic writings of early neoliberals and that this tyrannical state of affairs is blamed not only on socialism but indeed also on social liberalism indicate the extent to which neoliberals intended their creed to be profoundly different from that of left-leaning “new liberals” who wanted to use the state to supplant or supplement the mechanisms of markets. The Walter Lippmann Colloquium in 1938 was an important precursor to the founding meeting of the Mont Pelerin Society in 1947, (Denord Reference Denord2007; Audier Reference Audier2008), and even before the colloquium in Paris, Friedrich Hayek and Lionel Robbins at the London School of Economics had read Walter Lippmann attentively for some time due to a series of articles in the Atlantic Monthly in 1936 and 1937. These articles were in fact chapters from Lippmann’s upcoming book The Good Society (Jackson Reference Jackson2012, pp. 55–56), and although biographer Craufurd Goodwin has described the eclectic Lippmann as a “lifelong Keynesian” (Goodwin Reference Goodwin2014, p. 51), The Good Society became a foundational neoliberal text, precisely because it spelled out the dual argument clearly and coherently. Lippmann argued that attempts to subordinate the market economy to centralist planning had been the defining feature of Italy’s and Germany’s descent into dictatorship, likened the fascist states to their supposed arch-enemy the Soviet Union, and labeled them all “Totalitarian regimes” (Lippmann Reference Lippmann2004, pp. 54–91), a discourse that had by that time already come into a fair amount of use by non-communist leftists exiled from Germany (Jones Reference Jones1999). Writing of the “necessary absolutism” of totalitarian regimes, Lippmann claimed: “They [collectivists] speak of the chaos and the confusion of free regimes and feel inspired to eliminate the interaction of all the numerous private interests of individuals, groups and classes, of local and regional communities. Collectivists are profoundly monistic in their conception of life because they regard variety and competition as evil” (Lippmann Reference Lippmann2004, p. 56). According to Lippmann, these broader concerns with the lack of freedom, which had indeed been on the agenda also of previous liberals, could be reduced to a question of economic freedom, as these problems were all due to the impossibility of economic planning in peace time: “Planning is theoretically possible only if consumption is rationed. For a plan of production is a plan of consumption. If the authority is to decide what shall be produced, it has already decided what shall be consumed. In military planning this is precisely what takes place: … A planned production to meet a free demand is a contradiction in terms and as meaningless as a square circle” (Lippmann Reference Lippmann2004, pp. 101–102). It was this intellectual error and contradiction in terms, inherited from the planning regimes of World War I, that was bound to set collectivism and economic planning onto a slippery slope towards totalitarianism. Lippmann wrote: “There is nothing in the collectivist principle which marks any stopping place short of the totalitarian state” (Lippmann Reference Lippmann2004, p. 52).

Friedrich Hayek entered into eager correspondence with Lippmann, and, among other things, Hayek sent Lippmann a list of “the few real liberals known to me,”Footnote ² to whom Lippmann sent copies of his book upon completion. Already in 1937, Hayek and Robbins were no strangers to the claim that economic planning led to totalitarian dictatorship. In all likelihood they had, for instance, both attended the Swedish economist Gustav Cassel’s lecture “From Protectionism Through Planned Economy to Totalitarian Dictatorship” at the London School of Economics (LSE) in 1934 (Cassel Reference Cassel1934). The notion that attempts at economic calculation without markets would have disastrous consequences for the social order had also been implicit in the socialist calculation debates in which Hayek and Robbins had both been engaged. On March 12, 1937, Lippmann wrote in a letter to Hayek that he had been inspired by the Europeans to make his own argument:

The idea that economic planning lay behind the rise of totalitarianism had thus not originated in New York with Lippmann but in Vienna, from where Lionel Robbins had recruited Hayek to come work at the LSE in 1931. Robbins had attended several of Ludwig von Mises’s Privatseminars (Peck Reference Peck2008) and brought his protégé Hayek to London with the explicit aim of transplanting Mises’s Austrian ideas to an English-language context and build the LSE economics program as a right-wing rival to the social liberal economics taught at Cambridge by John Maynard Keynes (Burgin Reference Burgin2012, pp. 12–32). The expression of Austrian economic theory that most interested Robbins was Austrian business cycle theory, but certainly also the arguments put forward in the socialist calculation debates. Robbins and Lippmann were not the only non-Austrians interested in these seminal debates, which became central also to the German ordoliberals and Chicago economists who all joined forces to establish the Mont Pelerin Society in 1947.

