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Growing degree-day models for predicting narrowleaf goldenrod (Euthamia graminifolia) phenology in lowbush blueberry fields in Nova Scotia

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 December 2025

Lienna Hoeg
Affiliation:
Christmas Tree Specialist, Perennia Food and Agriculture Corporation, Bible Hill, NS, Canada
Travis J. Esau
Affiliation:
Associate Professor, Department of Engineering, Dalhousie University Faculty of Agriculture, Bible Hill, NS, Canada
Andrew McKenzie-Gopsill
Affiliation:
Research Scientist, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Charlottetown, PEI Canada
Scott Neil White*
Affiliation:
Associate Professor, Department of Plant, Food, and Environmental Sciences, Dalhousie University Faculty of Agriculture, Bible Hill, NS, Canada
*
Corresponding author: Scott White; Email: scott.white@dal.ca
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Abstract

Narrowleaf goldenrod [Euthamia graminifolia (L.) Nutt.] is the most common goldenrod species in lowbush blueberry (Vaccinium angustifolium Aiton) fields in Nova Scotia, Canada. Knowledge of ramet emergence and phenological development of this weed is limited, and it is unknown if seedling emergence contributes to the maintenance of established populations. The objectives of this research were to (1) develop predictive GDD models for E. graminifolia ramet emergence and phenological development, (2) determine whether E. graminifolia forms seedbanks in lowbush blueberry fields, and (3) establish whether E. graminifolia seedlings emerge in lowbush blueberry fields. Cumulative E. graminifolia ramet emergence was explained as a function of GDD using a four-parameter Weibull equation that predicted emergence to begin at 72 GDD and 90% emergence to occur at 458 GDD. Cumulative ramets at the flower bud and flowering stages were explained as a function of GDD using a three-parameter Gompertz equation that predicted initiation of the flower bud and flowering stages at 644 and 1,369 GDD, respectively, and 90% of ramets at the flower bud and flowering stages at 1,522 and 2,113 GDD, respectively. Cumulative E. graminifolia seedling emergence ranged from 2.4 ± 0.8 to 4 ± 1 seedlings m−2, suggesting limited seedling emergence in lowbush blueberry fields. Seedling density from soil core samples, however, ranged from 38 ± 25 to 10,940 ± 1,456 seedlings m−2. These results suggest that E. graminifolia forms seedbanks in lowbush blueberry fields, despite the low levels of seedling emergence observed. Euthamia graminifolia seedling management should therefore be considered in current weed control programs, and growers can use the developed GDD models to aid the management of established plants.

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Weed Science Society of America
Figure 0

Table 1. Site locations and dates of experiment establishment for monitoring Euthamia graminifolia ramet emergence and phenological development in lowbush blueberry fields in Nova Scotia, Canada, from 2017 to 2020.a

Figure 1

Table 2. Date of data logger establishment and duration of temperature data supplementation with air temperature data from the nearest Environment Canada weather station at lowbush blueberry fields used to monitor Euthamia graminifolia emergence and phenology in Nova Scotia, Canada

Figure 2

Table 3. Monthly rainfall (mm) during the period of Euthamia graminifolia emergence and phenology data collection in 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020a

Figure 3

Figure 1. Percent cumulative Euthamia graminifolia ramet emergence (A), ramets at the flower bud stage (B), and ramets at the flowering stage (C) in relation to growing degree days (GDD) calculated from air temperature (Tbase = 0 C) at sites used for model calibration in Nova Scotia, Canada. Symbols are the mean of 10 observations. Lines are fitted regression equations. A Weibull equation of the form Y = a{1 − exp[−k(GDD − x0)c]} was fit to percent cumulative ramet emergence. A Gompertz equation of the form Y = a exp{−exp[−k(GDD − x0)]} was fit to percent cumulative ramets at the bud stage and percent cumulative flowering ramets. Parameter estimates for each equation are provided in Table 4. RMSE, root

Figure 4

Table 4. Parameter estimates for the proposed Weibull and Gompertz equations describing the relationship between growing degree days (GDD) calculated from air temperature (Tbase = 0 C) and percent cumulative Euthamia graminifolia ramet emergence, ramets at the flower bud stage, and ramets at the flowering stage in nonbearing-year wild blueberry fields at Debert 2017, Collingwood 2017, Baseline 2019, Westchester 2019, and Webb Mountain 2020 in Nova Scotia, Canada

Figure 5

Figure 2. Observed and model predicted cumulative Euthamia graminifolia ramet emergence (A–C), ramets at the flower bud stage (D–F), and ramets at the flowering stage (G–I) in relation to growing degree days (GDD) calculated from air temperature (Tbase = 0 C) at sites used for model validation in Nova Scotia, Canada. Symbols are the mean of 10 observations. Lines are calibrated model predictions. The calibrated model for predicting percent cumulative ramet emergence was a Weibull equation of the form Y = a{1 − exp[−k(GDD − x0)c]}. The calibrated model for predicting percent cumulative ramets at the flower bud stage and flowering stages was a Gompertz equation of the form Y = a exp{−exp[−k(GDD − x0)]}. RMSE, root mean-square error.

Figure 6

Table 5. Total Euthamia graminifolia seedling emergence from soil cores collected from nonbearing-year lowbush blueberry fields in Nova Scotia, Canada, in 2020a