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Forecasting the 2025 German Election: An Introduction

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 December 2025

Bruno Jérôme Open the ORCID record for Bruno Jérôme [Opens in a new window]  and
Andreas Graefe Open the ORCID record for Andreas Graefe [Opens in a new window]
Bruno Jérôme
Affiliation:
Université Paris-Panthéon-Assas
Andreas Graefe
Affiliation:
Macromedia University of Applied Sciences
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Extract

German federal elections have long drawn international attention due to the country’s economic influence and its pivotal role in the European Union. Over time, forecasting these elections has evolved into a sophisticated discipline, incorporating diverse models and refined methodologies to improve accuracy. Since 2013, PS: Political Science & Politics has played a key role in tracking these developments by publishing three special symposia dedicated to forecasting German elections (Jérôme 2013, 2017; Jérôme and Graefe 2022). This 2025 symposium marks the fourth installment, continuing a tradition of providing scholars with a platform to share insights and reflect on the field’s ongoing expansion.

Information

Type
Forecasting the 2025 Federal German Election
Information
PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 59 , Issue 1 , January 2026 , pp. 45 - 47
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of American Political Science Association

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References

REFERENCES

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Supplementary material: Link

Jérôme and Graefe Dataset

Dataset

https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/NHKBP8
Link