According to Erwin Dekker, the Austrian economists involved in the calculation debates considered the rise of socialism and other events of their time as a “revolt against civilization” (Dekker Reference Dekker2016, p. 9). What they attempted to grapple with in disproving the feasibility of socialism and insisting that market mechanisms were bedrocks of civilization was nothing less than “the central problem of modernity” (Dekker Reference Dekker2016, p. 89). That a profoundly new conception of liberalism would be needed to confront such a task should not be surprising, and in what became “the knowledge argument,” Hayek built on Mises in holding forth that markets were essential for modern social coordination and, against market socialists, that they could function in a capitalist society only with private ownership of the means of production (Birner and van Zip Reference Birner and van Zip1994; Innset Reference Innset2020, pp. 19–36).Footnote ⁴ The centrality of knowledge for the neoliberal argument in favor of markets also has roots in Budapest, the other capital of the dual monarchy, where debates between Georg Lukács and Karl Mannheim on the question of which social groups were able to gain the best view of “social totality” became influential for the early neoliberal Michael Polanyi’s concept of “tacit knowledge” and his critique of scientific planning (Hull Reference Hull, Plehwe, Walpen and Neunhöffer2006).

The book Hayek had sent to Lippmann that the latter had already read and taken great inspiration from was the 1935 edited volume Collectivist Economic Planning, in which Hayek translated the German-language socialist calculation debates to English. In his inaugural address at LSE in 1933, Hayek claimed that in his new country there were “very few people left today who are not socialists” (Caldwell Reference Caldwell1997, pp. 14), something he sought to rectify with the volume that went on to inspire Lippmann. The tradition of social liberalism, of which Keynes was the clearest proponent at the time, was thus an important target for Hayek. Inspired by thinkers like Thomas Hill Green (1836–1882) and Leonard Hobhouse (1864–1929), social liberals had been arguing against government passivity for quite some time, and Michael Freeden argues that these “new liberals” teased “out of liberalism implicit and underplayed features that created an ideological turn” (Freeden Reference Freeden2005, pp. 4–5). Duncan Bell has argued that the label “liberal” was retrospectively applied to someone like John Locke as late as the 1930s and 1950s, and that he then became “a source of inspiration for an individualist account of political life” (Bell Reference Bell2014, p. 700). Before this, however, “liberalism” had more social and democratic connotations, especially due to the interventions of Green and Hobhouse. Where the historical context of the interwar years led social liberals to broaden liberalism’s freedom concerns to also include political and social freedoms, neoliberals strongly rejected this and insisted on the primacy of economic freedom. Hayek later referred to the social liberal tradition as “false individualism” (Hayek Reference Hayek1948, p. 2) and even “one of the pacemakers for socialism” (Hayek Reference Hayek1972, p. 398), as he sought to straighten out the blurred lines between liberalism and socialism.

The passionate anti-socialism of the Austrian School of economics has been noted by many observers (Blaug Reference Blaug1962, p. 283), and Hayek later said of Mises’s 1921 book Sozialismus that it “fundamentally altered the outlook of many of the young idealists returning to their university studies after World War I,” adding: “I know, for I was one of them” (Caldwell Reference Caldwell2004, p. 144). Hayek moved closer to fields like law, philosophy, and political science in the late 1930s, a development referred to as “Hayek’s transformation” by Bruce Caldwell (Caldwell Reference Caldwell1988, Reference Caldwell2004), and Ben Jackson has claimed it in fact happened after Hayek had read Walter Lippmann (Jackson Reference Jackson2012, pp. 47–48). According to Caldwell, Hayek had “restricted himself to making economic arguments” up until his 1938 essay “Freedom and the Economic System” but then changed paths (Caldwell Reference Caldwell1997, p. 42). Against this, I would claim that there is clear continuity between Hayek’s and other Austrian economists’ critique of socialism from the socialist calculation debates, and, later, neoliberal claims that economic planning, also of the social liberal variant, leads to totalitarian dictatorship. The socialist calculation debates also mattered greatly to the German ordoliberals, and according to the ordoliberal scholar Stefan Kolev, the strong connections between Vienna and Freiburg indicated that the focus on knowledge meant that the ideas developed by Hayek through these debates could be called a “learning ordoliberalism” (Kolev Reference Kolev2021).

Against Laissez-Faire

One might expect that the very strong opposition to social liberalism, grounded in the notion that economic planning and state interference in markets were behind the rise of totalitarianism, would lead the neoliberals to advocate a retreat of the state from economic affairs in order to avoid this danger. Yet they did no such thing, and although Karl Polanyi may have been right to quip that “laissez-faire was planned” (Polanyi Reference Polanyi1985, p. 147), the neoliberal group forming around Hayek often invocated the idea of laissez-faire as a culprit and explicitly theorized using the state as an integrated part of their market liberalism. Lippmann, for instance, attacked what he called the “latter day liberals” who had “lost the intellectual leadership of the progressive nations” (Lippmann Reference Lippmann2004, p. 192), and in passages strangely similar to some of today’s critiques of neoliberalism (when wrongly perceived as a laissez-faire program), he attempted to break down the very idea that the economy was a separate sphere with which politics could not tinker: “The title to property is a construction of the law. Contracts are legal instruments. Corporations are legal creatures.… It is, therefore, misleading to think of them as existing somehow outside the law and then to ask whether it is permissible to ‘interfere’ with them” (Lippmann Reference Lippmann2004, p. 269).

