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Accepted manuscript

Diversity and expertise in binary classification problems

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 February 2026

Hein Duijf*
Affiliation:
Utrecht University h.w.a.duijf@uu.nl
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Abstract

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Democratic theorists and social epistemologists often celebrate the epistemic benefits of diversity. One of the cornerstones is the ‘diversity trumps ability’ result by Hong and Page (2004). Ironically, the interplay between diversity and ability is rarely studied in radically different frameworks. In particular, the diversity-expertise trade-off has not been studied systematically for small, deliberative groups facing binary classification problems. To fill this gap, I will introduce a new evidential sources framework and study whether, when, and (if so) why diversity trumps expertise in binary classification problems. The newly gained insights are used to revisit the epistemic credentials of deliberative democracy.

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Type
Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Philosophy of Science Association