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Fairness and signalling in bargaining games

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 September 2025

Mihaela Popa-Wyatt*
Affiliation:
The University of Manchester, UK
Roland Mühlenbernd
Affiliation:
Leibniz-Zentrum Allgemeine Sprachwissenschaft, Germany
Jeremy Leonard Wyatt
Affiliation:
The University of Manchester, UK
Cailin O’Connor
Affiliation:
University of California, Irvine, USA
*
Corresponding author: Mihaela Popa-Wyatt; Email: mihaela.popa-wyatt@manchester.ac.uk
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Abstract

Cultural evolutionary models of bargaining can elucidate issues related to fairness and justice, and especially how fair and unfair conventions and norms might arise in human societies. One line of this research shows how the presence of social categories in such models creates inequitable equilibria that are not possible in models without social categories. This is taken to help explain why in human groups with social categories, inequity is the rule rather than the exception. But in previous models, it is typically assumed that these categories are rigid – in the sense that they cannot be altered, and easily observable – in the sense that all agents can identify each others’ category membership. In reality, social categories are not always so tidy. We introduce evolutionary models where the tags connected with social categories can be flexible, variable, or difficult to observe, i.e. where these tags can carry different amounts of information about group membership. We show how alterations to these tags can undermine the stability of unfair conventions. We argue that these results can inform projects intended to ameliorate inequity, especially projects that seek to alter the properties of tags by promoting experimentation, imitation, and play with identity markers.

Information

Type
Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Table 1. A three-strategy Nash demand game, where $T = 10$, $H = 6$, $M = 5$, $L = 4$ and ${d_1},{d_2} \lt L = 4$. The payoffs for the row player come first and the column player second

Figure 1

Figure 1. A group with a higher disagreement point will tend to reach favourable bargaining outcomes as a result of cultural evolution. Traces show the emergence rate for three equilibria for different disagreement points of blues (${d_R} = 0$; $0 \le {d_B} \le 4$).

Figure 2

Figure 2. $G$ is fixed, underlying group membership (red or blue). This determines another fixed-trait $D$ (disagreement point) and can influence tag (or signal), $S$. The arrows represent dependencies, which may be quantified using conditional probability distributions. Note that while tag $S$ is directly observable, group membership $G$ and disagreement point $D$ are not.

Figure 3

Figure 3. Tag imitation promotes equity and disrupts the effects of power on bargaining: 50 blues; 50 reds (${d_R} = 0$; $0 \le {d_B} \le 4$), under the PDI dynamics for 200 simulation-runs per data point. $dS$ presents the number of runs with distinct signals across groups.

Figure 4

Figure 4. If a disempowered or disadvantaged group does not have adaptive signals, inequity is common: (${d_R} = 0$; $0 \le {d_B} \le 4$), under the PDI dynamics for 100 simulation runs per data point. $dS$ represents the number of runs with distinct signals across groups.

Figure 5

Figure 5. This figure shows the emergence rates of fairness (left) and proBlue (right) for different combinations of blues’ probability ${p_{A|Blue}}$ to signal $A$ and reds’ probability ${p_{A|Red}}$ to signal $A$, where ${d_B} = 3$; ${d_R} = 0$. Unfair outcomes are most likely when signalling is distinct.

Figure 6

Figure 6. If a disempowered group has an undependable tag, this disrupts inequity. (${d_R} = 0$; ${d_B} = 3$).

Figure 7

Figure 7. Unfair outcomes are more likely when tags between groups are relatively less similar.