The notion that economic planning led to totalitarianism did not cause Lippmann to criticize state involvement in the economy as such. On the contrary, Lippmann argued that laissez-faire liberalism had proven futile in the face of the totalitarian danger. Within the context of this paper, it is important to note that this second, less explored, part of the dual argument was not necessarily born out of moderation or a rapprochement with the social liberals they opposed but rather out of the novel conclusion from the socialist calculation debates that markets were the mediators of modernity, and thus would need state protection from those who did not realize their importance (Bonefeld Reference Bonefeld2017; Innset Reference Innset2020, pp. 32–39).

The neoliberals differed from social liberals in their explicit focus on markets organized on the basis of property rights and freedom of contract, and the absolute centrality given to what the attendees of the 1938 Walter Lippmann Colloquium referred to quite simply as “the price mechanism” (Centre International d´Études pour la Renovation du Libéralisme 1938; Schulz-Forberg Reference Schulz-Forberg2016). According to Pierre Laval and Christian Dardot, “new liberals” like Keynes or William Beveridge wanted to reform liberalism in two major ways: by abandoning the policies of laissez-faire, and by challenging the dogma of the self-regulating market. Crucially, the neoliberals were on board with the first step of this program but were more circumspect with regards to the second: “while neo-liberals accept the need for state intervention and reject pure governmental passivity, they are opposed to any action that might frustrate the operation of competition between private interests” (Dardot and Laval Reference Dardot and Laval2013, p. 47). In their very first meeting in 1938, social questions were very much on the agenda (Schulz-Forberg Reference Schulz-Forberg2016). However, the continued focus on the mechanisms of prices and markets as the keystone of modern civilization set neoliberalism apart from other contemporary attempts to deal with social problems through a revision of liberalism.Footnote ⁵ At the 1938 meeting in Paris, the neoliberals took a vote amongst themselves and discarded terms like “individualism,” “positive liberalism,” and even the especially inappropriate term “left-wing liberalism,” in favor of “neoliberalism” (Jones Reference Jones2012, p. 35). The label gradually disappeared from use, although it was used approvingly by both Friedman and Hayek (albeit in inverted commas) up until at least the 1960s (Friedman Reference Friedman1951; Kolev Reference Kolev, Commun and Kolev2018, p. 83).

In The Road to Serfdom, published in 1944, Hayek spelled out more clearly than Lippmann some of the stages through which collectivist interference with the market order would lead to something as serious as totalitarianism. This did not mean that Hayek proposed laissez-faire as an alternative to economic planning, however. On the contrary, he wrote that “the question whether the state should or should not ‘act’ or ‘interfere’ poses an altogether false alternative, and the term laissez-faire is a highly ambiguous and misleading description of the principles on which a liberal policy is based” (Hayek Reference Hayek2007, p. 84). He also said: “Probably nothing has done so much harm to the liberal cause as the wooden insistence of some liberals on certain rules of thumb, above all the principle of laissez faire” (Hayek Reference Hayek2007, p. 71). Hayek thus repeated the dual argument first phrased in The Good Society, and in the years following the colloquium, many of the participants would do the same: Louis Rougier’s Les Mystiques économiques: comment l’on passe de démocraties libérales aux états totalitaires? was published in 1938. Wilhelm Röpke posed the argument in Die Gesselschaftskrisis der Gegenwart from 1941, and also Civitas Humana from 1944. Michael Polanyi made the argument in The Contempt of Freedom: The Russian Experiment from 1940, and it took Alexander Rüstow another decade and a half to complete his three-volume treatise on these issues as Ortsbestimmung der Gegenwart. This list is by no means exhaustive. Röpke, like other German ordoliberals, talked about actively “setting up the market economy as a system of genuine competition” (Röpke Reference Röpke1948, p. 27), very much like how Hayek, in The Road to Serfdom, attempted to make a distinction between planning for competition and planning against competition (Hayek Reference Hayek2007, p. 90).

