Hostname: page-component-77f85d65b8-pkds5 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2026-03-28T11:20:00.608Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Survival rates and causes of mortality of leopards Panthera pardus in southern Africa

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 August 2014

Lourens H. Swanepoel*
Affiliation:
Centre for Wildlife Management, University of Pretoria, Private Bag X21, Hatfield, South Africa
Michael J. Somers
Affiliation:
Centre for Wildlife Management, University of Pretoria, Private Bag X21, Hatfield, South Africa
Wouter van Hoven
Affiliation:
Centre for Wildlife Management, University of Pretoria, Private Bag X21, Hatfield, South Africa
Monika Schiess-Meier
Affiliation:
Institute of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies, University of Zurich, Winterthurerstrasse, Switzerland, and Leopard Ecology & Conservation, Khutse Game Reserve, Botswana
Cailey Owen
Affiliation:
School of Life Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Westville Campus, Durban, South Africa
Andrei Snyman
Affiliation:
School of Natural Resources, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, Nebraska, USA
Quinton Martins
Affiliation:
The Cape Leopard Trust, Sun Valley, South Africa, and Department of Conservation Ecology & Entomology, Faculty of AgriSciences, University of Stellenbosch, South Africa
Charl Senekal
Affiliation:
Hlambanyathi Leopard Project, Pongola, South Africa
Gerrie Camacho
Affiliation:
Terrestrial Scientific Services, Mpumalanga Tourism and Parks Agency, Lydenburg, South Africa
Willem Boshoff
Affiliation:
Biodiversity Scientific Support, North West Department of Economic Development, Environment, Conservation and Tourism, Mabato, South Africa
Fredrik Dalerum
Affiliation:
Centre for Wildlife Management, University of Pretoria, Private Bag X21, Hatfield, South Africa
*
(Corresponding author) E-mail lourens.swanepoel@up.ac.za
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Estimation of survival rates is important for developing and evaluating conservation options for large carnivores. However, telemetry studies for large carnivores are often characterized by small sample sizes that limit meaningful conclusions. We used data from 10 published and 8 unpublished studies of leopards Panthera pardus in southern Africa to estimate survival rates and investigate causes of leopard mortality. Mean survival rates were significantly lower in non-protected (0.55 ± SE 0.08) compared to protected areas (0.88 ± 0.03). Inside protected areas juveniles had significantly lower survival (0.39 ± 0.10) compared to subadults (0.86 ± 0.07) and adults (0.88 ± 0.04). There was a greater difference in cause of death between protected and non-protected areas for females compared to males, with people being the dominant cause of mortality outside protected areas for both females and males. We suggest there is cause for concern regarding the sustainability of leopard populations in South Africa, as high female mortality may have severe demographic effects and a large proportion of suitable leopard habitat lies in non-protected areas. However, because a large proportion of deaths outside protected areas were attributed to deliberate killing by people, we suggest that management interventions may have the potential to increase leopard survival dramatically. We therefore stress the urgency to initiate actions, such as conflict mitigation programmes, to increase leopard survival in non-protected areas.

Information

Type
Papers
Copyright
Copyright © Fauna & Flora International 2014 
Figure 0

Fig. 1 Sites in southern Africa where 162 leopards Panthera pardus were monitored for a total of 195 leopard-years between 1985 and 2010. Numbers in circles correspond to site numbers in Supplementary Table S1, and circle size is proportional to the number of leopard-years monitored.

Figure 1

Table 1 Survival rates (± SE) for leopard Panthera pardus sex and age classes in protected and non-protected areas in southern Africa (Fig. 1). Number of leopards is those in each sex and age class used to estimate survival rates.

Figure 2

Fig. 2 Survival rate of leopards in protected and non-protected areas in southern Africa for (a) adult males, (b) adult females, (c) subadult males, (d) subadult females and (e) juveniles, estimated by fitting Cox proportional hazard models to leopard monitoring data. Data for juveniles were only available for protected areas.

Figure 3

Table 2 Identifiable causes of natural and accidental mortality, and legal and illegal killing by people for monitored leopards of known sex and age classes in protected and non-protected areas in southern Africa (Fig. 1).

Supplementary material: PDF

Swanepoel Supplementary Material

Table S1

Download Swanepoel Supplementary Material(PDF)
PDF 81.6 KB