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Growth Dependence in the European Union: Do the Treaties Prevent Transformational Change?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 March 2026

Myele Rouxel*
Affiliation:
Doctoral Researcher, University of Eastern Finland, Joensuu, Finland
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Abstract

Ecological economics research on limits to growth has demonstrated that high-income countries are unlikely to succeed in ‘making growth green’ or, in other words, decoupling economic growth from ecological impacts fast enough to bring human activity back within planetary boundaries. At the European Union (EU) level, a paradigm shift is difficult because the EU’s socioeconomic system is growth dependent: the continuation of economic growth is required to avoid significant psychological, social and economic harms. This article argues that the EU founding treaties entrench this growth-dependent model by constraining the policy reforms proposed by ecological economists to reduce the EU economy’s reliance on growth. It therefore contends that treaty reform is necessary if the EU is to sustain human wellbeing without continued economic growth. Nevertheless, the article also finds in the treaties a limited degree of flexibility towards policies that would constitute first steps in the direction of growth independence.

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Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of British Institute of International and Comparative Law
Figure 0

Figure 1. Framework for assessing the growth dependence of socioeconomic systems. The functioning of the institutional sectors is shown within two ideal-typical socioeconomic systems: entirely growth dependent on the left and entirely growth independent on the right. The colour radiant represents all the nuances of growth dependence that can be found between the two ideal-typical socioeconomic systems portrayed.

Figure 1

Table 1. Mapping of the provisions in the Treaties reinforcing the growth dependence of the EU socioeconomic system

Figure 2

Figure 2. Representation of the constraints to policy reform towards the growth independence of the EU socioeconomic system created by the Treaties. The grey and crossed-out squares represent the nuances of growth (in)dependence that currently cannot be reached with policy reform due to constraints in the Treaties. The results have been obtained by grading the constraining role of the Treaties on the pursuit of selected policy reforms towards growth independence. Grading has been done on a scale of 1 to 10 when the selected policy reform has the potential to achieve full growth independence and on a scale of 1 to 7 when it has the potential to achieve only partial growth independence. For instance, deficit spending alone can only provide limited leeway for paying for public expenditure without growth, while monetary financing has the potential to alleviate the growth dependency related to public expenditure. Deficit spending was therefore graded on a scale of 1 to 7 and monetary financing on a scale of 1 to 10. The results are as follows: deficit spending 3/7, monetary financing 6/10, sovereign money 3/10, local currencies 1/7, novel general company laws 1/10, targeted support for non-profits 5/7. The scores were then averaged per institutional sector. This leads to overall scores of 5/10 for the general government, 2/10 for financial corporations and 3/10 for non-financial corporations.