Nine years after the colloquium, in April 1947, Hayek was finally able to gather what he had called, at a lecture at Stanford University some three years earlier, “an army of fighters for freedom” (Innset Reference Innset2021). His proposed name for the organization was “The Acton-Tocqueville Society” because he believed Lord Acton and Alexis de Tocqueville were the only thinkers to have properly understood Edmund Burke’s warnings against the dangers of democracy, and had therefore predicted the phenomenon of totalitarianism.Footnote ⁶ As we know, they would later opt for naming themselves after the Swiss mountaintop under which they met: Mont Pèlerin. After an opening address by William Rappard, Hayek gave an emotional speech to the selected attendees about the road ahead for the movement: “This task involves both purging traditional liberal theory of certain accidental accretions which have become attached to it in the course of time, and facing up to certain real problems which an over-simplified liberalism has shirked or which have become apparent only since it had become a somewhat stationary and rigid creed.”Footnote ⁷ The then recently deceased Chicago economist Henry Simons had written the pamphlet A Positive Program for Laissez-Faire already in 1934, in which he had claimed, “The representation of laissez-faire as a merely do-nothing policy is unfortunate and misleading” (Simons Reference Simons1934, p. 3). It was his lead Hayek wanted to follow, and in their internal discussions at that founding conference, the early neoliberals were much less interested in totalitarianism and the problems with socialism than they were in the problems with their own liberal beliefs regarding the use of state power and how to adapt them to a more activist stance, suitable for a different world.

As an example, the first session of the conference was called “‘Free’ Enterprise or Competitive Order”Footnote ⁸ and was dedicated to this very question. Hayek said it “seems to be much the biggest and in some ways the most important.… It is the field where it is most important that we should become clear in our own minds, and arrive at an agreement about the kind of programme of economic policy which we should wish to see generally accepted.” He added: “Its ramifications are practically endless, as an adequate treatment involves a complete programme of a liberal economic policy.”Footnote ⁹ Hayek introduced this session, too, and continued his attacks on contemporary liberalism of both kinds. The movement towards planning, he claimed, was “due, more than anything else, to the lack of a real program, or perhaps I had better say, a consistent philosophy of the opposition groups.” According to him, “the most fatal tactical mistake of many nineteenth century liberals” was to have “given the impression that the abandonment of all harmful or unnecessary state activity was the consummation of all political wisdom” and “that the question of how the state ought to use those powers nobody denied to it offered no serious and important problems on which reasonable people could differ.”Footnote ¹⁰

At the conference, the problem of monopolies was brought out in the first session, as in several others.Footnote ¹¹ It was emphasized by neoliberals that monopolies hindered competition, and since competition was the main virtue of markets, the problems with laissez-faire were essentially the same as with economic planning: the mechanisms of markets were stifled. The neoliberals thus wanted to use the state in this case, but their goal nonetheless remained more or less the same as traditional proponents of laissez-faire: a society based on the mechanisms of markets. The other part of the dual argument, the strong critique of economic planning as leading to totalitarianism, indicates that early neoliberalism was not some sort of middle ground or “third way” between markets and planning but rather a belief in markets so strong that it validated the use of modern states in the creation of a society based upon their mechanisms.

A key moment in the 1947 founding conference of the Mont Pelerin Socety occurred when the word was given to Loren Miller on the penultimate day of the conference during a discussion on agricultural policies. Miller was one of the several American activists who were present at the conference but who rarely participated in discussions with the more credentialed economists present. He was employed at an institution called Bureau of Government Research based in Detroit, but he is said to have persuaded the furniture magnate William Volker to set up the William Volker Fund in 1932. The Volker Fund had paid the expenses of all the American attendees of the first Mont Pelerin Society conference, and the foundation had been run by Miller up until 1942 (Blundell Reference Blundell2001, p. 38). Miller had not raised his voice in plenary sessions before this but proceeded to argue against both Karl Brandt’s and Wilhelm Röpke’s claims that farmers needed special insurance schemes so as to win them over to the case of liberalism. Why should not everyone be insured against the vicissitudes of the markets if farmers could be? he asked provocatively. Ending his short but pointed intervention, he asked what the total sum of all the interventions that had been suggested during the conference really would be: “Wouldn’t that be a planned economy?”Footnote ¹² Miller, much like Mises had done in earlier sessions, thus brought out the underlying tension in the dual argument. How was it possible to be so violently against economic planning and denounce the state as causing totalitarian dictatorship by interfering with the economy, yet at the same time suggest a series of political measures intended to improve upon the workings of the economy?

That was the approach of the think tank man, and, to a certain extent, Ludwig von Mises. For neoliberals of different schools, however, from Hayek to Eucken to Friedman to Robbins, the dual argument made good sense. Interventions in the market process were wrong but so was laissez-faire. Crucially, this was not a compromise, a sign of moderation, or a tacit acceptance of some social liberal principle. The first aspect of the dual argument shows clearly that early neoliberalism was just as much a rejection of social liberalism as it was of laissez-faire liberalism. In order to create a market-based society, the state had to be put to use, not to supplant market mechanisms but, on the contrary, to protect and nourish them. As Hayek spoke of the difference between ordered competition and a truly competitive order, it remained unclear what the neoliberals really meant by “competition,”Footnote ¹³ but the important common ground found in the dual argument approach nonetheless left space to differ on the question of how states should be used.

