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Using local scientific knowledge for transboundary conservation: distribution modelling for the taruka in South America

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 May 2025

Nicolás Fuentes-Allende*
Affiliation:
IUCN Species Survival Commission Deer Specialist Group Laboratorio de Manejo y Conservación de Vida Silvestre, Instituto de Conservación, Biodiversidad y Territorio, Facultad de Ciencias Forestales y Recursos Naturales, Universidad Austral de Chile, Valdivia, Chile Fundación Sudamérica Diversa, Panguipulli, Chile
Cristina Mata
Affiliation:
Terrestrial Ecology Group (TEG-UAM), Departamento de Ecología, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain Centro de Investigación en Biodiversidad y Cambio Climático Global (CIBC-UAM), Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
Javier Barrio
Affiliation:
IUCN Species Survival Commission Deer Specialist Group Centro de Ornitología y Biodiversidad, Lima, Peru
Paulo Corti
Affiliation:
IUCN Species Survival Commission Deer Specialist Group Laboratorio de Manejo y Conservación de Vida Silvestre, Instituto de Conservación, Biodiversidad y Territorio, Facultad de Ciencias Forestales y Recursos Naturales, Universidad Austral de Chile, Valdivia, Chile
Gabriel Llerena
Affiliation:
Museo de Historia Natural de la Universidad Nacional de San Agustín de Arequipa, Arequipa, Peru
Velia Mendoza
Affiliation:
Laboratorio de Zooarqueología, Universidad Mayor de San Andrés, La Paz, Bolivia
Ángela Nuñez
Affiliation:
IUCN Species Survival Commission Deer Specialist Group Red Boliviana de Mastozoología, La Paz, Bolivia
Ramiro Ovejero
Affiliation:
IUCN Species Survival Commission South American Camelid Specialist Group Instituto de Biodiversidad Neotropical, CONICET-UNT, Cúpulas Horco Molle, Tucumán, Argentina
Luis F. Pacheco
Affiliation:
IUCN Species Survival Commission Deer Specialist Group Colección Boliviana de Fauna, Instituto de Ecología, Carrera de Biología, Facultad de Ciencias Puras y Naturales, La Paz, Bolivia
Hernán Pastore
Affiliation:
IUCN Species Survival Commission Deer Specialist Group Dirección Regional Patagonia Norte, Administración de Parques Nacionales, San Carlos de Bariloche, Argentina
Josef Rechberger
Affiliation:
Centro de Estudios en Biología Teórica y Aplicada, Cota Cota, La Paz, Bolivia
Hector A. Regidor
Affiliation:
Facultad de Ciencias Naturales, National University of Salta, Salta, Argentina
Jhonson Vizcarra
Affiliation:
Administración Técnica Forestal y de Fauna Silvestre Moquegua-Tacna, Servicio Nacional Forestal y de Fauna Silvestre, Tacna, Peru
Esteban Zúñiga
Affiliation:
Parque Nacional Lauca, Corporación Nacional Forestal, Arica, Chile
Benito A. González
Affiliation:
IUCN Species Survival Commission South American Camelid Specialist Group Faculty of Forest Sciences and Nature Conservation, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile
*
*Corresponding author, fuente.nicolas@gmail.com

Abstract

Effective conservation management of threatened species with transboundary distributions is a challenge, requiring international coordination to ensure that country-specific actions align with regional imperatives. Many international conservation efforts overlook species needing attention and fail to incorporate the field expertise of local researchers in regional-level assessments. Here we focus on the taruka Hippocamelus antisensis, a threatened and little-studied deer of the Central Andes Ecoregion in South America. Since 2016, experts, managers and governmental authorities from all countries encompassing the species’ range have gathered to collate information about its presence and coordinate efforts to conserve it. We constructed taruka distribution models using historical records and more recent sightings reported during the last 50 years. Our findings revealed several critical insights: slope, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) during the dry season, and daily and seasonal temperature variability are primary predictors of taruka distribution, and the largest part of its range is in Peru (54%), followed by Bolivia (30%), Argentina (10%) and Chile (6%). The species’ core distribution is confined to the western and eastern limits of the Central Andes Ecoregion, bordered by the Sechura and Atacama Desert to the west and the Yungas Forest to the east. Protection is limited, with only 12 and 8% of the core and non-core areas, respectively, of the species’ range under formal protection. We recommend safeguarding connectivity of the core distribution by establishing transboundary protected areas, improving taruka coexistence with local communities, strengthening and formalizing international collaboration amongst taruka experts and raising the species’ appeal amongst policymakers and the public. In particular, we hope to encourage international collaboration between Southern Hemisphere specialists. This is important because these researchers have extensive field knowledge that could improve global conservation efforts, especially in regions that lack adequate conservation funding.

Information

Type
Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NC
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original article is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained prior to any commercial use.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Fauna & Flora International
Figure 0

Fig. 1 Study area in South America, showing (a) historical and more recent (1972–2022) records of the taruka Hippocamelus antisensis and (b) the overlapped predictions of its distribution according to the MERRA–BIO models. Stars indicate the areas where collaborators disagreed with model predictions. (Readers of the printed journal are referred to the online article for a colour version of this figure.)

Figure 1

Table 1 Environmental variables considered to be potential predictors of the distribution of the taruka Hippocamelus antisensis in South America (Fig. 1). Asterisks indicate variables that we selected for constructing the distribution model after excluding those with a correlation R > 0.7.

Figure 2

Table 2 Per cent contributions and relative predictive powers of the environmental variables (see Table 1 for descriptions) assessed to determine their effects on the distribution of the taruka (Fig. 2). We calculated training gains for a single variable if we used it solely for the modelling procedure and additionally for the model with the remaining variables after dropping the focus variable. Values are means of five jackknife replicates of regularized training gain. Asterisks highlight the most relevant variables.

Figure 3

Table 3 Spatial extent of the taruka distribution in South America, with values rounded to the nearest km2 and shown for total region and for each range country. The pG and pC values refer to the proportion of a specific category with regards to the global distribution and the distribution within each specific country, respectively.

Figure 4

Fig. 2 Most contributing variables (Table 2) in the (a–d) MERRAclim and (e–h) BIOclim species distribution models (SDMs) for the taruka in South America: (a) annual precipitation (BIO12), (b,f) mean slope, (c,g) mean altitude, (d) isothermality (BIO3), (e) mean normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) during the dry season and (h) temperature seasonality (BIO4). Grey and black lines are single and averaged predictions, respectively, after five-fold cross-validation. See Table 1 for variable descriptions.

Figure 5

Fig. 3 Predicted taruka distribution across its range countries: (a) Peru, (b) Bolivia, (c) Chile and (d) Argentina. The darker grey area represents the taruka distribution outside the focal country. GD, global distribution. (Readers of the printed journal are referred to the online article for a colour version of this figure.)

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