The Radicalization Thesis

I have argued that the founding of neoliberalism as an intellectual creed in the interwar and early postwar years was based on a dual argument directed both against interventions in the economy and against laissez-faire. The point that early neoliberals were against laissez-faire has been made before (Mirowski and Plehwe Reference Mirowski and Plehwe2009; Peck Reference Peck2010; Slobodian Reference Slobodian2018), but it is my contention that the concept of the dual argument clarifies the fundamental importance of this rejection and its relationship to the criticism of economic planning. In a time where political turmoil and economic crises made the old liberal idea of natural stability seem utopian, the neoliberal embrace of state power did not entail any rejection of markets but was rather a logical extension of their commitment to market mechanisms as what I refer to as “mediators of modernity”—meaning that markets are seen as the prime institution allowing for social coordination in a heterogenous, modern society. The early neoliberals’ rejection of economic planning, on the other hand, should be well known. As the bogeyman of “neoliberalism-as-laissez-faire” has lost ground within academe, however, a new bogeyman of early neoliberalism as practically the same as social liberalism appears to be making headway. This in turn seems to be based on the idea that later iterations of neoliberalism somehow turned into that which it initially opposed: a movement for laissez-faire liberalism. In Angus Burgin’s well-researched and otherwise commendable account of the neoliberal movement, The Great Persuasion, we are presented with exactly such a story. Towards the end of the chapter entitled “The Invention of Milton Friedman,” Burgin claims that the politics of Milton Friedman marked a departure from the supposedly more nuanced view of Hayek and other early neoliberals: “To Hayek and the other founders of the Mont Pèlerin Society, Friedman’s ascent within its orbit reflected the collapse of its attempt to integrate a restrained defense of free markets into a traditionalist worldview. In the broader social environment Friedman’s rise portended, and precipitated, the triumphant return of laissez-faire” (Burgin Reference Burgin2012, p. 185). A similar story is put forward by Daniel Stedman Jones in his Masters of the Universe, where he also notes that the same Milton Friedman who in the 1951 essay “Neo-liberalism and Its Prospects” wrote that he considered laissez-faire philosophy to be flawed, described himself as a defender of laissez-faire in an essay on Adam Smith from 1976 (Jones Reference Jones2012, p. 102).

The thesis put forward by Burgin and Stedman Jones is thus that the neoliberal movement was radicalized under the leadership of Milton Friedman, who took up the presidency of the Mont Pelerin Society in 1970. Burgin repeatedly contrasts Friedman to his predecessors, who are described with words like “moderation” and “restraint” (Burgin Reference Burgin2012, p. 183). The change is not explained exclusively by reference to Friedman personally, and the importance of the Cold War context is especially emphasized. For example, Stedman Jones notes how variations over Adam Smith’s theory of an invisible hand became “a central ideological claim on behalf of free market capitalism in the Cold War against totalitarian communism and its Western collectivist-cousins” (Jones Reference Jones2012, p. 108). This is certainly true, but although an ideological climate very different from that of the interwar years may have tempted neoliberals to deploy the laissez-faire rhetoric they had previously criticized, it does not sufficiently explain how American neoliberals could so easily abandon one of their two core precepts.

A group who nonetheless actively subscribes to the radicalization thesis are the German ordoliberals. As members of the Mont Pelerin Society who write scholarly articles on the history of their own movement, they hold a peculiar role as both the peers and the object of study for a historian of the neoliberal movement such as yours truly. Due to the continuous influence of ordoliberals on economic policies in Germany and in the EU as a whole (Hien and Joerges Reference Hien and Joerges2017), they are also political actors in the present moment of European politics, as evident by, for instance, the comments of Hans-Werner Sinn quoted in the introduction of this article, something that should be kept in mind when considering their interpretation of the history of the neoliberal movement. The so-called Hunold affair in the early 1960s (Hartwell Reference Hartwell1995, pp. 100–133), which led to the resignation from the society of both its erstwhile secretary Albert Hunold and then president Wilhelm Röpke in 1962, is held up by this group as a turning point for the neoliberal movement and something of a defeat for German ordoliberals within the Mont Pelerin Society at the hands of American economists (Plickert Reference Plickert2008). Ordoliberals like Röpke and Eucken had been influential members of the society in its early years, but, according to the ordoliberal version of the story, their influence waned as neoliberalism moved away from its characteristic dual argument approach, towards a laissez-faire approach that they, too, connect with the USA and the influence of Milton Friedman.

Somewhat curiously, if they were so opposed to these developments, ordoliberals nonetheless remained within the organization. In a recent interview the influential German economist Lars Feld, currently the director of the Walter Eucken Institut, claimed that the presence in the Mont Pelerin Society of ordoliberals such as himself may “balance the society,” and he expressed hopes for an ordoliberal revival within the organization at the expense of an old guard of “think-tankers” (Hippe Reference Hippe2021, p. 52). Feld also claimed in the same interview that what had happened already in the 1960s was that “Röpke realised that the Mises-group conquered Hayek (because of their shared history), and that he therefore returned to classical liberalism” (Hippe Reference Hippe2021, p. 50; my translation). A similar sentiment is expressed in a recent paper by Lars Peder Nordbakken, who is connected to the ordoliberal NOUS network, which is based in Freiburg and led by Feld and Karen Horn. Under the headline “Liberalism beyond Hayek,” Nordbakken claims that The Constitution of Liberty from 1960 represented “a return to liberal minimalism” and “a step backward” as opposed to The Road to Serfdom, thus “creating a moderate version of the old laissez-faire problem” (Nordbakken Reference Nordbakken2019, p. 13). The connections between Hayek and ordoliberalism have previously been highlighted by contemporary ordoliberal scholars (Kolev Reference Kolev2010), but in Nordbakken’s paper it appears as if the former is now increasingly grouped together with Mises, and therefore seen as a laissez-faire thinker who turned his back on the presumably more advanced insights of ordoliberalism.

The Double-Truth Thesis

While Milton Friedman’s use of the term “laissez-faire” with positive connotations in 1976, as well as in Capitalism and Freedom in 1962 (Friedman Reference Friedman2002, pp. 5–10), does seem to indicate that something had happened to the anti-laissez-faire views of neoliberals, the idea that all neoliberals except the ordoliberals plainly forgot or outright rejected the original dual argument position leaves a lot to be desired. In fact, it would make sense only if one had (mis)interpreted the neoliberal rejection of laissez-faire as a sign of moderation or “restraint,” as so many of the thinkers and scholars both within and outside the ordoliberal group who have been cited above appear to be doing, when it could instead be seen as a position born out of a radical belief in markets as the only possible mediators of modernity.

An observer who follows the early neoliberals’ own explicit view of laissez-faire as no less than an absurd impossibility is the economist and historian of sciences Philip Mirowski. Through several works on what he calls the Neoliberal Thought Collective,Footnote ¹⁴ he has argued that far from forgetting their attack on laissez-faire, neoliberals remained true to the principles of the dual argument, yet changed the ways in which this was communicated. According to Mirowski, there is a “double-truth doctrine” at play, which allows neoliberal thinkers to have one esoteric truth for insiders and a different, exoteric truth intended for mass consumption. Mirowski claims that this is not to be seen as a trait of cynicism but rather something that “grow[s] organically out of the structural positions that motivate the thought collective” (Mirowski Reference Mirowski2013, p. 68). The implication is that the double-truth doctrine is in fact a logical consequence of seeing markets as superior processors of information and of the epistemological positions regarding the importance of ignorance for a functioning market order that flow from this core neoliberal principle. According to Mirowski, this in turn leads to several “double-truths” regarding the endeavor of rationally promoting the virtues of ignorance, and that of advocating for an open society from within a closed organization. The starting point of it all is the tension embodied in the dual argument. It is within the problems of arguing against state “interference” in markets while also arguing that the state is vital for markets where what Mirowski calls “double-truth” actually begins:

In later works, Mirowski has brought in a connection between Hayek and Leo Strauss, who was at the University of Chicago at the same time, to explain how Hayek might have moved towards a double-truth doctrine in the years shortly after the first Mont Pelerin Society meeting in 1947. Strauss emphasized esotericism in the theory of politics, and the importance for many political thinkers throughout history of concealing their text’s true intentions, which were accessible only as secret truths for the select few (Mirowski Reference Mirowski2014, pp. 28–31). This springs from the fear of persecution, but the idea that economists in particular have to hide their insights from the general public is not alien. It is, for instance, present in Paul Samuelson’s contention that the doctrine of balanced public budgets is a myth, told by economists in order to curb public spending and avoid anarchy (Blaug Reference Blaug1995). The notion of such a “noble lie” comes from Plato, but Mirowski needs neither him nor Strauss to explain the logic of how the neoliberal view of markets can countenance a double-truth approach. The neoliberal arguments for markets had been a “knowledge argument” ever since the socialist calculation debates, where it was proposed that no human or group of humans could ever obtain all the knowledge that emerges spontaneously from the market order. The epistemic limitations of humankind are what makes economic planning so dangerous. Already in The Road to Serfdom, Hayek therefore wrote of the imperative to “yield to forces which we neither understand nor can recognize” and “submission to the impersonal and seemingly irrational forces of the market” (Hayek Reference Hayek2007, pp. 204–205). If human ignorance and the acceptance of it are important prerequisites for a functioning market order, Mirowski suggests that it follows that the exoteric communication of the neoliberal movement can differ from its esoterically held beliefs.

Through the notion of a double-truth doctrine, Mirowski argues that American neoliberals have routinely portrayed themselves as believers in laissez-faire and opponents of any state “interference” in markets, even if they are not, and that this is a function of deeply held epistemic commitments. But if ignorance is a virtue of market society, why bother convincing people at all? Such a point was put to Milton Friedman by none other than his fellow Chicago economist and president of the Mont Pelerin Society between 1976 and 1978, George Stigler, who instead believed that economists were more influential when working on technical matters for an audience of experts (Nik-Khah Reference Nik-Khah and Tyfeld2017). Never one to mince words, Mirowski writes of the differences between the two that “Friedman was the public face, Stigler the clan fixer. For the former, the MPS was just another debating society; for the latter, it was the executive committee of the capitalist insurgency” (Mirowski Reference Mirowski2013, p. 77). Friedman enjoyed winning public debates, whereas Stigler, and possibly also Hayek, was more interested in wielding power and influence through other means. There is a notion that only a select few, such as George Stigler and Friedrich Hayek, really understood what was going on, and that people like Milton Friedman, not to mention various think tankers in what Mirowski refers to as the “outer shells” of the Neoliberal Thought Collective’s Russian Doll structure, were at least half-ignorant of how their claims to laissez-faire were incompatible with the fundamental precepts of their ideological program as expressed through the dual argument.

The more important point in this respect is nonetheless that none of them particularly minded being seen as proponents of laissez-faire, neither by their wealthy donors nor by the general public, even though their earlier writings indicate that they knew perfectly well that their doctrine rested on the use of states and a dual argument decrying both economic planning and laissez-faire. The idea of a double-truth doctrine offers up an explanation as to how American neoliberals could end up laying claim to the mantle of laissez-faire, when neoliberal doctrines such as monetarism, public choice theory,Footnote ¹⁵ and the somewhat more vague current known as “supply side economics” all included important roles for the state in creating and safeguarding a social order based on the mechanisms of markets—these being, for instance, the key role of central banks within monetarist doctrine, and the importance of state support for producers in supply side economics.Footnote ¹⁶ For American neoliberals, then, the dual argument led to a double truth. If there was radicalization here, it lay not in turning to laissez-faire but in pretending to do so.

Using the State without Antitrust

German ordoliberals, however, remained open about their cautious embrace of state power in the service of market mechanisms. The most famous difference between Chicago School neoliberalism and German ordoliberalism is thus the vital role ascribed to antitrust policy within the ordoliberal framework, something noted already by Michel Foucault in the late 1970s (Foucault Reference Foucault2008). While it is true that Chicago School economists like Aaron Director eventually moved away from the position they had originally shared with ordoliberals in 1947, what this reveals is not necessarily a turn to laissez-faire on the part of Chicago economists but a different way of interpreting the logic of the market from that of the rules-focused ordoliberals. Much has been written about the Chicago School’s shift on patents and competition law and the so-called Free Market Study that lay behind it (Van Horn Reference Van Horn and Mirowski2009; Nik-Khah and Van Horn Reference Nik-Khah, Van Horn and Springer2016), and it is perhaps the clearest instance in which the Chicago School parted ways with ordoliberalism. Whether or not the Chicago School thereby also parted ways with what Sinn has called “original neoliberalism” is perhaps a question of interpretation, but since they nonetheless remained committed to the use of strong states in service of market mechanisms, I would argue against it. As economists working within the neoclassical mainstream, Chicago School economists, almost by definition, accepted an important role for the state in managing the economy, and Friedman saw economics as an empirical science in the service of policy-making (Stapleford Reference Stapleford and Mirowski2011). As mentioned, most iterations of Friedman’s famous monetarist doctrine, for instance, would naturally presuppose a state actually regulating the money supply (although Friedman himself supposedly thought a mathematical equation could do the job) (Friedman Reference Friedman and Yeager1962). This was not the old-fashioned gold-standard doctrine that Mises adhered to, because as the Chicago economists developed a somewhat different appreciation of the speculative character of markets from that of both Mises and the ordoliberals, they also saw the need for a state that could regulate the money supply according to the needs of the market, instead of having it fixed to a quantity of precious metals. The embroilment within the neoclassical tradition is perhaps the main thing separating the Chicago School economists from various Austrians, including Hayek, and it is also what led to Mises acolyte Murray Rothbard at one point to decry Friedman as nothing less than a “statist” (Rothbard Reference Rothbard2002). Compared with Rothbard’s repurposing of Austrian ideas into so-called anarcho-capitalism, even Mises appeared as someone who, according to a recent observer, “never questioned the necessity of a strong state to create and uphold a market order” (Jensen Reference Jensen2022, p. 352).

I should add that the reasons for US-based neoliberals’ own claims to laissez-faire in this period may also lie in something as prosaic as money. In his recent book The Marginal Revolutionaries, Janek Wasserman notes that the transplantation of the Austrian School of economics from Vienna to the US during the Second World War entailed a change in fortunes for the only intellectual present at Mont Pèlerin who was actually something of a supporter of laissez-faire: Ludwig von Mises. He had seemed isolated at the first meeting in 1947, but “if unpopular academically, his positions found growing support in business and libertarian circles, since his theory seemed to provide irrefutable proof for their assumptions” (Wasserman Reference Wasserman2019, 214). Mises’s views may not have been popular among the other attendees speaking at the opening conference in 1947, but the mostly silent American think tank delegation, of which Loren Miller formed part, saw him as their shining light. In popular myths Mises had stormed out of a discussion with other attendees based in the USA on the boat over to Europe, calling his colleagues “a bunch of socialists” (Rockwell Jr. Reference Rockwell and Llewellyn1998). Still, a special place is held for him in the neoliberal pantheon, as it was his attacks on socialism in 1920 that had started the socialist calculation debates. Among those present at the 1947 conference who had been critical of Hayek’s dual argument approach from the left, such as Maurice Allais, Michael Polanyi, Karl Popper, Carl Iversen, and Herbert Tingsten, several quit the organization or remained only as inactive members (Innset Reference Innset2020, pp. 181–184). The one economist attendee who had criticized the dual argument approach from the right, on the other hand, Mises, became an important and active member. At the same time, the messaging of US-based neoliberals gravitated towards the laissez-faire positions of their funders that they themselves did not hold, and Mirowski suggests there is an almost symbiotic relationship between seasoned political operatives, like Stigler and Hayek, and the more “romantic” libertarian groups, especially those descending from Mises.

Mises’s interventions set neoliberals on their path to their new understanding of the market mechanism as the prime mediator of modern social life, which was followed by the other neoliberals’ embrace of state action with the aim of fostering and nurturing said mechanism. Mises did not follow that second move, although he certainly saw a role for a minimal security state (Jensen Reference Jensen2022). His lonely outbursts at the 1947 conference did have a certain logic to them. If the market really was the spontaneously developed order that the neoliberals argued it was, how could states possibly set up laws and systems to improve it? Although they were separated from Mises’s followers in New York and Auburn, Alabama, “the second generation” of Chicago School economists would apply this logic a few decades after 1947 when, in a very different political climate, they turned the ordoliberal doctrine of strong antitrust laws, which they had originally agreed with, on its head, making American neoliberalism into something of a defense for the large corporations and business interests who funded their work (Van Horn and Klaes Reference Van Horn, Klaes and Mirowski2011).

It is beyond the scope of this paper to argue for the many ways in which other forms of neoliberalism than ordoliberalism have also remained true to the dual argument, but suffice it perhaps to say that “laissez-faire” is an odd denomination for someone like Hayek, who spent the decades after the first Mont Pelerin Society conference drafting principles for the constitutions and legislations most beneficial to the workings of markets. In his pre-1947 writings, Hayek clearly did not think that markets arose and functioned on their own accord if only states got out of the way, and he did not simply forget that fundamental insight in works like the 1960 The Constitution of Liberty (Hayek Reference Hayek1972) and the 1972–73 Law, Legislation and Liberty (Hayek Reference Hayek1998). João Rodrigues has also done valuable work showing how both Hayek and even Friedman worked specifically on the vital role of the “non-economic” sphere in supporting a market society (Rodrigues Reference Rodrigues and Cahill2018). Although Hayek may have veered both towards Mises and the wealthy US business interests who funded his operations, it is clear that the overarching project growing out of the dual argument—to find ways of using the state “for liberal ends”—stayed with him also in his later works.

This was a basic insight he shared with the ordoliberals, and which owed much to his interactions with them. Far from being an enemy of ordoliberals, Hayek was clearly seen as one of them, and instead of remaining in the US, he accepted the Chair of Walter Eucken at Freiburg University in 1962, staying there until his retirement. Even Mises, the supposed arch-enemy of ordoliberals, received one of his only honorary doctorates in economics from the University of Freiburg in 1964. The animosity between Mises and the group he dubbed “ordo-interventionists” was real (Kolev Reference Kolev, Commun and Kolev2018), but it clearly existed within the space of a neoliberal organization and project with the shared aim of making modern society a market society. In the concluding section of this article, I suggest that the intra-neoliberal differences between the Chicago School and the ordoliberal school lie not in whether or not they want to use the state but in differing interpretations of what the logic of markets really is and thereby in different policy proposals for exactly how the state ought to be used.